First LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Dunav Ruse0Slavia Sofia1

HT 0–0Mon 7 Sept 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges4–267%

PossPossession 39%–61%ShotsShots 7–14On targetOn target 1–3CornersCorners 7–8

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Sep 2026, 08:33 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Draw or Slavia Sofia at 1.45 for a small but solid edge (72% model vs 69% implied).

Both teams to score at 2.00 is also worth a look, but avoid the goals markets where the value is negative.

Context

Dunav Ruse are 12th in the First League with 4 points from 7 matches.
Their home record is 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. This suggests they have difficulty controlling matches at their own stadium. Slavia Sofia have a mixed away record with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, so they may be able to take advantage.
- Dunav Ruse home record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 2 goals for, 6 goals against.
- Recent home matches: 2-2 draw vs Lokomotiv Sofia (Aug 31), 0-2 loss vs Arda Kardzhali (Aug 8), 0-2 loss vs Ludogorets (Jul 27).
Slavia Sofia are 9th with 7 points, having won 1, drawn 4, and lost 2.
Their tendency to draw suggests they are competitive but often fail to turn performances into wins. Against a struggling Dunav Ruse side, they may again be involved in a close match. However, their away record is more balanced with one win, one draw, and one loss.
- Slavia Sofia overall record: 1 win, 4 draws, 2 losses.
- Recent draws: 1-1 vs Septemvri Sofia (Aug 28), 1-1 vs Ludogorets (Aug 22), 1-1 vs Lokomotiv Sofia (Jul 31), 0-0 vs CSKA Sofia (Jul 20).
Dunav Ruse are 12th and Slavia Sofia are 9th in the First League.
Slavia Sofia's form is LDDWD, with only one loss in their last five. Dunav Ruse's form is DLWLL, with three losses. This suggests Slavia Sofia are more consistent and may enter the match with greater stability. However, both teams have struggled to win, so the gap may not be large.
- Slavia Sofia last five: L, D, D, W, D.
- Dunav Ruse last five: D, L, W, L, L.
Dunav Ruse have a goal difference of -7, while Slavia Sofia have +1.
Slavia Sofia's defense has been more solid, conceding less than a goal per game on average. Dunav Ruse have conceded twice as many goals. This could give Slavia Sofia an advantage in controlling the match. However, Slavia Sofia's attack has also been modest with only 7 goals scored.
- Slavia Sofia goals conceded: 6 in 7 matches.
- Dunav Ruse goals conceded: 14 in 7 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slavia Sofia's superior away form and Dunav Ruse's poor home record give the visitors a clear edge, supported by the motivation of staying above the relegation line.
- Slavia Sofia away record: 1W-1D-1L, 4 goals scored, 2 conceded in 3 away matches.
- Dunav Ruse home record: 0W-1D-2L, 2 goals scored, 6 conceded in 3 home matches.
- Slavia Sofia overall form: LDDWD (7 points from 7 matches); Dunav Ruse overall form: DLWLL (4 points from 7 matches).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSlavia SofiaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunav Ruse's poor form and Slavia Sofia's draw-heavy record make a Slavia win or draw highly likely, reinforced by H2H psychology.
- Dunav Ruse have lost 5 of 7 league matches and have only 1 home draw in 3 home games.
- Slavia Sofia have drawn 4 of 7 league matches, showing resilience.
- Head-to-head last 5: 2 draws, 2 Slavia wins, 1 Dunav win.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Slavia SofiaEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high draw rates at halftime, especially Slavia, making a first-half draw the most likely outcome.
- Dunav Ruse first-half record: 27% leading, 40% trailing, 33% drawing.
- Slavia Sofia first-half record: 27% leading, 13% trailing, 60% drawing.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring rates.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both halftime and fulltime is a plausible low-probability outcome given Slavia's draw tendency and Dunav's occasional resilience.
- Slavia Sofia have drawn 4 of 7 matches overall.
- Dunav Ruse have drawn 1 of 7 matches overall.
- Head-to-head last 5: 2 draws.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and Dunav's home games have been low-scoring, making under 2.5 goals the more probable outcome.
- Dunav Ruse average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
- Slavia Sofia average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 2.3 (Dunav) + 3.0 (Slavia) = 2.65, but Dunav's home matches average only 2.67 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have shown consistent scoring ability while also conceding, making both teams scoring a likely outcome.
- Dunav Ruse have scored in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
- Slavia Sofia have scored in 6 of their last 7 league matches.
- Both teams have conceded regularly: Dunav 14 goals in 7, Slavia 6 in 7.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making under 1.5 first-half goals probable.
- Dunav Ruse average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Slavia Sofia average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.0 + 0.9 = 1.9, but 60% of Dunav's matches have had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be more active in the second half, and the total goals expectation supports over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Dunav Ruse concede 1.5 goals per match overall, with many coming after halftime.
- Slavia Sofia score 1.8 goals per match, often in the second half.
- Combined second-half goal average estimated at 1.6 based on total goals minus first-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Slavia's defensive record suggests they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a Dunav side that scores regularly.
- Slavia Sofia have kept only 1 clean sheet in 7 league matches.
- Dunav Ruse have scored in 5 of 7 league matches.
- Slavia's away matches have seen them concede in 2 of 3 games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDunav Ruse to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunav's defensive frailty and Slavia's consistent scoring make a home clean sheet highly unlikely.
- Dunav Ruse have conceded in all 7 league matches.
- Dunav Ruse home record: 6 goals conceded in 3 matches.
- Slavia Sofia have scored in 6 of 7 league matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSlavia Sofia to scoreEstimated chance75%

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

L3-1Slavia SofiavDunav RuseFeb 24, 2020FIR

D0-0Dunav RusevSlavia SofiaSep 15, 2019FIR

L0-1Dunav RusevSlavia SofiaMay 3, 2019FIR

W3-5Slavia SofiavDunav RuseApr 12, 2019FIR

D1-1Dunav RusevSlavia SofiaDec 6, 2018FIR

Slavia Sofia: 2 clean sheets3 goals/game avg

League Table

First League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Dunav Ruse efbet League (Relegation Group)	7	1	1	5	7-14	4	DLWLL
9	Slavia Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group)	7	1	4	2	7-6	7	LDDWD

3pt gap between teamsDunav Ruse in relegation zoneSlavia Sofia in relegation zone

Recent Form

Dunav Ruse

D2-2Lokomotiv SofiaAug 31FIR

L1-3Cherno More VarnaAug 21FIR

W2-1Lokomotiv PlovdivAug 16FIR

L0-2Arda KardzhaliAug 8FIR

L1-2CSKA SofiaAug 2FIR

L0-2LudogoretsJul 27FIR

L1-2Levski SofiaJul 17FIR

D1-1Cherno More VarnaJul 11FRI

D1-1DobrudzhaJul 1FRI

D0-0Spartak VarnaJun 27FRI

L1-2Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaJun 20FRI

W2-1FK Minyor PernikMay 23SEC

L0-1Yantra 2019May 15SEC

D2-2FratriaMay 11SEC

W2-0SevlievoMay 2SEC

Slavia Sofia

L1-2Levski SofiaSep 2FIR

D1-1Septemvri SofiaAug 28FIR

D1-1LudogoretsAug 22FIR

W3-0Botev VratsaAug 10FIR

D1-1Lokomotiv SofiaJul 31FIR

L0-1Arda KardzhaliJul 24FIR

D0-0CSKA SofiaJul 20FIR

W7-2MontanaJul 11FRI

W3-2SlatinaJul 8FRI

W3-2Septemvri SofiaJul 4FRI

W4-0FC BotosaniJul 1FRI

W2-0MontanaMay 22FIR

L0-2Lokomotiv SofiaMay 18FIR

L0-2DobrudzhaMay 13FIR

L1-2Spartak VarnaMay 10FIR

Squad & Injuries

Dunav Ruse

29 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Slavia Sofia

29 available

Attackers10

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Slavia Sofia

Yes

Slavia Sofia to score

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

Dunav Ruse to score

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Dunav Ruse

Slavia Sofia

Squad & Injuries

Dunav Ruse

Slavia Sofia