Draw
Market 29% · BetBugs 35%
Debrecen's poor start and European fatigue reduce their home advantage, while Nyiregyhaza's away form is weak, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
NB IFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back the draw at 3.40, as Debrecen's European fatigue and poor league start offset their historical H2H dominance against a Nyiregyhaza side with weak away form.
Avoid the double chance (1.40) and over 0.5 first-half goals (1.29) due to negative value. Monitor Debrecen's lineup post-Copenhagen for any shifts in goal expectations.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 29% · BetBugs 35%
Debrecen's poor start and European fatigue reduce their home advantage, while Nyiregyhaza's away form is weak, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 71%
Despite current form, Debrecen's historical dominance and home field should prevent a loss against a Nyiregyhaza side with poor away results.
BetBugs 55% · Market 58.8%
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games early this season, and Debrecen's defensive issues combined with Nyiregyhaza's leaky away defense point to goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 71% leaves no cushion vs our 65% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | DebrecenRelegation | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 0 |
| 8 | Nyiregyhaza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 3 |

