PSV55 – 1Groningen1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

PSV's dominant H2H record at home and superior attacking output make them clear favourites.

• PSV have won their last five home league meetings with Groningen, scoring 21 goals.
• PSV average 2.9 goals per game over their last 15 matches, while Groningen concede 1.5 goals per game.
• Groningen have lost their last two away league matches against PSV by 5-0 and 6-0 scorelines.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPSVEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

PSV's tendency to start strong and their historical first-half dominance over Groningen give them the edge.

• PSV led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
• Groningen trailed at half-time in only 20% of their last 15 matches.
• In the last five H2H meetings, PSV led at half-time in three matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonPSVEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

PSV's ability to dominate from the start and maintain pressure makes a half-time/full-time double plausible.

• PSV have won both halves in 3 of their last 5 home matches against Groningen.
• PSV led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches and won 73% of those matches.
• Groningen have lost both halves in only 1 of their last 15 matches.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonPSV/PSVEstimated chance50%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The historical high-scoring pattern in this fixture and both teams' attacking tendencies support over 2.5 goals.

• PSV's last five home matches against Groningen have produced 21 goals, an average of 4.2 per game.
• PSV average 2.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over their last 15 matches.
• Groningen's away matches this season have averaged 5.0 total goals (4-1 win over ADO Den Haag).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

While PSV are strong, Groningen have shown they can score, and PSV's defence has been leaky at times.

• PSV have conceded in 8 of their last 15 matches, including 2 goals at home to Fortuna Sittard.
• Groningen have scored in 9 of their last 15 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
• In the last five H2H meetings, Groningen scored in two matches (2 goals in 2025, 2 goals in 2021).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

PSV's defensive record suggests they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a Groningen side that regularly finds the net.

• PSV have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
• Groningen have failed to score in only 3 of their last 15 matches.
• PSV conceded 2 goals at home to Fortuna Sittard in their last home league match.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGroningen to scoreEstimated chance62%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

PSV's prolific attack and historical dominance over Groningen at home make over 2.5 team goals likely.

• PSV have scored 2+ goals in 11 of their last 15 matches.
• PSV have scored 4+ goals in 3 of their last 5 home matches against Groningen.
• PSV average 2.9 goals per game overall, and 2.5 goals per game at home this season.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonPSV over 2.5Estimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start quickly, and the historical H2H shows first-half goals are common.

• PSV average 1.1 first-half goals per game over their last 15 matches.
• Groningen average 0.7 first-half goals per game, but have scored 3 first-half goals in their last away match.
• In the last five H2H meetings, there were 7 first-half goals (average 1.4 per game).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The second half has been even more productive in this fixture, and PSV's attacking depth often wears down opponents.

• PSV average 1.8 second-half goals per game (2.9 total - 1.1 first-half).
• Groningen average 0.7 second-half goals per game (1.4 total - 0.7 first-half).
• In the last five H2H meetings, there were 14 second-half goals (average 2.8 per game).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a decent number of corners, and the historical H2H suggests a high corner count.

• PSV average 7.0 corners per game, while Groningen average 5.0 corners per game.
• In PSV's last five home matches against Groningen, total corners averaged 10.2 per game.
• PSV's recent home matches have seen an average of 10.5 total corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

PSV's high shot volume, especially at home, makes over 15.5 shots likely.

• PSV average 17.2 shots per game over their last 15 matches.
• PSV have taken 15+ shots in 10 of their last 15 matches.
• Against weaker opposition at home, PSV have averaged 18.3 shots per game.

BetBugs · Home Shots TotalwonPSV over 15.5Estimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

PSV's attacking accuracy and volume support over 6.5 shots on target.

• PSV average 7.1 shots on target per game over their last 15 matches.
• PSV have recorded 7+ shots on target in 8 of their last 15 matches.
• In their last home match against Fortuna Sittard, PSV had 6 shots on target.

BetBugs · Home Shots on Target TotalwonPSV over 6.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The historical card count in this fixture and both teams' disciplinary records suggest a moderate card total.

• PSV average 1.7 yellow cards per game, while Groningen average 1.7 yellow cards per game.
• Combined average yellow cards per game for both teams is 3.4.
• In the last five H2H meetings, total cards averaged 3.8 per game.