Serie AFull time

Predictions graded

Udinese1Como1

HT 1–0Sat 22 Aug 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–736%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 41%–59%ShotsShots 16–20On targetOn target 3–6CornersCorners 1–10

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 17 Aug 2026, 08:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Como are in better form and likely to avoid defeat, but the match is expected to be low-scoring.

The best betting angle is Under 2.5 goals, though the odds offer no value. Avoid backing Como at 1.75 due to a significant negative edge.

Context

Como's last five Serie A matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, including away wins at Cremonese, Hellas Verona, and Genoa.
- Udinese's last five Serie A matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with home defeats to Cremonese and Parma.
- Como averaged 1.9 goals scored per match compared to Udinese's 1.3 over the same period.
Udinese scored 0 goals in home losses to Cremonese (0-1) and Parma (0-1) in May 2026.
- Udinese failed to score in 3 of their last 5 Serie A matches overall.
- Como kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 Serie A matches, including away at Hellas Verona and Genoa.
Last four Serie A meetings: 1-0 Udinese, 4-1 Como, 1-0 Como, 0-0 draw.
- The 0-0 draw came at Udinese on 6 April 2026.
- Both teams scored in only one of those four matches.
Udinese injury list is empty.
- Como injury list is empty.
- No suspension news reported for either club.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Como

1.75fair 2.63

BetBugs 38% · Market 57%

0.0ppshort

Como are unbeaten in their last 5 Serie A matches with 4 wins, while Udinese have lost 2 of their last 5 at home.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Lean

Draw or Como

1.20fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 83%

−21.0ppshort

Como's unbeaten run and Udinese's home struggles make Como or Draw likely, but the odds are too short.

1 St Half ResultlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

2.15fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 47%

0.0ppshort

Both teams led at halftime in 47% of matches and H2H shows 2 of last 4 level at halftime.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Under 2.5

1.73fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 57.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent Serie A matches and head-to-head history trend toward low-scoring affairs, supporting under 2.5 goals.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

No

1.70fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Udinese's recent scoring struggles and Como's defensive solidity, combined with low-scoring H2H pattern, make both teams not scoring likely.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 1.5

1.33fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half goal averages and a history of tight first halves in this fixture.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Como's superior recent Serie A form and higher attacking output give them an edge, though Udinese's home advantage and H2H balance keep confidence medium.
- Como's last 5 Serie A matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses (including 4-1 away at Cremonese, 1-0 away at Hellas Verona, 2-0 away at Genoa).
- Udinese's last 5 Serie A matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses (including 0-1 home loss to Cremonese, 0-1 home loss to Parma).
- Como average 1.9 goals scored per match overall vs Udinese's 1.3; Como average 1.2 goals conceded vs Udinese's 1.1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostComoEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Como's strong recent form and Udinese's inconsistent home results make a Como win or draw the most likely double chance outcome.
- Como are unbeaten in their last 5 Serie A matches (4W,1D).
- Udinese have lost 2 of their last 5 Serie A matches at home.
- H2H last 4 Serie A meetings: Como unbeaten in 2 of last 3 (1-0 win, 0-0 draw).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonComo or DrawEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half profiles and the H2H shows balanced first halves, making a draw at halftime the most likely single outcome.
- Udinese led at halftime in 47% of matches, trailed in 33%.
- Como led at halftime in 47% of matches, trailed in 27%.
- H2H last 4 Serie A meetings: 2 were level at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A full-time draw is plausible given the low-scoring trend, but the specific HT/FT combination of draw/draw is less common, hence low confidence.
- H2H last meeting ended 0-0.
- Udinese's last 5 Serie A matches: 1 draw (3-3 vs Lazio).
- Como's last 5 Serie A matches: 1 draw (0-0 vs Napoli).
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent Serie A matches and their head-to-head history trend toward low-scoring affairs, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Udinese's last 5 Serie A matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals (0-1, 0-1, 2-0).
- Como's last 5 Serie A matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 1-0, 0-0).
- H2H last 4 Serie A meetings: 3 had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 1-0, 0-0).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Udinese's recent scoring struggles and Como's defensive solidity, combined with low-scoring H2H pattern, make both teams not scoring likely.
- Udinese failed to score in 3 of their last 5 Serie A matches.
- Como kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 Serie A matches.
- H2H last 4 Serie A meetings: both teams scored in only 1 match (4-1 Como).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half goal averages and a history of tight first halves in this fixture.
- Udinese average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.5 first-half goals conceded in last 15 matches.
- Como average 1.0 first-half goals scored and 0.7 first-half goals conceded in last 15 matches.
- H2H last 4 Serie A meetings: 3 had 0 or 1 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Slight lean toward second-half goals as teams open up after halftime, but confidence is low due to overall low-scoring trends.
- Udinese's last 5 Serie A matches: 4 had at least 1 second-half goal.
- Como's last 5 Serie A matches: 4 had at least 1 second-half goal.
- Combined second-half goals per match average for both teams is around 1.4.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner statistics suggest a total around 9-10, with a slight lean to under 9.5 given Udinese's lower corner count.
- Udinese average 4.4 corners per match and concede 5.0 opponent corners per match.
- Como average 5.8 corners per match and concede 3.7 opponent corners per match.
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams: Udinese 9.4, Como 9.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Slight lean to over 8.5 total shots on target based on both teams' averages, but low confidence due to variance in shot accuracy.
- Udinese average 4.6 shots on target per match, concede 4.1 opponent shots on target.
- Como average 5.5 shots on target per match, concede 3.5 opponent shots on target.
- Combined average shots on target in matches involving these teams: Udinese 8.7, Como 9.0.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, and the combined average is below 4.5, suggesting under 4.5 cards is slightly more likely.
- Udinese average 1.6 yellow cards per match, Como average 1.9 yellow cards per match.
- Udinese's opponents average 1.5 yellow cards, Como's opponents average 2.1 yellow cards.
- Combined average cards in matches involving these teams: Udinese 3.1, Como 4.0.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 23% vs our estimate 38% for Como; Udinese's home form is shaky and Como are in better shape.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 2W

D0-0UdinesevComoApr 6, 2026SA

L1-0ComovUdineseJan 3, 2026SA

L4-1ComovUdineseJan 20, 2025SA

W1-0UdinesevComoSep 1, 2024SA

Udinese: 2 clean sheetsComo: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Serie A 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
19	Udinese Relegation	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
4	Como Champions League league stage	0	0	0	0	0-0	0

Udinese leads the leagueComo leads the leagueUdinese in relegation zone

Recent Form

Udinese

W1-0PadovaAug 15CI

W1-0BarcelonaAug 8FRI

W1-0Nottingham ForestAug 8FRI

L0-1TrabzonsporAug 2FRI

D3-3FSV Mainz 05Aug 1FRI

L1-2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiJul 28FRI

L0-2SwanseaJul 24FRI

D2-2Istra 1961Jul 18FRI

L0-1NapoliMay 24SA

L0-1CremoneseMay 17SA

W2-0TorinoMay 2SA

Como

L0-2LiverpoolAug 16FRI

W3-2FamalicaoJul 31COM

W3-1Al UlaJul 29COM

D2-2Paris FCJul 24FRI

W4-1CremoneseMay 24SA

W1-0ParmaMay 17SA

W1-0Hellas VeronaMay 10SA

D0-0NapoliMay 2SA

L2-3InterApr 21CI

W5-0PisaMar 22SA

W2-1AS RomaMar 15SA

Squad & Injuries

Udinese

33 available

Attackers5

Midfielders13

Defenders11

Goalkeeper4

Como

33 available

Attackers9

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Como

Draw or Como

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Udinese

Under 1.5

Under 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Udinese

Como

Squad & Injuries

Udinese

Como