IF Boljan
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 62%
BK Astrio are bottom with 6 points from 17 matches and have lost 5 straight, while IF Boljan won the most recent H2H 3-1 and sit 17 points clear.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandUpcoming
Read first
IF Boljan are strong favourites against bottom-placed BK Astrio, with the double chance (Draw or IF Boljan) offering the best value at 1.57 (82% model probability vs 64% implied).
The match winner on IF Boljan at 1.95 also has an edge, but avoid the over 2.5 goals line at 1.33 as it is heavily overpriced.
BK Astrio's dire form and defensive struggles, combined with IF Boljan's recent H2H dominance, create a clear but not exceptional match context.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
IF BoljanMarket 51.3% · BetBugs 62%
BK Astrio are bottom with 6 points from 17 matches and have lost 5 straight, while IF Boljan won the most recent H2H 3-1 and sit 17 points clear.
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 82%
BK Astrio have won only 1 of 17 league matches and failed to win any of their last 10, making Draw or IF Boljan a very high-probability cover.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 58%
The H2H pattern of high-scoring encounters and BK Astrio's leaky defense support a goal total above 3.5, with a slight edge over the implied probability.
How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
BK Astrio has fulfilled 5 of 5 Over 2.5 goals predictions, with an average estimated probability of 63% and an expected 3.2 fulfilled predictions. The current prediction of 58% sits below the historical range of 60-75%, suggesting the model is more conservative than past successful calls. All five matches produced at least three total goals, including three home games and two away games.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BK Astrio | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11-39 | 6 |
| 7 | IF Boljan | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22-24 | 23 |

