DegerforsvsIFK Gothenburg

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

IFK Gothenburg's strong H2H dominance and superior recent form outweigh Degerfors' home relegation urgency, making an away win the most likely single outcome.

• IFK Gothenburg won last 2 H2H league meetings by combined 6-1, including 3-1 away at Degerfors in 2025.
• Degerfors home record this season: 1W-2D-5L, scoring 6 and conceding 14 in 8 matches.
• IFK Gothenburg away record: 2W-2D-4L, but recent form (last 5 league: 3W-0D-2L) better than Degerfors (1W-0D-4L).
• Degerfors last 5 matches: 1W-0D-4L, scoring 2 and conceding 10; IFK Gothenburg last 5 league: 3W-0D-2L, scoring 8 and conceding 8.

BetBugs · Match WinnerIFK GothenburgEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Degerfors' poor home form and scoring struggles make them unlikely to win, so backing IFK Gothenburg or draw covers the most probable outcomes.

• Degerfors have won only 1 of 8 home games this season, losing 5.
• IFK Gothenburg have lost only 4 of 8 away games, with 2 wins and 2 draws.
• Last 5 H2H: IFK Gothenburg won 4, Degerfors won 0, 1 draw (not in last 5 but overall pattern).
• Degerfors failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches; IFK Gothenburg scored in 4 of last 5 league matches.

BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or IFK GothenburgEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with Degerfors rarely leading at the break and IFK Gothenburg's first-half performances inconsistent, making a draw at half-time the most probable outcome.

• Degerfors trailed at half-time in 67% of last 15 matches, but led in only 7%.
• IFK Gothenburg led at half-time in 33% and trailed in 33% of last 15 matches.
• Last 5 H2H: 3 matches were level at half-time (0-0, 1-1, 0-0).
• Degerfors average 0.2 first-half goals; IFK Gothenburg average 0.8 first-half goals but often concede early (1.1 first-half goals conceded).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

IFK Gothenburg tend to grow into games and Degerfors fade late, suggesting the away side could edge the second half, though confidence is low due to overall match tightness.

• IFK Gothenburg scored 5 of their last 8 league goals in the second half.
• Degerfors conceded 10 of their last 14 goals in the second half.
• In the most recent H2H (Aug 2026), IFK Gothenburg scored both goals in the second half.
• Degerfors have a negative second-half goal difference in 4 of last 5 matches.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerIFK GothenburgEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A pattern of Degerfors holding on early but collapsing late, combined with IFK Gothenburg's second-half strength, supports a draw/away win double result, though it's a specific outcome with lower probability.

• Degerfors drew at half-time in 3 of last 5 home matches but lost 4 of those 5.
• IFK Gothenburg drew at half-time in 2 of last 5 away matches and won 2 of those 5.
• Last H2H: 0-0 at half-time, IFK Gothenburg won 2-0.
• Degerfors have not won a home game when drawing at half-time this season (2 draws, 3 losses).

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoubleDraw/IFK GothenburgEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent scoring struggles and a history of low-scoring H2H encounters suggest a tight, low-scoring match.

• Degerfors average 0.9 goals scored per game over last 15; IFK Gothenburg average 1.4 scored but 2.2 conceded.
• Degerfors home matches: 6 goals scored, 14 conceded in 8 games (avg 2.5 total goals).
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals (2-0, 3-0, 1-2, 1-3, 1-2).
• Degerfors last 5 matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals; IFK Gothenburg last 5 league: 3 had under 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Degerfors' chronic scoring issues, especially at home, make it likely that at least one team fails to score.

• Degerfors failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches, and in 5 of 8 home games this season.
• IFK Gothenburg kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 5 league matches, including a 2-0 win over Degerfors in August 2026.
• Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in only 2 of 5 meetings.
• Degerfors average only 0.9 goals per game; IFK Gothenburg concede heavily away (24 in 8) but Degerfors' attack is blunt.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and H2H history shows few early goals, making under 1.5 first-half goals highly likely.

• Degerfors average 0.2 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded in last 15 matches.
• IFK Gothenburg average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 1.1 conceded in last 15 matches.
• Last 5 H2H: first-half goals totals: 0, 1, 0, 2, 1 (all under 1.5 except one).
• Degerfors last 5 matches: first-half goals: 1, 1, 1, 1, 1 (all under 1.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' corner averages and H2H trends point to a moderate total, with under 9.5 corners being the more likely outcome.

• Degerfors average 4.5 corners per game over last 15; IFK Gothenburg average 6.1.
• Last 5 H2H: corner counts: 8, 11, 9, 7, 9 (avg 8.8, 3 of 5 under 9.5).
• Degerfors home matches average 8.4 total corners; IFK Gothenburg away matches average 9.6 total corners.
• Recent matches: Degerfors last 5 home corners: 6, 7, 3, 3, 4; IFK Gothenburg last 5 away corners: 4, 10, 4, 6, 7.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The high-stakes nature of this relegation battle, combined with both teams' consistent card averages and H2H history, makes over 3.5 cards a strong bet.

• Degerfors average 2.2 yellow cards per game; IFK Gothenburg average 2.2 yellow cards per game.
• Last 5 H2H: total cards: 4, 5, 3, 4, 5 (all over 3.5 except one).
• Degerfors home matches average 4.1 total cards; IFK Gothenburg away matches average 4.4 total cards.
• Relegation six-pointer context increases intensity and fouls.