Dunav Ruse2Botev Vratsa2

HT 2–1Sat 19 Sept 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges1–614%

PossPossession 44%–56%ShotsShots 7–8On targetOn target 4–5CornersCorners 1–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Sep 2026, 20:29 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect a low-scoring, tight match with a draw the most likely outcome, as both teams struggle to score and four of the last five H2H meetings ended 0-0.

The top betting edge is Under 0.5 first-half goals at odds of 2.50, where the model sees a 58% probability versus the implied 40%. Avoid the 1st Half Both Teams to Score – No market at 1.15, as it offers no value.

Context

Dunav Ruse are 14th in the First League with 4 points from 9 matches.
Their home record is poor: 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 4 games, with only 2 goals scored and 7 conceded. This match against Botev Vratsa, who are just above the relegation line, is a direct six-pointer. Dunav Ruse need points to close the 4-point gap to safety, but their home form suggests they may struggle to control the game.
- Dunav Ruse are 14th with 4 points from 9 matches.
- Home record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 2 goals for, 7 against.
- Last home league match: lost 0-1 to Slavia Sofia on 2026-09-07.
Botev Vratsa are 9th with 8 points, but their away form is weak.
They have 1 win and 4 losses in 5 away games, scoring 5 and conceding 13. This defensive vulnerability on the road may allow Dunav Ruse to create chances, even though the home side has struggled to score. However, Botev Vratsa's recent 3-2 away win at Septemvri Sofia on 2026-09-04 shows they can be dangerous.
- Away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses, 5 goals for, 13 against.
- Last away league match: won 3-2 at Septemvri Sofia on 2026-09-04.
- Before that, lost 0-2 at Arda Kardzhali on 2026-08-31.
Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa have met five times since 2019.
Three of those matches ended 0-0, including the most recent friendly on 2026-06-24. The only decisive result was a 3-1 away win for Botev Vratsa in 2020. This pattern indicates that goals may be scarce, especially given both teams' current scoring struggles.
- 2026-06-24 friendly: 0-0 draw.
- 2020-07-06 First League: 0-0 draw.
- 2020-02-29 First League: 0-0 draw.
- 2019-09-21 First League: 0-0 draw.
Dunav Ruse defender Kiriakos Antoniou is available again after serving a one-match suspension.
His return restores a defensive-line selection option for the home side after they played the previous league match without him. The suspension was served in the 12 September match at CSKA 1948, so he is eligible for this fixture.
- The Bulgarian Football Union imposed a one-match suspension on Kiriakos Antoniou on 9 September for the eighth First League round.
- Antoniou was absent from Dunav’s official matchday squad at CSKA 1948 on 12 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 16 Sep 2026, 20:28 · Europe/BucharestBulgarian Football Union disciplinary decision, 9 Septemberwww.bfunion.bg · 9 Sep 2026CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse official match recordbpfl.bg · 12 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to win, and the head-to-head record is dominated by draws, making a stalemate likely.
- Dunav Ruse home record: 0W 1D 3L
- Botev Vratsa away record: 1W 0D 4L
- H2H: 4 draws in last 5 meetings
- Both teams are in relegation zone with poor form
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunav's home weakness and overall poor form make it unlikely they win, so the away side or draw is safer.
- Dunav Ruse have not won at home this season (0W 1D 3L)
- Botev Vratsa have 1 away win and 4 losses
- Dunav overall: 1 win in 9 league matches
- Botev Vratsa have 2 wins in 9 league matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Botev VratsaEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely lead at half-time, and the H2H suggests a level first half is most probable.
- Dunav leading at half-time in only 20% of matches
- Botev Vratsa leading at half-time in 29% of matches
- H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings were 0-0 at full time
- Both teams have low first-half goal averages
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Neither team shows a clear second-half edge, so a drawn second half is plausible.
- Dunav second-half goal difference: -0.4 per match
- Botev Vratsa second-half goal difference: -0.3 per match
- Both teams have similar second-half scoring and conceding rates
- No strong second-half dominance from either side
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome given the teams' inability to score and the H2H pattern.
- H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings ended 0-0
- Dunav home: 0W 1D 3L
- Botev Vratsa away: 1W 0D 4L
- Both teams have low scoring rates
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are too weak to win both halves, making this outcome highly unlikely.
- Dunav Ruse have won only 1 of 9 league matches
- Botev Vratsa have won 2 of 9 league matches
- Neither team has shown ability to dominate both halves
- H2H: no team won both halves in last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
A drawn first half is the most likely outcome given both teams' poor first-half records.
- Dunav leading at half-time in only 20% of matches
- Botev Vratsa leading at half-time in 29% of matches
- H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings were 0-0 at full time
- Both teams have low first-half goal averages
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDrawEstimated chance55%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low scoring rates and a history of goalless draws, supporting a low total goals outcome.
- Dunav Ruse average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match over last 15
- Botev Vratsa average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match over last 15
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 ended 0-0, one 3-1
- Dunav home record this season: 2 goals scored, 7 conceded in 4 matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks are weak and H2H shows frequent clean sheets, making both teams scoring unlikely.
- Dunav Ruse failed to score in 4 of last 5 league matches
- Botev Vratsa failed to score in 3 of last 5 league matches
- H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings ended 0-0
- Dunav home: 2 goals in 4 matches; Botev away: 5 goals in 5 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and the H2H pattern suggests a tight opening period.
- Dunav average 0.3 first-half goals scored, 0.5 conceded
- Botev Vratsa average 0.4 first-half goals scored, 0.4 conceded
- H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings were 0-0 at full time
- Dunav trailing at half-time in 47% of matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is modest for both teams, and the overall low-scoring trend supports under 1.5 goals after the break.
- Dunav average 0.6 second-half goals scored, 1.0 conceded
- Botev Vratsa average 0.8 second-half goals scored, 1.1 conceded
- Combined average second-half goals: 1.75
- Both teams have low overall scoring rates
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring rates and H2H history make it unlikely both teams score before the break.
- Dunav average 0.3 first-half goals scored, 0.5 conceded
- Botev Vratsa average 0.4 first-half goals scored, 0.4 conceded
- H2H: 4 of last 5 meetings were 0-0 at full time
- Both teams have low first-half scoring rates
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance65%