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Partick ThistleGreenock Morton

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:0031 Oct, 15:00Live

7Probabilities6Priced6Edges76%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

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Context last updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:18 · Europe/Bucharest

League leaders with six home clean sheets against a ninth-placed Morton side that has just won twice: Partick Thistle should win, but the 1.2 for a home victory asks far more than the form supports.

Three prices hold up — both teams not to score at 1.73, fewer than three goals at 2.6, and Partick to score no more than two at 1.8.

Context

Partick have four wins and two draws from six home league games with nine goals scored and none conceded, while Morton have one away league win in five and arrive after a postponed fixture. The table and home-record gap is the dominant sporting condition, tempered by Morton's two straight wins.

Morton's official 24 October statement confirms that their Ayr United fixture did not take place. That changes the immediate preparation schedule for the Firhill trip, while Partick played Stenhousemuir on the same date. The statement does not give a reason for the postponement or establish any effect on Morton's availability or training.
- Greenock Morton announced on 24 October that the day's match against Ayr United had been postponed.
- Morton's latest completed league match in the supplied fixture record was their 2-0 win over Queen's Park on 17 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 31 Oct 2026, 15:16 · Europe/Bucharest
Partick's 26 October post confirms that Ingram's appearance against Stenhousemuir was his first competitive start of the season. It is a recent change in the team's selection picture immediately before Morton visit Firhill. The club has not named a squad or confirmed whether that start will be repeated in this match.
- Partick stated on 26 October that Ethan Ingram made his first competitive start of the season against Stenhousemuir.
- The club's post identifies the start as coming in the Stenhousemuir victory at Firhill.
- E. Ingram started 1 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 31 Oct 2026, 15:16 · Europe/Bucharest
Firhill has produced six clean sheets in six home league games, with nine goals at the other end. Morton have scored four times in five away league games, so finding a way through is their specific test. The record describes a strong home defence, not a guaranteed result.
- Partick's 2026-27 home league record is 6 played, 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost, with 9 goals for and 0 against.
- They have kept six clean sheets in those six home league matches and average 1.5 goals scored per home game.
Those two wins changed the picture before the trip to Firhill, and both came with two goals scored. They had lost the previous three league games, and their away league record still reads one win in five. The upturn is recent and small, but it is why this is not a straightforward formality.
- Morton beat Queen's Park 2-0 at home on 17 October 2026, after a 2-1 away win at Arbroath on 10 October 2026.
- Earlier in the same sequence they lost 1-2 to Raith Rovers, 0-2 at Inverness CT and 0-1 to Dunfermline.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Partick's strong home record and Morton's poor away form point to a home win.
- Partick are 1st with 25 points from 12 (7W-4D-1L); Morton are 9th with 7 points (2W-1D-8L).
- Partick's home league record is 4W-2D-0L with 9 goals for and 0 against in 6 games.
- Morton's away league record is 1W-1D-3L with 4 goals for and 8 against.
- Partick are unbeaten in the last five head-to-head meetings (3 wins, 2 draws).
BetBugs · Match WinnerPartick ThistleMarket price1.20Estimated chance60%

Goals6 outcomes · top 76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Partick's home defence has been complete and Morton have scored very little away from home.
- Partick have kept six clean sheets in six home league games.
- Morton average 0.57 goals per away match across seven away games.
- Morton have scored only 4 goals in 7 away matches in the supplied record.
- Partick have conceded 0 goals at home in the league this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreNoMarket price1.73Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.60
The read
Both teams' home/away splits point to a low-scoring game, with Partick's home defence especially strong.
- Partick average 1.5 goals for and 0 against per home league game.
- Morton average 0.57 goals for and 1.86 against per away game.
- Partick's home matches have produced 9 total goals in 6 games.
- Morton's away matches have produced 17 total goals in 7 games, but they are heavily skewed by conceded goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5Market price2.60Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Partick's home scoring average sits comfortably below three goals per game.
- Partick have scored 9 goals in 6 home league games, an average of 1.5.
- They were held to 0 by Raith Rovers at home in their most recent home draw.
- Partick have scored 3 in two recent home league wins, showing a ceiling above this line.
- Morton have conceded 8 goals in 5 away league games, so Partick should get chances.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalPartick Thistle under 2.5Market price1.80Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13
The read
Morton's away scoring rate is low and Partick have not conceded at home in the league.
- Morton have scored 4 goals in 5 away league games and 4 in 7 away games across competitions.
- Their all-competition away average is 0.57 goals per match.
- Partick have conceded 0 goals in 6 home league games.
- Morton were shut out by Inverness CT away in a recent 0-2 loss.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalGreenock Morton under 1.5Market price1.13Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Partick's early home scoring and Morton's first-half away concessions make at least one first-half goal likely.
- Partick average 1.17 first-half goals at home and have conceded 0 first-half goals at home.
- Morton average 0.29 first-half goals away and 0.71 conceded first-half goals away.
- Partick scored twice before half-time in recent home wins over Stenhousemuir and Arbroath.
- Morton conceded first-half goals in away league games this season.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.20Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The second-half goal expectation is low, with Partick strong defensively after the break.
- Partick average 0.33 second-half goals at home and 0 against.
- Morton average 0.29 second-half goals away and 1.14 conceded second-half goals away.
- Partick's six home clean sheets include second-half shutouts.
- Morton have conceded second-half goals at a rate above one per away game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfUnder 1.5Estimated chance72%

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W0-1MortonvPartickAug 1, 2026CHA

W1-2MortonvPartickMar 13, 2026CHA

L3-2PartickvMortonJan 3, 2026CHA

D1-1MortonvPartickOct 11, 2025CHA

D1-1PartickvMortonAug 9, 2025CHA

2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Championship 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Partick Thistle Promotion - Premiership	12	7	4	1	15-4	25	WDWWW
9	Greenock Morton Championship (Relegation)	11	2	1	8	9-18	7	WWLLL

18pt gap between teamsPartick Thistle leads the leagueGreenock Morton in relegation zone

Recent Form

Partick Thistle

W3-0StenhousemuirOct 24CHA

D1-1DunfermlineOct 20CHA

W1-0Ayr UtdOct 16CHA

W2-1LivingstonOct 10CHA

W3-0ArbroathOct 3CHA

D0-0Raith RoversSep 19CHA

L0-1StenhousemuirSep 15CHA

W1-0Ayr UtdSep 5CHA

D0-0Queen's ParkAug 29CHA

D1-1Inverness CTAug 21CHA

L0-1HibernianAug 16LEA

W2-0LivingstonAug 7CHA

W1-0MortonAug 1CHA

D2-2ClydebankJul 26FRI

W4-0Forfar AthleticJul 14LEA

Greenock Morton

W2-0Queen's ParkOct 17CHA

W2-1ArbroathOct 10CHA

L1-2Raith RoversOct 3CHA

L0-2Inverness CTSep 25CHA

L0-1DunfermlineSep 19CHA

L1-4LivingstonSep 11CHA

L1-2Queen's ParkSep 5CHA

D1-1Ayr UtdAug 29CHA

L1-2ArbroathAug 22CHA

L0-2StenhousemuirAug 8CHA

L0-1PartickAug 1CHA

L0-1Inverness CTJul 25LEA

L0-3ST JohnstoneJul 18LEA

L0-2East FifeJul 14LEA

L0-1Linlithgow RoseJul 11LEA

Squad & Injuries

Partick Thistle

25 available

Attackers6

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Greenock Morton

29 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Under 2.5

Partick Thistle under 2.5

Partick Thistle

Greenock Morton under 1.5

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result1 outcome · top 60%

Goals6 outcomes · top 76%

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Partick Thistle

Greenock Morton

Squad & Injuries

Partick Thistle

Greenock Morton