Ayr UnitedvsPartick Thistle

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Partick's stronger league position, tight defence and recent edge in this fixture give them the better chance despite playing away.

• Partick sit 3rd on 18 points from 9 league games; Ayr are 7th on 12 from 10
• Partick have conceded 3 league goals in 9 games and kept 8 clean sheets in 13 competitive matches
• Partick's away league record is 2W 1D 1L; Ayr's home league record is 1W 2D 2L
• Partick have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

BetBugs · Match WinnerPartick ThistleEstimated chance42%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams score sparingly before the break and Partick in particular rarely concede early, pointing to a level first half.

• Ayr average 0.86 first-half goals for and 0.43 against at home
• Partick average 0.71 first-half goals for and 0.29 against away
• Only 2 first-half goals conceded by Partick in 13 competitive matches
• Four of Ayr's last six matches were level at half-time

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams score sparingly after the break, making a level second half the most likely single outcome.

• Ayr average 0.71 second-half goals for and 0.57 against at home
• Partick average 0.43 second-half goals for and 0.43 against away
• Ayr drew the second half in 4 of their last 6 matches
• Partick's last six matches produced few second-half goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Home advantage and a steady home scoring rate keep Ayr in the contest, though their home league results have been modest. Partick's stronger league position, tight defence and recent edge in this fixture give them the better chance despite playing away.

• Ayr have 7 wins in 15 competitive matches but only 3 wins and 2 draws from 7 home games
• Ayr average 1.57 goals per home game and concede 1.0 at home
• Partick sit 3rd on 18 points from 9 league games; Ayr are 7th on 12 from 10
• Partick have conceded 3 league goals in 9 games and kept 8 clean sheets in 13 competitive matches

BetBugs · Double ChanceAyr United or Partick ThistleEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams score sparingly before the break and Partick in particular rarely concede early, pointing to a level first half. Partick's habit of scoring first-half goals while rarely conceding gives them a reasonable chance of leading at the break.

• Ayr average 0.86 first-half goals for and 0.43 against at home
• Partick average 0.71 first-half goals for and 0.29 against away
• Partick average 0.71 first-half goals per away game
• Partick have conceded only 2 first-half goals in 13 competitive matches

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDraw or Partick ThistleEstimated chance73%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Games involving Partick have been consistently low-scoring, making fewer than three goals the more likely outcome.

• Partick's 9 league games have produced 13 goals in total
• Partick have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 competitive matches
• Partick's last six competitive matches produced 5 goals in total
• Partick away games average 1.86 total goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Partick's strong defence and Ayr's modest home scoring make at least one clean sheet likely.

• Partick have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 competitive matches
• Partick away record: 2 clean sheets in 7 with 0.71 conceded per game
• Ayr have scored 6 goals in 7 home games
• Partick have scored 4 goals in their 7 away games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Partick's defensive record and Ayr's modest home goal output point to Ayr scoring one or fewer.

• Ayr have scored 6 goals in 7 home games
• Partick concede only 0.71 goals per away game
• Partick have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 competitive matches
• Ayr were held to 0 goals by Stenhousemuir at home in September

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalAyr United under 1.5Estimated chance69%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Partick's away goal output has been limited and Ayr's home defence is reasonably tight.

• Partick have scored 4 goals in 7 away games
• Partick failed to score in 3 of their last 7 competitive matches
• Ayr have kept 2 clean sheets in 7 home games
• Ayr conceded just 6 goals in 7 home games

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalPartick Thistle under 1.5Estimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ayr have kept few home clean sheets and Partick have been scoring in recent wins.

• Ayr kept only 2 clean sheets in 7 home games
• Partick scored 1.14 goals per away game
• Partick scored in both of their last two league wins
• Ayr conceded 5 goals in their last 6 matches

BetBugs · Team to ScorePartick Thistle to scoreEstimated chance71%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ayr score regularly and Partick's away clean-sheet record is much weaker than at home.

• Ayr scored in 12 of 15 competitive matches
• Partick kept only 2 clean sheets in 7 away games
• Ayr average 1.57 goals per home game
• Partick conceded in their last away game at Livingston

BetBugs · Team to ScoreAyr United to scoreEstimated chance67%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Both teams score before half-time often enough for at least one first-half goal to be likely.

• Ayr average 0.86 first-half goals at home
• Partick average 0.71 first-half goals away
• Ayr's last six matches produced 4 first-half goals
• Partick's last six matches produced 4 first-half goals

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Partick's first-half defence is very strong and Ayr's early scoring depends on a single home half-goal average.

• Partick have conceded only 2 first-half goals in 13 competitive matches
• Ayr have failed to score before half-time in several recent matches
• Ayr home first-half goals for average 0.86
• Four of Ayr's last six matches were level at half-time

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent second halves have yielded few goals, making one or fewer the more likely outcome.

• Ayr's last six matches produced 4 second-half goals in total
• Partick's last six matches produced 3 second-half goals in total
• Partick concede 0.23 second-half goals per competitive match
• Ayr concede 0.47 second-half goals per competitive match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With only one tracked match per side, there is no dependable card pattern, so the lower side is marginally favoured.

• Ayr's single tracked match produced 1 total card
• Partick's single tracked match produced 5 total cards
• Partick average 3 yellow cards per tracked match
• Neither side's card data covers more than one match