NEC Nijmegen22 – 2Groningen2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Groningen's stronger away record and NEC's winless home run make a Groningen win or draw the more likely result.

• Groningen sit 8th with 14 points; NEC are 13th with 10.
• Groningen away record: 2W1D1L with 11 goals in four league games.
• NEC home record: 0W3D2L with 7 goals for and 10 against in five.
• NEC have won none of their five home league matches this season.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or GroningenEstimated chance69%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Both teams' home and away goal lines and Groningen's recent scorelines point to an open game with at least three goals.

• NEC home league games average 3.4 total goals (7 for, 10 against in five).
• Groningen away league games average 4.75 total goals (11 for, 8 against in four).
• Groningen's last six competitive matches averaged 4.5 goals.
• NEC have conceded 2.0 goals per game overall.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Both sides have repeatedly scored and conceded, with NEC's home games and Groningen's away games especially open.

• NEC home: both teams scored in 7/7, conceding 2.0 per home game.
• Groningen away: both teams scored in 4/4, scoring 2.75 per away game.
• Season BTTS: NEC 11/15, Groningen 8/9.
• Groningen have scored in each of their last six competitive matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Both teams' recent first halves have been active, with Groningen especially quick to score away.

• Groningen away first halves average 2.75 goals (1.75 for, 1.0 against).
• NEC home first halves average 1.57 goals (0.43 for, 1.14 against).
• Five of Groningen's last six matches had at least two first-half goals.
• Five of NEC's last six had at least two first-half goals.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38

The read

NEC's home territory and Groningen's away corner concessions point to another busy home corner count.

• NEC average 6.7 corners at home.
• Groningen allow 6.5 corners per away game.
• NEC's last three home matches produced 13, 6 and 5 corners.
• NEC take 18.7 shots per home game, sustaining territory.

BetBugs · Home CornerswonNEC Nijmegen over 4.5Estimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Groningen's away corner output is low and NEC's home territory tends to restrict visitors.

• Groningen average 3.0 corners away.
• NEC allow 2.6 corners per home game.
• Groningen took 0 corners at Go Ahead Eagles this season.
• NEC's home dominance (6.7 corners, 18.7 shots) can limit away possession.

BetBugs · Away CornerswonGroningen under 4.5Estimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate enough on-target attempts, especially Groningen away, to make over 10.5 the likelier side.

• NEC average 5.1 shots on target at home.
• Groningen average 7.25 shots on target away.
• Combined home/away average is 12.4 per match.
• Groningen's away opponents average 6.0 shots on target.