Debrecen3Zalaegerszeg0

HT 1–0Sun 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 56%–44%ShotsShots 14–13On targetOn target 10–5CornersCorners 4–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Oct 2026, 00:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Zalaegerszeg's away form — no wins, one goal and 14 conceded in five NB I road games — is this fixture's tension, but Debrecen have won only twice in seven competitive home matches.

A tight, goal-filled game looks likelier than a home stroll, and the draw at 3.8 is the one reviewed price with anything behind it; Debrecen at 1.75, more than 2.5 goals at 1.5 and both teams scoring at 1.5 ask for more than the season justifies.

Context

The visitors' home and away league records could hardly be further apart: 11 goals in four home games, one in five away. Debrecen's own home return of two wins in seven means that away weakness does not by itself settle the result, and the two draws in the last five meetings keep a level outcome live.
- NB I 2026-27, Zalaegerszeg away record as of 14 October 2026 (five matches): 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 defeats, 1 goal scored, 14 conceded
- NB I 2026-27, Zalaegerszeg home record as of 14 October 2026 (four matches): 3 wins, 1 defeat, 11 scored, 4 conceded
The visitors have not drawn a single competitive game this season, which is the main argument against a level result here. Debrecen are the likelier source of one: they have drawn five of 14 competitive matches, including two of seven at home.
- Ten competitive Zalaegerszeg matches, 27 July to 11 October 2026: 4 wins, 0 draws, 6 defeats
It fits a pattern: the last five meetings produced two Debrecen wins, two draws and one Zalaegerszeg win, and both teams scored in all five. That keeps a level, open game in view even though the visitors have rarely drawn this season.
- 22 February 2026, NB I: Zalaegerszeg 1-1 Debrecen
The hosts have finished level in five of 14 competitive games and won only twice at home, so a tight result fits their season. Their home fixtures also produce goals at both ends: 1.0 scored and 1.71 conceded per game.
- Seven competitive Debrecen home matches, 23 July to 19 September 2026: 2 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
- Across those seven home matches: 1.0 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.20fair 1.32

BetBugs 76% · Market 83.3%

−7.3ppshort

Both teams are involved in first halves that usually contain at least one goal.

Both Teams Score First HalfwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.25fair 1.49

BetBugs 67% · Market 80%

−13.0ppshort

Low first-half scoring rates for both sides make it unlikely that each scores before the break.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.50fair 1.75

BetBugs 57% · Market 66.7%

−9.7ppshort

Both sides concede regularly and the recent meetings between them have produced plenty of goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg have been far weaker on the road than at home, and Debrecen's home games have stayed competitive, making the hosts a slight favourite.
- Zalaegerszeg away in NB I: 0 wins, 5 losses, 1 goal scored and 14 conceded
- Debrecen home: 2W 2D 3L with 1.0 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game
- Head-to-head in the last five meetings: Debrecen won 2, drew 2, lost 1
- Zalaegerszeg away bucket: 1W 5L, 2.5 goals conceded per game over 6
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDebrecenEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding rates point to a fairly even opening period.
- Debrecen first-half goals at home: 0.43 for, 1.14 against
- Zalaegerszeg first-half goals away: 0.83 for, 0.83 against
- Debrecen's most recent match was 0-0 at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
An even second period is a common outcome given the modest scoring rates of both teams.
- Debrecen home second-half goals: 0.57 for, 0.57 against
- Debrecen's most recent match was 1-1 in the second half
- Half-time scorelines are frequently level between these sides
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg have been far weaker on the road than at home, and Debrecen's home games have stayed competitive, making the hosts a slight favourite. Debrecen's home matches have frequently finished level and the recent head-to-head includes two draws.
- Zalaegerszeg away in NB I: 0 wins, 5 losses, 1 goal scored and 14 conceded
- Debrecen home: 2W 2D 3L with 1.0 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game
- Debrecen have drawn 5 of 14 competitive matches, 2 of 7 at home
- Two of the last five meetings between the clubs ended level
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDebrecen or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding rates point to a fairly even opening period. Debrecen have conceded more than they score before half-time at home, while Zalaegerszeg score reasonably early on the road.
- Debrecen first-half goals at home: 0.43 for, 1.14 against
- Zalaegerszeg first-half goals away: 0.83 for, 0.83 against
- Debrecen concede 1.14 first-half goals per home game
- Zalaegerszeg score 0.83 first-half goals per away game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or ZalaegerszegEstimated chance72%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both sides concede regularly and the recent meetings between them have produced plenty of goals.
- Four of the last five head-to-heads went over 2.5 goals
- Zalaegerszeg concede 2.5 goals per away game and 1.9 overall
- Debrecen concede 1.71 per home game and 1.86 overall
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both teams have found the net regularly, and every recent meeting produced goals for each side.
- All of the last five head-to-heads had both teams scoring
- Zalaegerszeg both-scored in 5 of 7 competitive matches
- Debrecen both-scored in 8 of 14 competitive matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Both teams are involved in first halves that usually contain at least one goal.
- Debrecen home first-half total averages 1.57 goals
- Zalaegerszeg away first-half total averages 1.66 goals
- Debrecen conceded first-half goals in 5 of their last 6 matches checked
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Low first-half scoring rates for both sides make it unlikely that each scores before the break.
- Debrecen score 0.43 first-half goals at home
- Zalaegerszeg's away first-half scoring is 0.83 per game
- First-half goals are spread thinly across both teams' matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg's away second halves tend to produce goals against them, keeping the total near the line.
- Zalaegerszeg concede 1.67 second-half goals per away game
- Debrecen home second-half total averages 1.14 goals
- Debrecen's latest match produced two second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance51%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg generate few corners and their away games tend to stay below the combined 11.5 line.
- Zalaegerszeg average only 4.0 corners per match
- Zalaegerszeg away corner average is 5.4
- Debrecen home opponent corners average 4.14
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 11.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Debrecen's matches produce a high volume of shots, which lifts the combined total toward the line.
- Debrecen total shots average 14.77, opponents 17.31
- Zalaegerszeg total shots average 12.78, opponents 13.56
- Debrecen's most recent match had 26 total shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 27.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences allow a fair number of shots on target, pushing the combined figure above the line.
- Debrecen shots on target average 4.08, opponents 5.92
- Zalaegerszeg shots on target average 4.11, opponents 5.56
- Recent Debrecen matches produced 6 and 8 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card averages sit right around the line and several recent games have gone over it.
- Debrecen average 2.31 yellow cards, opponents 2.23
- Zalaegerszeg average 2.22 yellow cards, opponents 2.0
- Recent matches produced combined card counts of 4, 9, 6 and 5
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance52%