Dunav RusevsLevski Sofia

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Levski's unbeaten league run and stronger away defence point to an away win, with the July head-to-head reinforcing the edge.

• Levski are unbeaten in the league: 9W-2D-0L in 11 games, and 4W-2D-0L away (10 scored, 4 conceded in 6).
• Dunav's home league record is 1W-2D-3L, 6 scored and 9 conceded in 6 games.
• Levski won July's meeting 2-1 and have won all five head-to-heads in the sample.

BetBugs · Match WinnerLevski SofiaMarket price1.25Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Dunav's low-scoring home games and Levski's tight defence make a four-goal game unlikely.

• Dunav's home league matches average 2.5 goals (6 for, 9 against in 6).
• Levski's away matches average 2.33 goals (10 for, 4 against in 6).
• Levski have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches this season.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Levski's clean-sheet rate and Dunav's modest home output favour one side being shut out.

• Levski kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches, including 4 in 10 away.
• Levski concede 0.93 goals per match overall and 0.9 away.
• Dunav have scored 6 goals in 6 home league games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45

The read

Both teams produce very little in first halves, especially Levski, so two or more early goals are unlikely.

• Dunav's first halves average 1.23 goals (0.54 for, 0.69 against).
• Levski's first halves average 0.80 goals (0.47 for, 0.33 against).
• Recent Levski first halves: 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 0-1.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.10

The read

Dunav's modest home scoring against a well-organised Levski defence makes two or more home goals unlikely.

• Dunav have scored 6 goals in 6 home league games, an average of one per match.
• Levski concede 0.9 goals per away match with 4 clean sheets in 10.
• Dunav were shut out at home by Slavia Sofia (0-1).

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalDunav Ruse under 1.5Market price1.10Estimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches regularly clear six corners, with Dunav especially generous to opponents from wide areas.

• Dunav's six corner-tracked matches average 9.2 total corners (2.5 for, 6.7 against).
• Levski's nine tracked matches average 7.3 total corners (3.4 for, 3.9 against).
• Dunav concede heavily on the flanks, giving up 6.7 corners per match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches are shot-heavy, with Dunav giving up a large volume and Levski generating steady attempts.

• Dunav's tracked matches average 24.8 total shots (7.5 for, 17.3 against).
• Levski's tracked matches average 22.8 total shots (10.6 for, 12.2 against).
• Levski took 12 shots and allowed 7 in their last league win at Cherno More.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides' matches routinely produce six or more on-target attempts, driven by Dunav's generous defence.

• Dunav's tracked matches average 10.8 shots on target (2.7 for, 8.2 against).
• Levski's tracked matches average 7.1 shots on target (2.7 for, 4.4 against).
• Dunav allowed 9 shots on target in their last tracked away win at Septemvri.