MariborvsOlimpija Ljubljana

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Maribor’s strong home record and Olimpija’s uneven away form make a home win or draw the likelier combined outcome.

• Maribor are unbeaten at home in the league this season: 3 wins and 3 draws from 6 home matches.
• Maribor sit 2nd with 24 points from 13 matches and have lost only once overall.
• Olimpija's away record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 6 league away matches.
• The most recent derby in August finished 1-1.

BetBugs · Double ChanceMaribor or DrawMarket price1.40Estimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.10

The read

With both sides starting cautiously and scoring little before half-time, a level first half is the single most likely first-half result.

• Maribor average 0.67 first-half goals at home and 0.33 first-half goals against at home.
• Olimpija average 0.17 first-half goals away and 0.33 first-half goals against away.
• Both teams’ overall first-half scoring averages are below 0.70 goals per match.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Both the derby history and the teams’ away/home scoring rates point to a low-scoring match.

• The last five head-to-heads produced only one match with more than 2.5 goals.
• Maribor’s home league matches average 2.5 total goals (11 scored, 4 conceded in 6).
• Olimpija’s away league matches average 1.67 total goals (5 scored, 5 conceded in 6).
• Olimpija average 0.83 goals per away match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88

The read

The derby has usually been low-scoring, and Maribor’s home defence has been difficult to breach.

• Only two of the last five head-to-heads had both teams scoring.
• Maribor kept three clean sheets in six home league matches.
• Olimpija scored 5 goals in 6 away league matches.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38

The read

Both teams produce very little first-half scoring, especially Olimpija away from home.

• Maribor average 0.67 first-half goals at home and concede 0.33 in first halves at home.
• Olimpija average 0.17 first-half goals away and concede 0.33 in first halves away.
• Olimpija’s overall first-half scoring average is 0.38 goals per match.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38

The read

Olimpija have rarely scored more than once on the road this season.

• Olimpija have scored 5 goals in 6 away league matches.
• Three of those five away goals came in one match at Koper.
• In their other five away league matches they scored two goals total.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalOlimpija Ljubljana under 1.5Market price1.38Estimated chance76%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Maribor’s home scoring rate makes at least one home goal the likely outcome.

• Maribor have scored 11 goals in 6 home league matches, an average of 1.83.
• Olimpija have conceded 5 goals in 6 away league matches.
• Maribor's home record includes 3 wins and 3 draws, with no home defeat.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalMaribor over 0.5Market price1.30Estimated chance84%