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Predictions graded

Osnabruck1Hertha Berlin3

HT 0–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 11:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges5–0100%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 14–22On targetOn target 7–7CornersCorners 4–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 17:24 · Europe/Bucharest

Hertha Berlin are strong favourites with a perfect record, but Seguin's suspension adds risk.

Best value bets: Hertha Berlin to win at 2.10 (+7pt edge) and over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.15 (+9pt edge). Avoid over 2.5 total goals as it is overpriced.

Context

Hertha Berlin is top of the 2. Bundesliga with 12 points from four matches.
They have scored 12 goals and conceded 5, showing both attacking output and defensive solidity. Their away record is perfect with two wins from two, scoring 6 goals. This form suggests they will be confident and difficult to beat, though Osnabruck's home support may pose a challenge.
- Hertha Berlin has won all four league matches (WWWW).
- They lead the table with 12 points, 7 goals difference.
- Away record: 2 wins, 6 goals scored, 3 conceded.
Hertha Berlin's attacking output has been exceptional this season.
They average 3.3 goals per game and have scored 12 in four matches. Their recent 5-3 away win at Eintracht Braunschweig on 2026-08-28 shows their ability to score heavily on the road. Osnabruck's defense, which has conceded 8 goals, will need to be at its best to contain them.
- Hertha Berlin averages 3.3 goals per match.
- They scored 5 goals away at Eintracht Braunschweig on 2026-08-28.
- Osnabruck has conceded 8 goals in 4 matches.
Osnabruck is eighth in the 2. Bundesliga with 6 points from four matches.
They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they have one win and one loss, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. This inconsistency may be exploited by Hertha Berlin's in-form attack.
- Osnabruck's form is WWLL.
- They have 6 points, 7 goals scored, 8 conceded.
- Home record: 1 win, 1 loss, 3 goals scored, 4 conceded.
Hertha Berlin midfielder P. Seguin is suspended for the away match at Osnabrück.
His absence removes a central-midfield option, forcing Hertha to reconfigure that unit. The team must adjust build-up support, ball recovery, and transition protection without him.
- The DFB disciplinary list, updated 9 September, records P. Seguin of Hertha BSC as suspended for one 2. Bundesliga match after a yellow-red card.
- Hertha’s 9 September interview confirms that Seguin is suspended for the match in Osnabrück.
ConfirmedSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 17:23 · Europe/BucharestDFB suspension listwww.dfb.de · 9 Sep 2026Hertha BSC interview with Seguin and Sessawww.herthabsc.com · 9 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hertha Berlin's perfect start and superior away form give them a clear edge, while Osnabruck's inconsistent results and defensive vulnerabilities make an away win the most likely outcome.
- Hertha Berlin are top of the 2. Bundesliga with 12 points from 4 matches (WWWW), scoring 12 and conceding 5.
- Osnabruck are 8th with 6 points (WWLL), scoring 7 and conceding 8.
- Hertha Berlin have won both away matches this season, scoring 6 and conceding 3.
- Osnabruck have lost 2 of their last 4 league matches, including a 0-3 home defeat to Magdeburg.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHertha BerlinEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Hertha Berlin's unbeaten start and Osnabruck's mixed form, the double chance of a draw or away win covers the most probable outcomes.
- Hertha Berlin have won all 4 league matches this season.
- Osnabruck have lost 2 of their last 4 league matches.
- Hertha Berlin have not lost away this season (2 wins).
- Osnabruck's home record is 1 win and 1 loss.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Hertha BerlinEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hertha Berlin's strong first-half performances and Osnabruck's tendency to trail at the break give the away side a slight edge in the first half.
- Hertha Berlin have led at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Osnabruck have trailed at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Hertha Berlin average 1.3 first-half goals, Osnabruck 1.1.
- Hertha Berlin have won 3 of 4 matches at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostHertha BerlinEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hertha Berlin's ability to control matches from the first half and maintain leads makes the HT/FT double a plausible but not highly probable outcome.
- Hertha Berlin have led at half-time and won the match in 3 of 4 league games.
- Osnabruck have trailed at half-time and lost the match in 2 of 4 league games.
- Hertha Berlin's away form is perfect (2 wins).
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostHertha Berlin/Hertha BerlinEstimated chance35%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, with Hertha Berlin's attacking output and Osnabruck's defensive leaks suggesting over 2.5 goals is likely.
- Hertha Berlin's league matches average 4.25 total goals (17 goals in 4 games).
- Osnabruck's league matches average 3.75 total goals (15 goals in 4 games).
- Hertha Berlin have scored 12 goals in 4 league matches.
- Osnabruck have conceded 8 goals in 4 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Osnabruck's defensive record suggests Hertha Berlin will find the net, while Osnabruck's home threat makes a clean sheet unlikely.
- Hertha Berlin have scored in all 4 league matches.
- Osnabruck have scored in 3 of their 4 league matches.
- Hertha Berlin have conceded in 3 of their 4 league matches.
- Osnabruck have conceded in all 4 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, but the probability is tempered by the possibility of a cautious start, making over 1.5 first-half goals a moderate chance.
- Hertha Berlin average 1.3 first-half goals per match.
- Osnabruck average 1.1 first-half goals per match.
- Hertha Berlin have led at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Osnabruck have trailed at half-time in 47% of matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The second half is likely to be open as Hertha Berlin push for a win and Osnabruck chase the game, leading to more goals after the break.
- Hertha Berlin's matches have seen 2.5 second-half goals on average.
- Osnabruck's matches have seen 2.0 second-half goals on average.
- Hertha Berlin have scored 7 second-half goals in 4 matches.
- Osnabruck have conceded 5 second-half goals in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the total is close to the line, making over 9.5 corners a coin-flip proposition.
- Hertha Berlin average 4.7 corners per match.
- Osnabruck average 4.8 corners per match.
- Combined average corners per match is 9.5.
- Recent matches show variability in corner counts.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined shots on target average is near the line, and both teams are capable of testing the goalkeeper, making over 8.5 a balanced bet.
- Hertha Berlin average 4.1 shots on target per match.
- Osnabruck average 4.7 shots on target per match.
- Combined average shots on target is 8.8.
- Hertha Berlin's attacking style leads to high shot volumes.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hertha Berlin's aggressive pressing style leads to more fouls and cards, and combined with Osnabruck's discipline, over 3.5 cards is slightly favored.
- Hertha Berlin average 2.8 yellow cards per match.
- Osnabruck average 1.5 yellow cards per match.
- Hertha Berlin have received 11 yellow cards in 4 matches.
- Osnabruck have received 6 yellow cards in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 33% vs our estimate 25%; no value on the home side given Hertha's form.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 1W

L2-1VfL OsnabruckvHertha BerlinMay 19, 20242.

D0-0Hertha BerlinvVfL OsnabruckDec 16, 20232.

1.5 goals/game avg

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Osnabruck	4	2	0	2	7-8	6	WWLL
1	Hertha Berlin Promotion	4	4	0	0	12-5	12	WWWW

6pt gap between teamsHertha Berlin leads the league

Recent Form

Osnabruck

W3-1Eintracht BraunschweigSep 62.

L1-4Bayern MünchenSep 2DFB

W1-0VfL BochumAug 282.

W5-3Spelle-VenhausAug 18FRI

L0-31. FC MagdeburgAug 152.

L3-41. FC HeidenheimAug 82.

L0-2SC Paderborn 07Aug 1FRI

W7-0NordhornJul 24FRI

L0-1FK JablonecJul 12FRI

W4-3Stuttgart IIMay 163.

D1-1SSV Ulm 1846May 93.

W3-2SV WehenMay 33.

W2-1VerlApr 253.

W1-0FC Ingolstadt 04Apr 183.

W1-0Energie CottbusApr 123.

Hertha Berlin

W2-11. FC MagdeburgSep 62.

W5-3Eintracht BraunschweigAug 282.

W4-11. FC HeidenheimAug 152.

W1-0VfL BochumAug 72.

D2-21. FC KölnJul 31FRI

D1-1Mamelodi SundownsJul 21FRI

W3-2WSG WattensJul 17FRI

W3-1Lokomotive LeipzigJul 11FRI

W9-0LichtenbergJul 8FRI

W15-0FrohnauerJul 4FRI

L1-6Arminia BielefeldMay 172.

W2-1SpVgg Greuther FürthMay 102.

L0-11. FC MagdeburgMay 32.

L0-1Holstein KielApr 252.

D1-1Eintracht BraunschweigApr 192.

Squad & Injuries

Osnabruck

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Hertha Berlin

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Hertha Berlin

Draw or Hertha Berlin

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Yes

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Osnabruck

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Osnabruck

Hertha Berlin

Squad & Injuries

Osnabruck

Hertha Berlin