SpVgg Greuther Furth vs Nuremberg: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H draws and the balanced nature of the Frankenderby, combined with early-season lack of decisive form, make a draw the most likely single outcome.
- Last 2 H2H league meetings ended in draws (May 2026, Dec 2025).
- Fürth drew their only league match this season 1-1 away; Nürnberg won 3-0 at home.
- Overall H2H record: 24 Nürnberg wins, 19 Fürth wins, 17 draws in 60 meetings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nürnberg's recent H2H edge and strong start to the season give them a slight advantage, making a draw or away win the safer double chance.
- Nürnberg are unbeaten in last 4 H2H league meetings (W2 D2).
- Nürnberg started the season with a 3-0 win; Fürth drew 1-1.
- Nürnberg's away form last season: 5W 6D 6L, showing resilience.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or NurembergEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nürnberg's strong first-half performances statistically give them an edge to lead at the break, though H2H history shows tight first halves.
- Nürnberg led at half-time in 67% of recent matches (last 15); Fürth led in only 27%.
- Nürnberg scored first-half goals in 4 of last 5 league matches; Fürth in 2 of last 5.
- Last H2H first half: 0-0; previous: 1-1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostNurembergEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves in this fixture have been evenly matched recently, and both teams show balanced second-half performances, making a draw the most probable.
- Fürth's second-half goal difference last 5 league: +1; Nürnberg's: +2.
- Both teams tend to score and concede in second halves, with no clear dominance.
- Last 2 H2H second halves: 1-1 and 1-1.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome given the recent H2H stalemate and Fürth's tendency for slow starts, though Nürnberg's first-half strength makes it a low-confidence pick.
- Last H2H: 0-0 at half-time, 1-1 full-time.
- Fürth drew 0-0 at half-time in 3 of last 5 league matches; Nürnberg led in 4 of 5.
- Overall draw probability is elevated due to H2H pattern.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently score in recent league form and the last two derbies ended with both teams scoring, driven by H2H psychology and offensive form.
- Last 2 H2H league meetings both ended 1-1 and 2-2 (May 2026, Dec 2025).
- Fürth scored in 8 of last 10 league matches; Nürnberg scored in 9 of last 10 league matches.
- Nürnberg's last 5 league matches averaged 2.8 total goals; Fürth's last 5 league matches averaged 2.2 total goals.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Historical H2H and Nürnberg's high-scoring recent form suggest a match with at least three goals, supported by tactical openness in derbies.
- Nürnberg's last 5 league matches: 3,3,1,1,3 goals scored (avg 2.2); Fürth's last 5 league matches: 1,3,0,1,1 goals scored (avg 1.2).
- Combined average goals in last 5 H2H meetings: 3.2 per match.
- Nürnberg's away matches last season averaged 2.8 total goals; Fürth's home matches averaged 2.6 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nürnberg's tendency to score early (67% leading at half-time in recent form) could push first-half goals over 1.5, though Fürth's slower starts add uncertainty.
- Nürnberg's last 5 league matches: first-half goals 2,2,1,1,2 (avg 1.6).
- Fürth's last 5 league matches: first-half goals 0,1,3,0,1 (avg 1.0).
- Last H2H: 0-0 at half-time (May 2026); previous H2H: 1-1 at half-time (Dec 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Historical H2H and Fürth's high corner counts at home suggest a total above 9.5 corners, though Nürnberg's lower recent numbers temper confidence.
- Fürth's last 5 league matches: corners 2,9,8,2,18 (avg 7.8); Nürnberg's: 5,7,5,5,3 (avg 5.0).
- Combined average corners in last 5 H2H: 9.4.
- Fürth's home matches last season averaged 10.2 total corners; Nürnberg's away matches averaged 9.8.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The Frankenderby's rivalry and both teams' consistent card averages point to over 4.5 total cards, supported by H2H history.
- Fürth's last 5 league matches: yellow cards 0,0,3,4,1 (avg 1.6); Nürnberg's: 0,5,2,2,1 (avg 2.0).
- Last H2H: 2 yellow cards each (total 4); previous H2H: 2 each (total 4).
- Derby intensity typically increases card counts; both teams average ~2 cards per game recently.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance65%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

SpVgg Greuther Furth2Nuremberg4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 4.5

Draw or Nuremberg

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 3 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Nuremberg

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

SpVgg Greuther Furth

Nuremberg

Squad & Injuries

SpVgg Greuther Furth

Nuremberg

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	SpVgg Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	1-1	1	D
2	Nuremberg Promotion	1	1	0	0	3-0	3	W