Degerfors0Vasteras SK3

HT 0–1Wed 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–188%

Edges6–0100%

PossPossession 49%–51%ShotsShots 17–15On targetOn target 2–8CornersCorners 3–9

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Oct 2026, 03:51 · Europe/Bucharest

Degerfors, 14th and winless in five league games, host a Västerås side sixth in the table and 2-0 winners when the clubs met in July.

Västerås avoiding defeat is the likelier result, but 1.55 for the win-or-draw is short for a team with five away defeats. Both teams to score – No at 2.05 is the one price that offers something.

Context

The most recent competitive meeting between these clubs went Västerås' way without conceding.
That July match is the only competitive meeting between the clubs in the supplied head-to-head list; the other four entries are friendlies. Degerfors were shut out, which fits a run of three goals in their last six competitive matches. Västerås have since mixed results, most recently losing 2-1 at home to Halmstad on 23 October.
- Västerås SK FK 2-0 Degerfors IF, Allsvenskan, 12 July 2026: Degerfors failed to score.
- The other four head-to-head entries (14 February 2026, 8 March 2025, 15 July 2024, 26 March 2024) are friendlies.
At home Degerfors have been harder to break down than their overall numbers suggest.
That 0.8 conceded per home match sits well below the 1.64 they concede across all 14 competitive matches in the sample. The best of those home displays was a 2-0 win over Halmstad on 5 September. The three defeats include a 1-2 loss to Kalmar on 19 October, so the home record is modest rather than protective.
- Degerfors home sample: 5 matches, 25 July to 19 October 2026, 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses.
- 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match in that sample.
- Overall in 14 competitive matches in the same window: 1.0 scored and 1.64 conceded per game.
Västerås' biggest recent win came from behind, all of it after half-time.
It is the largest scoring output in Västerås' recent record and shows they can turn a match after the interval. Their away sample, though, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per match across seven games. Nothing else in their recent rows comes close to that second-half burst.
- AIK Stockholm 1-4 Västerås SK, Allsvenskan, 12 September 2026: 0-1 at half-time, 4-0 in the second half.
- Västerås away sample: 7 matches, 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per match.
Degerfors arrive after their worst result of the window.
It is the heaviest defeat in their recent record and came five days after a 1-2 home loss to Kalmar. The first-half collapse stands against their overall first-half concession rate of 0.86 goals per match across 14 competitive games. They have taken one point from their last three league matches.
- BK Häcken 4-0 Degerfors, Allsvenskan, 24 October 2026: 4-0 at half-time.
- Degerfors overall first-half goals against: 0.86 per match across 14 competitive matches.
- Degerfors' last three league results: 1-1 at Mjällby (10 October), 1-2 v Kalmar (19 October), 0-4 at Häcken (24 October).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Lean

Draw or Vasteras SK

1.55fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 64.5%

−2.5ppshort

Vasteras are higher in the table, have better recent results and beat Degerfors in July, so avoiding defeat is the stronger side of the result.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 3.5

1.35fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 74.1%

−6.1ppshort

Recent matches for both teams have been low-scoring and Degerfors home games have produced few goals.

Home Goals TotalwonUncertainty band: Lean

Degerfors under 1.5

1.57fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 63.7%

−0.7ppshort

Degerfors have a low scoring rate at home and have been shut out in several recent matches.

Corners Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 8.5

1.45fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69%

−4.0ppshort

Both teams' corner totals point above 8.5, especially Degerfors' recent matches.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

1.40fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 71.4%

−6.4ppshort

Both teams' first-half scoring rates are low and Vasteras' recent first halves have been very quiet.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Vasteras are higher in the table, have better recent results and beat Degerfors in July, so avoiding defeat is the stronger side of the result.
- Vasteras are 6th on 38 points; Degerfors are 14th on 20.
- Vasteras recent form is LWLWW; Degerfors recent form is LLDLL.
- Vasteras won the July league meeting 2-0.
- Degerfors home sample: 2W-0D-3L, 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Vasteras SKEstimated chance62%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35
The read
Recent matches for both teams have been low-scoring and Degerfors home games have produced few goals.
- Degerfors home sample averages 2.0 total goals per match (1.2 for, 0.8 against).
- Vasteras away sample averages 3.14 total goals per match.
- Both teams' last six competitive matches averaged 1.33 total goals per game.
- The July meeting finished 2-0.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Both sides have a low rate of matches where both teams score, and the latest meeting was a clean-sheet win for Vasteras.
- Degerfors have both teams scoring in 4 of 14 overall and 1 of 5 home sample matches.
- Vasteras have both teams scoring in 4 of 14 overall and 3 of 7 away sample matches.
- The July meeting was 2-0 to Vasteras.
- Degerfors recent six had both teams scoring in 2; Vasteras recent six had both teams scoring in 2.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Degerfors have a low scoring rate at home and have been shut out in several recent matches.
- Degerfors average 1.0 goal per overall match and 1.2 per home sample match.
- Degerfors have scored only 3 goals in their last six competitive matches.
- They failed to score in the July meeting with Vasteras.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonDegerfors under 1.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring rates are low and Vasteras' recent first halves have been very quiet.
- Degerfors average 0.57 first-half goals for and 0.86 against; Vasteras average 0.57 for and 0.50 against.
- Vasteras' last six matches all had 1 or 0 first-half goals.
- Degerfors' last six first halves included three 0-0 scores.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low second-half scoring averages and recent second halves have usually produced one goal or none.
- Degerfors average 0.43 second-half goals for and 0.79 against; Vasteras average 0.57 for and 0.64 against.
- Degerfors' last six second halves stayed under 1.5 goals in four matches.
- Vasteras' last six second halves stayed under 1.5 goals in four matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance63%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches have produced shot totals above 23.5, with both sides allowing plenty of attempts.
- Degerfors average 10.7 shots and concede 15.9 per match; Vasteras average 12.7 and concede 13.7.
- Degerfors' last six matches averaged about 28 total shots.
- Vasteras' last six matches averaged about 28 total shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 23.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Both teams' corner totals point above 8.5, especially Degerfors' recent matches.
- Degerfors average 5.3 corners and concede 6.3 per match; Vasteras average 4.2 and concede 4.7.
- Degerfors' last six matches averaged about 11.8 total corners.
- Vasteras' last six matches averaged about 9.3 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance65%