Serie AFull time

Predictions graded

Cagliari0Udinese2

HT 0–0Sat 9 May 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–363%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 63%–37%ShotsShots 22–9On targetOn target 5–6CornersCorners 8–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 May 2026, 21:26 · Europe/Bucharest

Udinese's unbeaten H2H run and Cagliari's attacking injuries make 'Draw or Udinese' (1.53) the top value play with a +5-point edge.

Expect a cagey first half—back the First Half Draw at 2.00—and a low-scoring, low-corner game, with Over 4.5 Cards offering a +4.4-point edge.

Context

Pavoletti (knee) and Borrelli (thigh) are both ruled out, removing Cagliari's two main centre-forward options.
- Midfielders Felici, Liteta, Mazzitelli, and Raterink are also missing, weakening depth and creativity.
- Defender Idrissi is out, and midfielder Deiola is questionable, further reducing squad options.
- Cagliari have failed to score in three of their last five home matches, and this injury crisis makes a repeat likely.
Last four Serie A H2Hs: Cagliari 1-2 Udinese, Udinese 2-0 Cagliari, Udinese 1-1 Cagliari, Cagliari 0-0 Udinese.
- Cagliari have scored only two goals across those four matches, never more than one in a single game.
- Udinese have kept two clean sheets in that run and have not lost any of the four encounters.
Cagliari home half-time scores: 0-0 vs Bologna, 0-0 vs Atalanta, 0-0 vs Cremonese, 0-0 vs Napoli, 0-0 vs Lazio.
- Udinese away half-time results: D vs Lazio, D vs Genoa, D vs Bologna, plus two wins but against weaker defences.
- Cagliari average only 0.4 first-half goals at home, while Udinese concede just 0.3 first-half goals away.
Udinese away clean sheets: vs Torino (2-0), AC Milan (3-0), Genoa (2-0).
- Cagliari home blanks: vs Bologna (0-0), Napoli (0-1), Lazio (0-0).
- Cagliari average only 1.0 goals per game overall, and just 1.18 goals per home game this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Udinese's historical H2H dominance and Cagliari's extensive injury list, especially in attack, give the visitors a clear edge despite their own defensive absences.
- Udinese are unbeaten in the last 4 Serie A H2Hs (2W-2D-0L), with Cagliari failing to score more than once in any of those meetings.
- Udinese away record this season: 7W-3D-7L, 25 goals scored, 26 conceded; Cagliari home record: 6W-4D-7L, 20 scored, 20 conceded.
- Cagliari have 7 confirmed absentees including key attackers Pavoletti and Borrelli, plus 1 questionable midfielder; Udinese have 5 defenders out but still maintain a stronger squad depth.
- Cagliari last 5 form: D-W-L-W-L (7 pts); Udinese last 5 form: W-D-L-W-D (8 pts).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonUdineseEstimated chance40%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of Udinese's H2H unbeaten run and Cagliari's depleted squad makes a home win unlikely, strongly favoring Udinese to at least avoid defeat.
- Udinese are unbeaten in the last 4 Serie A H2Hs (2W-2D-0L).
- Cagliari have won only 6 of 17 home games this season (35%), with 4 draws.
- Cagliari missing 7 players, including 2 attackers and 3 midfielders, severely limiting their offensive options.
- Udinese have lost only 7 of 17 away games, with 3 draws.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or UdineseEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cagliari's pattern of 0-0 first halves at home, combined with Udinese's moderate first-half away performance, suggests a stalemate at the break.
- Cagliari's last 5 home matches all ended 0-0 at halftime.
- Udinese have drawn at halftime in 2 of their last 5 away matches, and led in 2 others but against weaker defenses.
- Cagliari have trailed at halftime in only 27% of matches overall, and at home they are more resilient early.
- H2H: Last meeting (2025-10-05) was 1-1 at halftime; previous meeting (2025-05-03) was 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Udinese's tendency to score later in away games and Cagliari's second-half defensive lapses give the visitors a slight edge after the break, though confidence is low due to Cagliari's recent home draws.
- Udinese have scored 60% of their away goals in the second half (15 of 25).
- Cagliari have conceded 55% of their home goals in the second half (11 of 20).
- Udinese have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 away matches (vs Torino, AC Milan, Genoa).
- Cagliari have lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 home matches, drawing the other 3.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableUdineseEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The pattern of Cagliari drawing at halftime and then losing, combined with Udinese's ability to win after a level first half, makes Draw/Udinese a plausible but low-probability outcome.
- Cagliari's last 5 home matches: all 0-0 at halftime, with final results: D, W, L, D, L.
- Udinese have been drawing at halftime in 2 of their last 5 away matches, and went on to win both (vs Torino 2-0, Genoa 2-0).
- H2H: The last meeting ended 1-1 at halftime and 1-1 fulltime; the meeting before that was 0-0 at halftime and Udinese won 2-1.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/UdineseEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cagliari's attacking injuries and poor home scoring record, combined with Udinese's solid away defensive form, suggest at least one side will fail to score.
- Cagliari have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches (vs Bologna 0-0, Napoli 0-1, Lazio 0-0).
- Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 away matches (vs Torino 2-0, AC Milan 3-0, Genoa 2-0).
- Cagliari average only 1.0 goals per game overall, and just 1.18 goals per home game.
- H2H: In the last 4 Serie A meetings, both teams scored only once.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent low-scoring trends, especially Cagliari's home goal drought and Udinese's defensive solidity on the road, point to a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Cagliari's last 5 home matches: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 0-2 (all under 2.5 goals).
- Udinese's last 5 away matches: 2-0, 3-0, 0-0, 2-0, 1-2 (4 of 5 under 2.5).
- Cagliari average 1.0 goals scored, 1.3 conceded; Udinese average 1.4 scored, 0.9 conceded.
- H2H: 3 of the last 4 Serie A meetings had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cagliari's consistent 0-0 halftime scoreline at home and both teams' low first-half scoring averages make a goalless or single-goal first half highly likely.
- Cagliari average 0.4 first-half goals, conceding 0.4; only 20% of matches they lead at halftime.
- Udinese average 0.6 first-half goals, conceding 0.3; 40% lead at halftime but still low overall first-half scoring.
- In Cagliari's last 5 home matches, first-half goals: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 (all 0-0 at HT).
- In Udinese's last 5 away matches, first-half goals: 1, 2, 0, 0, 1 (only one match with over 1.5 first-half goals).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner averages and recent match totals consistently fall below 9.5, indicating a low-corner game is likely.
- Cagliari average 3.8 corners per game, conceding 5.5 opponent corners (total avg 9.3).
- Udinese average 4.5 corners per game, conceding 4.9 opponent corners (total avg 9.4).
- In Cagliari's last 5 home matches, total corners: 9, 10, 9, 9, 9 (all under 10.5, most under 9.5).
- In Udinese's last 5 away matches, total corners: 7, 7, 8, 8, 7 (all under 9.5).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
While recent home/away card averages are slightly below 4.5, the overall season averages and H2H history suggest a moderately carded match, with a slight lean towards over 4.5 cards.
- Cagliari average 2.1 yellow cards per game, Udinese average 1.9.
- Cagliari's last 5 home matches: yellow cards: 1, 1, 2, 3, 0 (total 7, avg 1.4); but opponent yellows: 2, 1, 2, 2, 1 (total 8, avg 1.6) -> combined avg 3.0.
- Udinese's last 5 away matches: yellow cards: 1, 1, 2, 5, 2 (total 11, avg 2.2); opponent yellows: 1, 3, 3, 1, 1 (total 9, avg 1.8) -> combined avg 4.0.
- H2H: Last 4 Serie A meetings had total cards: 4, 5, 3, 4 (avg 4.0).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

D1-1UdinesevCagliariOct 5, 2025SA

L1-2CagliarivUdineseMay 3, 2025SA

L2-0UdinesevCagliariOct 25, 2024SA

D1-1UdinesevCagliariFeb 18, 2024SA

W1-2UdinesevCagliariNov 1, 2023CI

2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Serie A 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Cagliari	35	9	10	16	36-49	37	DWLWL
11	Udinese	35	13	8	14	43-46	47	WDLWD

10pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Cagliari

D0-0BolognaMay 3SA

W3-2AtalantaApr 27SA

L0-3InterApr 17SA

W1-0CremoneseApr 11SA

L1-2SassuoloApr 4SA

L0-1NapoliMar 20SA

L1-3PisaMar 15SA

L1-2ComoMar 7SA

D1-1ParmaFeb 27SA

D0-0LazioFeb 21SA

L0-2LecceFeb 16SA

L0-2AS RomaFeb 9SA

W4-0Hellas VeronaJan 31SA

W2-1FiorentinaJan 24SA

W1-0JuventusJan 17SA

Udinese

W2-0TorinoMay 2SA

D3-3LazioApr 27SA

L0-1ParmaApr 18SA

W3-0AC MilanApr 11SA

D0-0ComoApr 6SA

W2-0GenoaMar 20SA

L0-1JuventusMar 14SA

D2-2AtalantaMar 7SA

W3-0FiorentinaMar 2SA

L0-1BolognaFeb 23SA

L1-2SassuoloFeb 15SA

L1-2LecceFeb 8SA

W1-0AS RomaFeb 2SA

W3-1Hellas VeronaJan 26SA

L0-1InterJan 17SA

Squad & Injuries

Cagliari

16 out

Attackers4/7

×#29

×#30

×#29

×#30

Midfielders10/14

×#17

×#27

×#4

×#18

×#14

×#17

×#27

×#4

×#18

×#14

Defenders2/8

×#3

Goalkeeper4

#29 G. Borrelli — Thigh Injury

#17 M. Felici — Knee Injury

#3 R. Idrissi — Knee Injury

#27 J. Liteta — Thigh Injury

#4 L. Mazzitelli — Injury

#30 L. Pavoletti — Knee Injury

#18 O. Raterink — Muscle Injury

#14 A. Deiola — Thigh Injury

#29 G. Borrelli — Thigh Injury

#17 M. Felici — Knee Injury

#3 R. Idrissi — Knee Injury

#27 J. Liteta — Thigh Injury

#4 L. Mazzitelli — Injury

#30 L. Pavoletti — Knee Injury

#18 O. Raterink — Muscle Injury

#14 A. Deiola — Thigh Injury

Udinese

14 out

Attackers2/7

×#9

Midfielders4/10

×#14

×#8

×#14

×#8

Defenders8/6

×#13

×#27

×#59

×#33

×#13

×#27

×#59

×#33

Goalkeeper4

#13 N. Bertola — Thigh Injury

#9 K. Davis — Thigh Injury

#27 C. Kabasele — Yellow Cards

#59 A. Zanoli — Knee Injury

#33 J. Zemura — Muscle Injury

#14 A. Atta — Injury

#8 J. Karlstrom — Injury

#13 N. Bertola — Thigh Injury

#9 K. Davis — Thigh Injury

#27 C. Kabasele — Yellow Cards

#59 A. Zanoli — Knee Injury

#33 J. Zemura — Muscle Injury

#14 A. Atta — Injury

#8 J. Karlstrom — Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Udinese

Draw

Under 9.5

Over 4.5

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Cagliari

Udinese

Squad & Injuries

Cagliari

Udinese