Over 2.5
Market 69.4% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and high-scoring H2H history (6-2, 3-2) strongly support over 2.5 goals, with IF Boljan's 10 of 15 matches clearing this line.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back over 2.5 goals at 1.44 for a +5.6-point edge, driven by a history of high-scoring H2H meetings (6-2, 3-2) and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
Avoid the home win and double chance markets, as Boljan's rest disadvantage and Astrio's desperation make the odds too short. Expect an open, goal-filled match with both teams likely to score.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 69.4% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and high-scoring H2H history (6-2, 3-2) strongly support over 2.5 goals, with IF Boljan's 10 of 15 matches clearing this line.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 80% · Market 83.3%
Despite the negative edge, HIGH confidence in over 0.5 first-half goals is justified by IF Boljan's 12 of 15 matches with a first-half goal and BK Astrio's 10 of 15.
IF BoljanBetBugs 45% · Market 53%
IF Boljan's superior league position and home form give them a moderate edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | IF Boljan | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15-15 | 15 |
| 14 | BK AstrioRelegation | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7-17 | 6 |

