Draw
Market 26.3% · BetBugs 32%
Both teams are closely matched in the standings and the most recent H2H ended level, making a draw a strong possibility.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The draw at 3.80 offers the only clear value edge (+5.7 points) in this evenly matched Division 2 clash.
Avoid the over 2.5 goals market (1.30) and Qviding away win (2.15), as both are priced below our model's probability estimates.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 26.3% · BetBugs 32%
Both teams are closely matched in the standings and the most recent H2H ended level, making a draw a strong possibility.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 62% · Market 66.7%
IF Boljan's home form and Qviding's inconsistent away record support the home side avoiding defeat.
BetBugs 58% · Market 76.9%
Bookmaker odds heavily favor over 2.5, but our estimate is only 58%, making this a poor value bet despite the predictor's medium confidence.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 38% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | IF Boljan | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23-24 | 26 |
| 8 | Qviding FIF | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 38-34 | 25 |

