Napoli vs Udinese: result, stats and head-to-head

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Napoli's strong home form (12 wins in 18) and superior squad quality give them the edge, though motivation is low for both sides, reducing confidence.
- Napoli home record: 12W-4D-2L (32 GF, 18 GA) in 18 Serie A matches this season.
- Napoli last 5 home matches: 3W-1D-1L, scoring 2+ goals in 3 of those.
- Udinese away record: 8W-3D-7L (27 GF, 26 GA), but lost 3 of last 5 away (W1 D1 L3).
- H2H last 5: Napoli 2W, Udinese 1W, 2D; Napoli won last home meeting 3-1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNapoliEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Napoli are very hard to beat at home (2 losses all season) and Udinese's away form has dipped, making a home win or draw highly likely.
- Napoli home losses this season: only 2 in 18 matches.
- Udinese away wins: 8 in 18, but only 1 in last 5 away games.
- H2H last 6 meetings: Napoli won 2, drawn 3, lost 1.
- Both teams have nothing tangible to play for, reducing upset urgency.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonNapoli or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Napoli's tendency to start strong at home gives them a decent chance to lead at the break, though Udinese's resilience keeps confidence moderate.
- Napoli led at halftime in 53% of last 15 matches; at home, they led in 7 of last 10.
- Udinese trailed at halftime in only 13% of recent matches, but away they trailed in 4 of last 8.
- H2H last 5: Napoli led at halftime in 2, drawn in 2, trailed in 1.
- Napoli scored first-half goals in 12 of 18 home games this season.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonNapoliEstimated chance45%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches this season trend towards goals, and with nothing at stake, an open game is likely, pushing the total over 2.5.
- Napoli home matches average 2.78 total goals (32 GF, 18 GA in 18 games).
- Udinese away matches average 2.94 total goals (27 GF, 26 GA in 18 games).
- Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Napoli scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home games; Udinese conceded in 5 of last 6 away.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Napoli's home defense isn't watertight, and Udinese consistently find the net away, making both teams scoring a strong possibility.
- Napoli home: both teams scored in 10 of 18 matches (56%).
- Udinese away: both teams scored in 11 of 18 matches (61%).
- Udinese scored in 7 of last 8 away matches.
- Napoli kept only 4 clean sheets in 18 home games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Napoli tend to start fast at home, and Udinese often concede early away, making a first-half goal highly probable.
- Napoli home first-half goals: 0.9 per game average; scored in 12 of 18 home first halves.
- Udinese away first-half goals: 0.5 per game average; conceded in 10 of 18 away first halves.
- Last 5 H2H: first-half goals in 4 of 5 meetings.
- Napoli led at halftime in 53% of recent matches overall.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With the game likely opening up after halftime, especially if stakes are low, a second-half goal flurry is plausible.
- Napoli home second-half goals: 1.1 per game average; conceded 0.7.
- Udinese away second-half goals: 1.0 per game average; conceded 0.9.
- Last 5 H2H: second-half goals in all 5, with 3 having over 1.5.
- Both teams tend to score more in second halves this season.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the match could see enough attacking intent to push the total over 9.5, but it's a borderline call.
- Napoli home corners average: 5.7 per game; concede 3.1.
- Udinese away corners average: 4.5 per game; concede 5.2.
- Combined average corners in Napoli home games: 8.8; in Udinese away games: 9.7.
- Last 5 H2H: total corners averaged 9.2, with 3 of 5 over 9.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The data hovers around the 8.5 line, and with an open game expected, there's a slight lean towards over, but confidence is low due to variance.
- Napoli home shots on target average: 4.9 per game; concede 3.4.
- Udinese away shots on target average: 4.1 per game; concede 4.6.
- Combined average shots on target in Napoli home games: 8.3; in Udinese away games: 8.7.
- Last 5 H2H: shots on target averaged 8.2, with 2 of 5 over 8.5.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With nothing at stake, the match is unlikely to be overly physical, and both teams' card averages suggest a low total, though Udinese's away discipline is slightly worse.
- Napoli home yellow cards average: 1.4 per game; opponents 1.6.
- Udinese away yellow cards average: 2.1 per game; opponents 1.8.
- Combined average cards in Napoli home games: 3.0; in Udinese away games: 3.9.
- Last 5 H2H: total cards averaged 3.4, with 3 of 5 under 3.5.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 3.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Napoli Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	37	22	7	8	57-36	73	WLDWL
10	Udinese	37	14	8	15	45-47	50	LWWDL

Napoli1Udinese0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Yes

Napoli or Draw

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Napoli

Udinese

Squad & Injuries

Napoli

Udinese