Yes
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams consistently find the net, and the H2H pattern strongly indicates goals at both ends.
AllsvenskanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The match is likely to feature goals, with both teams to score a reasonable bet at 1.70 (model 60% vs implied 58.8%).
Avoid the home win (2.00) and double chance (1.30) as they are overpriced relative to the model. First-half over 0.5 goals is also poor value at 1.29.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams consistently find the net, and the H2H pattern strongly indicates goals at both ends.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BrommapojkarnaBetBugs 40% · Market 50%
The predictor's 40% estimate is below the 50% implied by the odds, so there is no value on the home win despite the home advantage.
BetBugs 68% · Market 77%
The predictor's 68% estimate is below the 77% implied by the odds, so the double chance is overpriced.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; the price already reflects the home advantage and offers negative value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25-27 | 21 |
| 14 | DegerforsRelegation Playoffs | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17-27 | 16 |

