Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time

Predictions graded

Qviding FIF3BK Astrio1

HT 2–1Sun 2 Aug 2026, 10:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–189%

Edges4–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Aug 2026, 10:07 · Europe/Bucharest

Qviding are strong favorites based on H2H dominance and Astrio's dreadful form, but the 1.44 match-winner odds are too short given Qviding's leaky home defense.

The best value appears in over 1.5 first-half goals at 1.78, where both teams' early concession patterns create a 13.8-point edge. Avoid backing Qviding in any low-odds market; instead, look to goals for potential returns.

Context

Astrio's last five league results: LLLLL, with a 3-14 goal difference.
- They have failed to score in three of those five defeats.
- Astrio are six points adrift of 12th place with 14 rounds played.
Last four H2H results: Qviding 3-0 Astrio, Astrio 1-1 Qviding, Qviding 4-2 Astrio, Qviding 4-3 Astrio.
- Qviding scored 11 goals across those four meetings.
- All five recorded H2H matches had over 1.5 total goals.
Qviding home record: 2W-2D-3L, goals for 14, goals against 15.
- They conceded in six of seven home matches.
- Four of their seven home games had over 3.5 total goals.
Astrio away record: 0W-2D-5L, goals for 5, goals against 16.
- They have lost their last three away games by an aggregate score of 1-9.
- Astrio have not led at halftime in any away match this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Qviding FIF

1.45fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Qviding's strong H2H dominance and Astrio's dreadful away form (0 wins, -11 goal difference) give the home side a clear edge, though Qviding's own inconsistency tempers confidence.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Qviding's strong H2H dominance and Astrio's dreadful away form (0 wins, -11 goal difference) give the home side a clear edge, though Qviding's own inconsistency tempers confidence.
- Qviding are unbeaten in last 4 H2H (3W, 1D), including a 3-0 away win on 2026-05-03.
- Qviding home record this season: 2W-2D-3L, but Astrio away: 0W-2D-5L with 5 goals scored and 16 conceded.
- Astrio last 5 form: LLLLL, scoring 3 and conceding 14.
- Qviding last 5 form: LWDDL, scoring 8 and conceding 13, with a friendly win before restart.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonQviding FIFEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Astrio's inability to win away and Qviding's historical edge, a home win or draw is highly probable, supported by both H2H psychology and structural home/away splits.
- Qviding have not lost to Astrio in last 4 meetings (3W, 1D).
- Astrio have lost 10 of 14 league matches this season and are winless in last 5.
- Qviding have lost only 3 of 7 home games, with 2 wins and 2 draws.
- Astrio have failed to win any of their 7 away games (0W, 2D, 5L).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonQviding FIF or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Qviding's superior first-half performance and Astrio's tendency to trail at the break give the hosts a slight edge, but low confidence due to Qviding's inconsistency.
- Qviding led at halftime in 33% of matches, while Astrio led in only 7%.
- Astrio trailed at halftime in 53% of matches.
- In the last H2H (2026-05-03), Qviding led 2-0 at halftime.
- Qviding's first-half goal difference at home: +0.3 on average.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonQviding FIFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Qviding have a chance to lead at the break and hold on, their low overall HT/FT win rate and Astrio's desperation make this a low-probability outcome.
- Qviding have led at halftime and won the match in 3 of 14 games (21%).
- Astrio have trailed at halftime and lost the match in 7 of 14 games (50%).
- In the last H2H, Qviding led 2-0 at halftime and won 3-0.
- Qviding's home HT/FT win rate: 2 of 7 (29%).
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonQviding FIF / Qviding FIFEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern of high-scoring encounters combined with both teams' leaky defenses (Qviding concede 2.1 per game, Astrio concede 2.1 per game) points to at least 3 goals.
- All 5 H2H meetings produced at least 2 goals, with 4 of 5 having 4+ goals.
- Qviding home matches average 4.3 total goals (15 scored, 15 conceded in 7 games).
- Astrio away matches average 3.0 total goals (5 scored, 16 conceded in 7 games).
- Qviding's last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Qviding's defensive frailties (conceded in 6 of 7 home games) and Astrio's ability to score occasionally on the road, combined with H2H history, make both teams scoring likely.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Qviding have scored in 6 of 7 home games this season, but kept only 1 clean sheet at home.
- Astrio have scored in 4 of 7 away games, but conceded in all 7.
- Qviding's last 5 matches: both teams scored in 4.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Qviding's strong scoring record at home and Astrio's porous away defense (2.29 goals conceded per away game) suggest the hosts will net at least twice.
- Qviding have scored 2+ goals in 4 of 7 home games this season.
- Qviding scored 3+ goals in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
- Astrio have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of 7 away games.
- Qviding average 2.14 goals per home game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonQviding FIF over 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede early (Qviding 0.9, Astrio 0.8 first-half goals against), and H2H history shows frequent first-half scoring, making over 0.5 first-half goals probable.
- Qviding's first-half record: 0.8 goals scored, 0.9 conceded per game; 73% of matches had a first-half goal.
- Astrio's first-half record: 0.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game; 60% of matches had a first-half goal.
- In the last 5 H2H, 4 matches had a goal in the first half.
- Qviding led at halftime in 33% of matches, trailed in 40%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' defensive records worsen after halftime, and H2H history shows high-scoring second halves, supporting over 1.5 goals in the second period.
- Qviding's second-half goal difference: +0.1 per game (1.2 scored, 1.1 conceded).
- Astrio's second-half goal difference: -0.9 per game (0.4 scored, 1.3 conceded).
- In the last 5 H2H, 4 matches had 2+ second-half goals.
- Qviding home matches average 2.3 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of specific corner data, the attacking nature of Qviding and Astrio's defensive weakness imply a moderately high corner count, but confidence is low due to missing stats.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- General league average for corners in Division 2 is approximately 9-10 per match.
- Qviding's attacking style (2.07 goals per game) suggests they generate offensive pressure and corners.
- Astrio's defensive struggles (2.0 goals conceded per game) likely lead to more opponent corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Odds imply 69% probability, far above our 55% estimate; the price is too short given Qviding's inconsistent home form.

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

W0-3AstriovQviding FIFMay 3, 2026DIV

D1-1AstriovQviding FIFJun 27, 2025DIV

W4-2Qviding FIFvAstrioMar 29, 2025DIV

W4-3Qviding FIFvAstrioSep 7, 2024DIV

L3-1AstriovQviding FIFMay 11, 2024DIV

4.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Qviding FIF	14	5	3	6	29-29	18	LWDDL
14	BK Astrio	14	1	3	10	10-28	6	LLLLD

12pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Qviding FIF

L0-5Västra FrölundaJun 24DIV

W3-2GaltabacksJun 18DIV

D2-2JonseredJun 13DIV

D2-2ÅstorpJun 6DIV

L1-2Landvetter ISMay 29DIV

L1-2OnsalaMay 22DIV

W2-1TorslandaMay 14DIV

D2-2BöljanMay 8DIV

W3-0AstrioMay 3DIV

W3-1KongahällaApr 25DIV

L2-3Västra FrölundaApr 17DIV

L1-4DalstorpsApr 11DIV

W5-0LindomeApr 3DIV

L2-3HestraforMar 29DIV

L1-3ÅstorpOct 19DIV

BK Astrio

L1-2HestraforJun 27DIV

L0-3Angelholms FFJun 23SVE

L0-4DalstorpsJun 18DIV

L1-2LindomeJun 11DIV

L1-3BöljanJun 5DIV

D0-0OnsalaMay 30DIV

L0-2Landvetter ISMay 24DIV

W2-1GaltabacksMay 17DIV

L3-5Västra FrölundaMay 9DIV

L0-3Qviding FIFMay 3DIV

L0-2TorslandaApr 26DIV

D0-0HestraforApr 19DIV

L0-1JonseredApr 11DIV

D1-1KongahällaApr 5DIV

L1-2ÅstorpMar 28DIV

Squad & Injuries

Qviding FIF

10 available

Attackers4

Midfielders3

Defenders2

Goalkeeper1

BK Astrio

1 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper1

Qviding FIF3BK Astrio1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 3.5

Over 1.5

Qviding FIF

Qviding FIF or Draw

BetBugs probabilities

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Qviding FIF

Qviding FIF or Draw

Qviding FIF, draw no bet

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Qviding FIF

BK Astrio

Squad & Injuries

Qviding FIF

BK Astrio