2. BundesligaFull time

Predictions graded

Osnabruck3SpVgg Greuther Furth0

HT 2–0Sun 25 Oct 2026, 12:30 Predictions graded

Predictions3–443%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 42%–58%ShotsShots 14–13On targetOn target 9–1CornersCorners 6–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 09:52 · Europe/Bucharest

Osnabrück sit a point below Fürth and have conceded in eight of nine league games, while Fürth have lost once in four on the road.

A close, two-sided afternoon points to Fürth avoiding defeat. Draw or Fürth at 1.73 is the one price that holds; Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 and both teams to score at 1.48 ask more than the record supports.

Context

The fixture listing places this match at 13:30 at Gemeindestadion Mirco Aghetoni and includes both starting XIs. A revised kick-off affects the final matchday schedule, while published line-ups resolve the immediate selection picture for this fixture. The supplied evidence does not identify the individual selections or explain why the kick-off changed.
- The fixture is listed for Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 13:30.
- Gemeindestadion Mirco Aghetoni is listed as the venue.
- Both starting line-ups are published.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 09:49 · Europe/BucharestFussball-News match listingfussball-news.de · 25 Oct 2026
Fürth's preparation is explicitly centred on Osnabrück's pressing and the counter-attacks that can follow lost possession. That points to a fixture-specific priority in how Fürth manage possession and their rest defence. The comments do not establish a formation change, named selection decision, or a different approach once the match begins.
- Fürth expect a very combative game.
- Osnabrück's pressing was described as forceful and effective.
- Fürth are focused on avoiding Osnabrück counter-attacks.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 09:49 · Europe/Bucharest2. Bundesliga live tickerwww.bundesliga.com · 25 Oct 2026
Osnabrück's view of Fürth is shaped by their increasing compactness and recent progression from match to match. That makes the opponent's defensive organisation a direct consideration for this fixture rather than a generic assessment of league form. The assessment does not identify a specific tactical adjustment or establish that compactness will be maintained in this match.
- Fürth have improved from game to game.
- Fürth have become more compact.
- Osnabrück expect a game at eye level.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 09:49 · Europe/Bucharest2. Bundesliga live tickerwww.bundesliga.com · 25 Oct 2026
Justin Hasmann is assigned to referee the match, with a complete officiating team including Patrick Alt on VAR. This settles an ordinary but useful part of the fixture setup before kick-off. The available evidence identifies no match-specific officiating condition beyond the appointments.
- Justin Hasmann is appointed referee.
- Benedikt Kempkes and Marco Achmüller are assistant referees.
- Patrick Alt is appointed to VAR.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 09:49 · Europe/Bucharest2. Bundesliga live tickerwww.bundesliga.com · 25 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.55fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 64.5%

−4.5ppshort

Both sides concede regularly and their recent matches have usually produced at least three goals.

Both Teams to ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.48fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 67.6%

−4.6ppshort

Both teams have repeatedly scored and conceded, and Osnabrück's recent games have all had goals at both ends.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Fürth's away form is steadier than Osnabrück's home form, so avoiding defeat is the more likely outcome.
- Fürth away record: 1W 2D 1L, 7 goals for and 7 against.
- Osnabrück home record: 1W 1D 2L, 5 goals for and 8 against.
- Fürth have 9 points to Osnabrück's 8.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or SpVgg Greuther FurthEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Osnabrück rarely lead early, while Fürth have generally been hard to beat before the break.
- Osnabrück have not led at half-time in any of their last six competitive matches.
- Osnabrück average 0.56 first-half goals for and 1.11 against.
- Fürth average 0.6 first-half goals for and 0.7 against.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or SpVgg Greuther FurthEstimated chance62%

Goals1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Both sides concede regularly and their recent matches have usually produced at least three goals.
- Osnabrück league matches average 3.44 total goals; Fürth's average 3.0.
- Osnabrück have conceded in 8 of 9 league matches; Fürth in 8 of 10.
- Osnabrück's last six competitive matches produced 20 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Both teams have repeatedly scored and conceded, and Osnabrück's recent games have all had goals at both ends.
- Osnabrück have both scored and conceded in 7 of 9 league matches; Fürth in 7 of 10.
- Osnabrück's last six competitive matches all had both teams scoring.
- Osnabrück average 2.11 goals against; Fürth average 1.5.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance63%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Fürth generate plenty of corners and Osnabrück concede many, pointing to a high combined corner count.
- Osnabrück average 2.67 corners and allow 7.11; Fürth average 6.8 and allow 5.2.
- Fürth's last six matches had over 9.5 corners in four.
- Osnabrück's last six matches had over 9.5 corners in three.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams allow plenty of shots, and Fürth's matches in particular have produced high combined shot totals.
- Osnabrück average 12.1 shots and allow 18.6; Fürth average 15.2 and allow 14.9.
- Recent combined shot totals cleared 27.5 in three of Osnabrück's last six.
- Fürth's last six cleared 27.5 in four.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 27.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences allow regular work on target, and Fürth's recent matches have often cleared the combined line.
- Osnabrück average 4.2 shots on target and allow 5.6; Fürth average 5.3 and allow 5.8.
- Fürth's last six produced five totals of 10 or more shots on target.
- Osnabrück's last six produced three totals of 10 or more.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance57%

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

L2-0VfL OsnabruckvSpVgg Greuther FurthApr 7, 20242.

L4-0SpVgg Greuther FurthvVfL OsnabruckOct 27, 20232.

W0-1VfL OsnabruckvSpVgg Greuther FurthJan 26, 20212.

D1-1SpVgg Greuther FurthvVfL OsnabruckSep 20, 20202.

W0-2SpVgg Greuther FurthvVfL OsnabruckMay 26, 20202.

Osnabruck: 2 clean sheetsSpVgg Greuther Furth: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Osnabruck	8	2	2	4	11-15	8	LDDLW
10	SpVgg Greuther Furth	8	2	3	3	12-13	9	WLDDL

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Osnabruck

Osnabruck

L1-2Arminia BielefeldOct 182.

D1-1Dynamo DresdenOct 102.

L0-1Djurgardens IFOct 3FRI

L1-4VfL BochumOct 2FRI

W3-0WiedenbrückSep 23FRI

D1-1Holstein KielSep 192.

L1-3Hertha BSCSep 132.

W3-1Eintracht BraunschweigSep 62.

L1-4Bayern MünchenSep 2DFB

W1-0VfL BochumAug 282.

W5-3Spelle-VenhausAug 18FRI

L0-31. FC MagdeburgAug 152.

L3-41. FC HeidenheimAug 82.

L0-2SC Paderborn 07Aug 1FRI

W7-0NordhornJul 24FRI

SpVgg Greuther Furth

SpVgg Greuther Furth

W2-0Eintracht BraunschweigOct 172.

L1-2Hertha BSCOct 112.

L0-5VfB StuttgartOct 1FRI

D1-11. FC MagdeburgSep 182.

D1-1VfL BochumSep 122.

L0-11. FC HeidenheimSep 62.

W4-3Energie CottbusAug 292.

L1-2VfL BochumAug 23DFB

L2-41. FC NürnbergAug 152.

D1-1FC St. PauliAug 92.

W3-2FC ZurichJul 18FRI

W3-1Eintracht BambergJul 11FRI

W3-0EltersdorfJul 8FRI

L0-1BayreuthJul 5FRI

W2-0Rot-Weiß EssenMay 262.

Squad & Injuries

Osnabruck

26 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

SpVgg Greuther Furth

30 available

Attackers3

Midfielders13

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3