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Predictions graded

Greenock Morton2Queens Park0

HT 2–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–750%

Edges3–175%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 03:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Morton and Queen's Park meet level on four points with one league win each, but Morton have lost all five home league games and Queen's Park have scored once in five away.

A tight, low-scoring game is the likeliest shape, though either side could nick it. Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, both teams not to score at 1.91, under 0.5 first-half goals at 2.70 and both teams not to score in the first half at 1.18 are the quoted prices that offer something.

Context

Morton lose a starting defender for their next league fixture after the club's appeal against Cupps' dismissal at Arbroath was rejected on 13 October. He had started that game and was sent off inside the first half hour, forcing the interim staff into an early reshuffle during the only win of their tenure. Covering the vacancy — by promoting a squad defender or changing the shape of a back line that has conceded heavily all season — is the clearest selection decision attached to this fixture. The ban is a single-match suspension, so it applies here and no further.
- Morton confirmed on 13 October that their appeal against Christopher Cupps' red card at Arbroath was dismissed, with the defender to serve a one-match ban.
- Cupps was sent off in the 28th minute at Gayfield on 10 October for a last-man foul, and Morton went on to win 2-1.
- Morton announced on 12 October that an appeal had been submitted before the hearing upheld the dismissal.
- Christopher Cupps started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/Bucharest
O'Halloran's temporary appointment, announced the same day Ian Murray left, means Morton arrive at this fixture with a coaching structure only weeks old. The arrangement is explicitly interim, and the co-manager's own account describes combining touchline duties with playing. The win at Arbroath was the first tangible return, but the club is still working without a permanent appointment while operating on a restricted budget. Whether the interim pair keep the same team and approach from that result is the read on Morton here.
- Morton's 1 October statement announced Ian Murray's departure, with Michael O'Halloran and Gary Miller taking charge until further notice.
- O'Halloran said he reported for training as normal before being asked to lead the club as interim co-manager while remaining a player.
- Morton won 2-1 at Arbroath on 10 October, their first victory in any competition since 28 March.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/Bucharest
Connolly's brace delivered Queen's Park's first win in five league games and makes him the obvious attacking reference for Morton's defence. He was one of three players the club selected for a supporters' question-and-answer event in the week before the match. Morton's back line, already missing a suspended defender, now has to account for the player who scored twice on Tuesday. One strong night is a narrow basis for a firm read, and Queen's Park's season has otherwise been marked by defeats.
- Aidan Connolly scored twice in Queen's Park's 2-1 win over Inverness on 13 October, with goals in the 18th and 41st minutes.
- Queen's Park's full-time report headlined Connolly's double, and Inverness's live updates confirmed both goals.
- The 13 October win followed four consecutive Championship defeats for Queen's Park.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/Bucharest
Morton's winless run stretched back to 28 March and had left them without a league victory this season before Gayfield. The manner of the win — a penalty and an own goal, secured with ten men for most of the match — matters because it gives the interim staff a result to build on in front of their own support. Queen's Park, however, also arrive off a Tuesday night win. A single victory against an Arbroath side that had started the campaign well does not by itself show Morton's underlying problems have eased.
- Morton's 2-1 win at Arbroath on 10 October was their first in any competition since 28 March 2026, a gap of 196 days.
- Grant Gillespie scored a penalty and Charlie Dewar's own goal gave Morton the points at Gayfield.
- Morton played from the 28th minute with ten men after Christopher Cupps' red card.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Queen's Park have shown more attacking output and already beat Morton this season.
- Queen's Park have 5 wins in 14 tracked competitive matches
- Queen's Park won the 5 September meeting 2-1
- Queen's Park average 1.07 goals scored against Morton's 0.5
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostQueens ParkEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce little before half-time, so level at the break is the likeliest outcome.
- Morton average 0.14 first-half goals scored
- Queen's Park average 0.43 first-half goals scored
- Queen's Park have scored 0 first-half goals in 7 away matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half goals are sparse for both teams, so the half is often level.
- Morton average 0.36 second-half goals scored
- Queen's Park average 0.57 second-half goals scored
- Both sides have low second-half scoring averages
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Two low-scoring teams with weak home and away records point to a tight, even game. Queen's Park have shown more attacking output and already beat Morton this season.
- Two of the last five meetings finished 0-0
- Both teams average under 1.1 goals scored per match
- Queen's Park have 5 wins in 14 tracked competitive matches
- Queen's Park won the 5 September meeting 2-1
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Queens ParkEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce little before half-time, so level at the break is the likeliest outcome. Queen's Park score more than Morton before the break and Morton concede early regularly.
- Morton average 0.14 first-half goals scored
- Queen's Park average 0.43 first-half goals scored
- Morton average 0.71 first-half goals conceded
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Queens ParkEstimated chance83%

Goals6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Two low-output attacks and generally tight games point to fewer than three goals.
- Morton average 0.5 goals scored per match
- Queen's Park away split shows 3 scored and 5 conceded in 7
- Neither side averages more than 1.1 goals scored
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both attacks are limited and one side often fails to score.
- Morton failed to score in 8 of 14 tracked matches
- Queen's Park have scored 3 goals in 7 away matches
- Morton have kept 0 clean sheets, but their opponents' away scoring is low
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Morton's home scoring output is very low, making two or more goals unlikely.
- Morton average 0.43 goals per home match
- Morton have 3 goals in 7 home games
- Morton failed to score in 8 of 14 tracked matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostGreenock Morton under 1.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Away from home Queen's Park have managed very few goals.
- Queen's Park average 0.43 goals per away match
- Queen's Park have 3 goals in 7 away matches
- Morton concede 1.79 per match, so one goal is plausible
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonQueens Park under 1.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Morton have not kept a single clean sheet in this window.
- Morton have kept 0 clean sheets in 14 matches
- Morton concede 1.79 goals per match
- Queen's Park scored in their last match
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostQueens Park to scoreEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Morton have found the net more often recently, so a Queen's Park shutout is not assured.
- Queen's Park have 2 clean sheets in 14 matches
- Morton scored in 4 of their last 6 games
- Morton average 0.5 goals scored per match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGreenock Morton to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.70
The read
Both teams score very little before half-time.
- Morton average 0.14 first-half goals scored
- Queen's Park have 0 first-half away goals in 7 matches
- Both teams' first-half scoring averages are below 0.5
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Neither side scores enough before half-time for both to do so.
- Morton average 0.14 first-half goals scored
- Queen's Park have 0 first-half goals in 7 away matches
- Morton have 2 first-half goals in 14 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance91%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side scores much after the break, making one second-half goal the more likely outcome.
- Morton average 0.36 second-half goals scored
- Queen's Park average 0.57 second-half goals scored
- Both teams' second-half scoring averages are under 0.6
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance63%

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 3W

L2-1Queen's ParkvMortonSep 5, 2026CHA

D0-0MortonvQueen's ParkApr 18, 2026CHA

L3-2Queen's ParkvMortonFeb 21, 2026CHA

L2-1MortonvQueen's ParkDec 5, 2025CHA

D0-0Queen's ParkvMortonSep 13, 2025CHA

Queens Park unbeaten in 5 meetingsGreenock Morton: 2 clean sheetsQueens Park: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Championship 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Greenock Morton Championship (Relegation)	10	1	1	8	7-18	4	WLLLL
10	Queens Park Relegation - League One	9	1	1	7	4-15	4	LLLLW

Greenock Morton in relegation zoneQueens Park in relegation zone

Recent Form

Greenock Morton

W2-1ArbroathOct 10CHA

L1-2Raith RoversOct 3CHA

L0-2Inverness CTSep 25CHA

L0-1DunfermlineSep 19CHA

L1-4LivingstonSep 11CHA

L1-2Queen's ParkSep 5CHA

D1-1Ayr UtdAug 29CHA

L1-2ArbroathAug 22CHA

L0-2StenhousemuirAug 8CHA

L0-1PartickAug 1CHA

L0-1Inverness CTJul 25LEA

L0-3ST JohnstoneJul 18LEA

L0-2East FifeJul 14LEA

L0-1Linlithgow RoseJul 11LEA

D0-0StranraerJul 4FRI

Queens Park

W2-1Inverness CTOct 13CHA

L0-2Raith RoversOct 10CHA

L1-2ArbroathSep 25CHA

L0-2Ayr UtdSep 18CHA

L0-2DunfermlineSep 12CHA

W2-1MortonSep 5CHA

D0-0PartickAug 29CHA

L0-2StenhousemuirAug 22CHA

L1-2Raith RoversAug 8CHA

L0-2LivingstonAug 1CHA

W3-1Queen of the SouthJul 25LEA

L1-2AberdeenJul 18LEA

W2-0Kelty HeartsJul 14LEA

W3-1Brora RangersJul 11LEA

W3-1ClydeJun 30FRI

Squad & Injuries

Greenock Morton

30 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Queens Park

25 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 0.5 goals in 1st half

No

No

Under 2.5

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 9 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Greenock Morton

Queens Park

Squad & Injuries

Greenock Morton

Queens Park