IF Boljan
Market 40% · BetBugs 45%
IF Boljan's stronger home form (4W 1D 2L) and Astorps Ff's poor recent away results (2W 2D 4L) give the home side a clear edge, supported by the H2H home-win pattern.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
IF Boljan's strong home form and Astorps Ff's dreadful recent run make the home side clear favorites.
The best value is IF Boljan or Draw at 1.67, with a 15-point edge over the implied probability. Avoid Over 2.5 goals, as the odds are heavily inflated relative to the actual likelihood.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
IF BoljanMarket 40% · BetBugs 45%
IF Boljan's stronger home form (4W 1D 2L) and Astorps Ff's poor recent away results (2W 2D 4L) give the home side a clear edge, supported by the H2H home-win pattern.
Market 60% · BetBugs 75%
Combining IF Boljan's solid home form with Astorps Ff's poor away and overall form makes the home side not losing highly likely.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 72.5%
Both teams' home/away splits show high-scoring tendencies, but the odds heavily favor Over 2.5, leaving no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 60% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | IF Boljan | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22-23 | 23 |
| 11 | Astorps Ff | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19-31 | 14 |

