Cherno More Varna22 – 0Septemvri Sofia0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Cherno More have dominated this fixture and face an away side with only one win on the road, so covering the draw is the safer match outcome.

• H2H last five: Cherno More 4 wins, 1 draw.
• Septemvri away league record: 1W 1D 3L.
• Cherno More home league record: 1W 1D 3L.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonCherno More Varna or DrawEstimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35

The read

Both defenses leak at around two goals per game, and even these weak attacks should combine for at least two goals.

• Combined average total goals: Cherno More 2.85, Septemvri 2.82.
• Cherno More concede 1.77 per game; Septemvri concede 1.91.
• Both teams scored in 7/13 and 6/11 matches respectively.
• Last five H2H all had at least two goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Septemvri score less than a goal per game and have only four goals in five away league matches, making a multi-goal away day unlikely.

• Septemvri average 0.91 goals overall and 0.8 away.
• They scored only 4 goals in 5 away league matches.
• Cherno More concede 1.77 per game, but Septemvri rarely score more than once.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSeptemvri Sofia under 1.5Estimated chance78%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams pick up around three yellows per game, and their combined card average sits above five and a half.

• Cherno More average 3.09 yellow cards; opponents 2.45.
• Septemvri average 2.73 yellow cards; opponents 2.09.
• Expected match yellow-card total is around 5.8.