Bochum or Draw
BetBugs 75% · Market 84.7%
Bochum are unbeaten in the last six competitive meetings with Osnabrück and Osnabrück have lost both league matches this season, but the odds are too short to offer value.
2. BundesligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Bochum are strong favourites based on a six-match unbeaten competitive H2H run and Osnabrück's poor start, but the odds offer no value: Bochum to win at 1.62 implies 61.7% vs our 48% estimate, and the double chance at 1.18 is similarly overpriced.
The over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is close to fair but lacks a clear edge; wait for team news or explore less efficient markets.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 84.7%
Bochum are unbeaten in the last six competitive meetings with Osnabrück and Osnabrück have lost both league matches this season, but the odds are too short to offer value.
BochumBetBugs 48% · Market 61.7%
Bochum's historical competitive H2H dominance and Osnabrück's poor start give them the edge, but the odds imply a much higher probability than our estimate.
BetBugs 58% · Market 59.9%
Osnabrück's league matches have averaged 5.0 total goals and they have conceded 7 in 2 games, but the edge is negative against the odds.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 61.7% leaves no cushion vs our 48% estimate; price already reflects the directional read and offers negative value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 3 |
| 18 | OsnabruckRelegation | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 0 |

