Union Omaha11 – 1Chattanooga Red Wolves1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15

The read

Combining the home side's win and draw covers the most likely outcomes given Omaha's fortress record and Chattanooga's mediocre road results.

• Omaha have lost just once at home all season (11W-4D-1L).
• Omaha's overall record across 15 tracked matches is 9W-3D-3L.
• Chattanooga have won only 5 of 16 away matches and lost 8.
• In the last five head-to-heads Omaha won three, drew one and lost one.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonUnion Omaha or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Both teams' scoring and conceding rates point to a game in the two-to-three goal range rather than a shootout.

• Omaha average 1.8 scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 tracked matches.
• Chattanooga average 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 tracked matches.
• Omaha's last six matches produced 0-0, 1-2, 0-1, 3-1, 2-1 and 3-1.
• Four of the last five head-to-heads finished with three goals or fewer.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29

The read

Both sides' first-half numbers point to at least one goal before the interval, driven mainly by Omaha's fast home starts.

• Omaha have scored 0.93 first-half goals per game across 15 matches.
• Omaha score 1.14 first-half goals per home match; Chattanooga concede 1.0 per away match before the break.
• Six of Omaha's last six matches had at least one first-half goal except the recent 0-0.
• Chattanooga's away first halves have produced goals in most recent road games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Chattanooga's away scoring is thin and Omaha's home defence is strong, making a two-goal away haul unlikely.

• Chattanooga average 0.875 goals per away match (5 goals in 8).
• Omaha concede only 0.86 per home match.
• Chattanooga scored 2 goals across their last six matches.
• Chattanooga were shut out in three of their last six outings.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonChattanooga Red Wolves under 1.5Estimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Both teams' second-half numbers are low, especially Chattanooga's away output, pointing to a quiet closing period.

• Omaha average 0.87 second-half goals at home and concede 0.33.
• Chattanooga average 0.375 second-half goals away and concede 0.375.
• Omaha's second-half defence is the tightest part of their home profile.
• Chattanooga's away second halves have produced very few goals.