One Knoxville SC33 – 0Chattanooga Red Wolves0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

One Knoxville's solid home record and Chattanooga's poor away defence give the hosts a slight advantage.

• One Knoxville are unbeaten in 6 of 7 home matches in the tracked window (W2 D4 L1).
• Chattanooga have lost 3 of 6 away matches in the same window, conceding 1.83 goals per away game.
• One Knoxville sit 5th in the league with 48 points, ahead of Chattanooga in 7th with 46.
• Chattanooga defender Eric Kinzner was sent off in their last match and faces an uncertain suspension.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonOne Knoxville SCEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

One Knoxville's solid home record and Chattanooga's poor away defence give the hosts a slight advantage. Knoxville's habit of drawing at home and a tight recent head-to-head make a stalemate plausible.

• One Knoxville are unbeaten in 6 of 7 home matches in the tracked window (W2 D4 L1).
• Chattanooga have lost 3 of 6 away matches in the same window, conceding 1.83 goals per away game.
• One Knoxville have drawn 4 of 7 home matches in the window.
• Chattanooga have drawn only 1 of 6 away matches in the window.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonOne Knoxville SC or DrawEstimated chance71%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Knoxville's modest home first-half scoring and Chattanooga's tendency to concede early give the hosts a narrow chance. Low first-half scoring rates for both teams make a level score at the break the most likely outcome.

• One Knoxville average 0.43 first-half goals at home.
• Chattanooga concede 1.33 first-half goals per away match.
• One Knoxville average 0.43 first-half goals for and 0.29 against at home.
• Chattanooga average 0.83 first-half goals for and 1.33 against away.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonOne Knoxville SC or DrawEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Chattanooga's high-scoring away games and Knoxville's tendency to both score and concede point to over 2.5 goals.

• One Knoxville home matches average 2.43 total goals.
• Chattanooga away matches average 3.17 total goals.
• Both teams scored in 5 of Knoxville's 7 home matches.
• Chattanooga have conceded 1.83 goals per away game.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Chattanooga's away goal output has been low, with no more than one goal in their recent away games.

• Chattanooga average 1.33 goals per away match.
• They scored exactly 1 goal in their last two away matches.
• One Knoxville kept 2 clean sheets in 7 home matches.
• Chattanooga scored 5 goals in 6 away matches.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonChattanooga Red Wolves under 1.5Estimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Knoxville's home scoring and Chattanooga's poor away clean sheet record make a shutout unlikely.

• Chattanooga kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 away matches.
• One Knoxville scored in 5 of 7 home matches.
• One Knoxville average 1.29 goals per home match.
• Chattanooga concede 1.83 goals per away match.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOne Knoxville SC to scoreEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Chattanooga's away clean sheet record makes a win-to-nil very unlikely.

• Chattanooga have won 2 of 6 away matches.
• One Knoxville have scored in 5 of 7 home matches.
• Chattanooga kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 away matches.
• Most away wins involve conceding.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33

The read

The combined first-half goal expectation of about 1.4 makes at least one goal likely.

• One Knoxville average 0.43 first-half goals at home.
• Chattanooga average 0.83 first-half goals away.
• Chattanooga concede 1.33 first-half goals per away match.
• One Knoxville concede 0.29 first-half goals at home.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75

The read

The second-half goal expectation is below 1.5, making under the more likely outcome.

• One Knoxville average 0.86 second-half goals at home.
• Chattanooga average 0.5 second-half goals away.
• Combined second-half expected goals are about 1.36.
• Chattanooga have scored only one second-half goal in their last two away matches.