Enkopings SK2Assyriska 1

HT 1–0Thu 10 Sept 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges6–275%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Sep 2026, 04:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Assyriska are slight favourites on form, but the market offers little value on the away win.

The only positive edge is Enköping team total Over 1.5 goals at 1.91 (+3pts); avoid Over 2.5 goals, BTTS Yes, and first-half Over 0.5 goals as they are overpriced.

Context

Assyriska and Enkopings SK have met four times since June 2025, with Assyriska winning two and Enkopings SK winning two.
In the most recent league match on 2 June 2026, Assyriska won 4-2 at home. That result shows Assyriska can score heavily against Enkopings SK, but the overall head-to-head record is even, so it does not guarantee a repeat.
- Assyriska FF 4-2 Enköping on 2026-06-02 in Ettan - Norra.
- Enköping 3-1 Assyriska FF on 2025-10-04 in Ettan - Norra.
- Assyriska FF 0-3 Enköping on 2025-06-01 in Ettan - Norra.
Enköping's latest league win over Vasalund on 6 September featured two rehearsed set-piece goals: Hugo Norrlin's corner found Hadi Noori, and Norrlin's free kick set up Felix Johansson.
Assyriska must prepare for specific corner and free-kick routines that Enköping have recently trained and executed successfully. The routines involve Norrlin's delivery to Noori and Johansson, so Assyriska's defensive setup at dead balls will need to account for those movements.
- Enköping beat Vasalund 3-2 on 6 September.
- Hugo Norrlin's corner found Hadi Noori for Enköping's first goal.
- Norrlin's free kick set up Felix Johansson for Enköping's second goal.
- Coach Niklas Wenderyd said assistant coach Jesper Holmberg had scouted Vasalund and that the corner routine was trained.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Sep 2026, 04:33 · Europe/BucharestEnköpings SK Fotbollesk.nu · 6 Sep 2026
Assyriska are eighth in the table with 29 points from 20 matches.
Their recent run includes wins over Stocksund, Järfälla, IF Karlstad, and Sollentuna. This suggests they are playing well and could carry that into this away match, though their away record is more mixed with three losses in ten games.
- Assyriska 2-1 Stocksund on 2026-09-04.
- Järfälla 0-2 Assyriska on 2026-08-29.
- Assyriska 3-0 Sollentuna on 2026-08-09.
Enkopings SK are seventh with 32 points, three points ahead of Assyriska.
Their recent form is inconsistent, with wins over Vasalund and Karlberg but losses to Stockholm Internazionale, FBK Karlstad, and IF Karlstad. At home they have won six of ten, so they are not easy to beat, but the heavy loss to the league leaders shows vulnerability.
- Enkopings SK 0-3 Stockholm Internazionale on 2026-08-30.
- FBK Karlstad 2-0 Enkopings SK on 2026-08-16.
- Enkopings SK 2-1 Karlberg on 2026-08-07.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's stronger recent form and positive away record give them a slight edge, though Enköping's home advantage and set-piece threat keep it close.
- Assyriska away record: 4W 3D 3L, 11 goals for, 10 against in 10 away matches.
- Enköping home record: 6W 1D 3L, 15 goals for, 18 against in 10 home matches.
- Assyriska recent form: WWLWW (last 5), Enköping recent form: WLDLW (last 5).
- H2H last meeting: Assyriska beat Enköping 4-2 on 2026-06-02.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAssyriskaEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's solid away form and Enköping's inconsistent home results make the away side or draw the safer double chance.
- Enköping home losses: 3 in 10, Assyriska away losses: 3 in 10.
- Assyriska have avoided defeat in 7 of 10 away matches.
- Enköping have failed to win in 4 of 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or AssyriskaEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's superior first-half output gives them an edge, but the margin is small and home advantage narrows it.
- Assyriska led at half-time in 47% of matches, Enköping in 20%.
- Assyriska average 1.1 first-half goals vs Enköping's 0.4.
- Enköping trailed at half-time in 33% of matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostAssyriskaEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by an Assyriska win is a plausible sequence given their second-half strength, but it remains a low-probability exact outcome.
- Assyriska led at half-time in 47% of matches and won 40% overall.
- Enköping drew at half-time in 47% of matches (estimated from leading/trailing percentages).
- Assyriska have won 4 of 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/AssyriskaEstimated chance22%

Goals7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping's home games trend high-scoring and the recent H2H was open, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Enköping home matches average 3.3 total goals (15 for, 18 against in 10).
- Assyriska away matches average 2.1 total goals (11 for, 10 against in 10).
- H2H last meeting produced 6 goals (4-2).
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Enköping's last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides regularly find the net and neither defence is watertight, making BTTS likely.
- Enköping have scored in 8 of 10 home matches.
- Assyriska have scored in 8 of 10 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Enköping's last 6 matches.
- Assyriska have conceded in 7 of 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's strong first-half scoring record and Enköping's tendency to concede early make a first-half goal probable.
- Assyriska average 1.1 first-half goals per match overall.
- Enköping average 0.4 first-half goals per match overall.
- Assyriska led at half-time in 47% of matches, Enköping in 20%.
- H2H last meeting had 3 first-half goals (2-1 at HT).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is plausible given both teams' attacking intent, but the estimate is uncertain.
- Enköping home matches average 1.8 second-half goals (estimated from total and first-half data).
- Assyriska away matches average 1.1 second-half goals (estimated).
- Both teams have shown ability to score late in recent matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping's home defence is leaky and Assyriska consistently score away, making a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Enköping have kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 home matches.
- Assyriska have scored in 8 of 10 away matches.
- Assyriska average 1.1 goals per away match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAssyriska to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's away defence is not solid and Enköping are productive at home, so an away clean sheet is unlikely.
- Assyriska have kept only 3 clean sheets in 10 away matches.
- Enköping have scored in 8 of 10 home matches.
- Enköping average 1.5 goals per home match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonEnkopings SK to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping's home scoring rate and Assyriska's away concessions support a decent chance of the home side netting at least twice.
- Enköping average 1.5 goals per home match.
- Enköping have scored 2+ goals in 5 of 10 home matches.
- Assyriska concede 1.0 goals per away match on average.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonEnkopings SK over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Assyriska's away scoring is moderate but Enköping's home defence is poor, giving them a chance to exceed 1.5 goals.
- Assyriska average 1.1 goals per away match.
- Assyriska have scored 2+ goals in 4 of 10 away matches.
- Enköping concede 1.8 goals per home match on average.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostAssyriska over 1.5Estimated chance45%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 42% vs our estimate 33% leaves no value; the home side is overpriced relative to their inconsistent home form.

Prediction history

Enkopings SK has struggled to clear Over 2.5 goals

Enkopings SK has fulfilled 1 of 5 Over 2.5 predictions. The average estimated probability was 62.6%, but only one match exceeded 2.5 goals. Their only success came at home, while all three away matches stayed under.

Recent evidence for Enkopings SK5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

27 Jun·Ettan - Norra