Zalaegerszeg5Nyiregyhaza1

HT 0–1Sun 11 Oct 2026, 12:45 Predictions graded

Predictions13–287%

Edges2–0100%

PossPossession 46%–54%ShotsShots 13–5On targetOn target 8–3CornersCorners 3–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Oct 2026, 18:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Zalaegerszeg's two wins from three home league games meet Nyíregyháza's four straight away defeats, though the visitors have won the last three meetings between them.

Zalaegerszeg to win at 2.63 is the one price that offers something. Both teams to score at 1.57 offers little, and Nyíregyháza at 2.3 is best left alone.

Context

Zalaegerszeg have won two of three home league games this season, so February's defeat is a caution rather than a template for this meeting.
Nyíregyháza have also won the other two meetings in this sequence, which is the clearest argument against treating Zalaegerszeg's home form as decisive. Zalaegerszeg's home points rest on a three-match sample, so the fixture history and this season's venue splits pull in opposite directions.
- NB I, 1 February 2026: Zalaegerszeg 0-1 Nyíregyháza.
Zalaegerszeg's 12th place on six points understates them at home, where the whole of their league return has been earned.
The venue split matters because Nyíregyháza's own away record mirrors it: four away league games, four defeats, three goals scored and ten conceded. Two teams with such contrasting home and away records make the ground the central factor here, although the Zalaegerszeg home sample is only three matches.
- NB I 2026 standings, fetched 8 October 2026: Zalaegerszeg home record 3 played, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 6 goals for, 3 against.
- Zalaegerszeg away record: 5 played, 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, 1 goal for, 14 against.
- Nyíregyháza away record: 4 played, 0 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, 3 goals for, 10 against.
Nyíregyháza's lack of clean sheets is why a tight, low-scoring home win is not the obvious shape of this match, and Zalaegerszeg's home scoring supports that reading. The counterweight is that Nyíregyháza have scored in each of their last six competitive matches, so their defensive record has not stopped them finding the net.
- Nine competitive matches, 24 July to 20 September 2026: Nyíregyháza scored 7 goals and conceded 9.
- Same nine-match window: 0 clean sheets, both teams scored in 7 of 9.
Nyíregyháza had no competitive fixture between the 20 September 1-1 league draw at Ferencváros and this match, so the club arranged a friendly against Slovak top-flight side MFK Zemplín Michalovce on 2 October and drew 1-1. It is the only recent look at the squad in action and shows the club chose to keep players ticking over through the international break rather than rest them. Because friendly intensity and rotating line-ups are hard to read, the scoreline alone says little about the eleven that will start at Zalaegerszeg.
- Nyíregyháza drew 1-1 with MFK Zemplín Michalovce in a friendly on 2 October 2026, reported by journalist Abraham Arrocha.
- Michalovce play in the Slovak top flight, and the game sits between Nyíregyháza's 20 September league fixture and the 11 October trip to Zalaegerszeg.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:41 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams to ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.57fair 1.75

BetBugs 57% · Market 63.7%

−6.7ppshort

Nyiregyhaza score regularly and concede even more, while Zalaegerszeg find the net at home.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.63
The read
Zalaegerszeg have taken every point at home this season while Nyiregyhaza have taken none on the road.
- Zalaegerszeg have won 2 of 3 home league games, scoring 6 and conceding 3.
- Nyiregyhaza have lost all 4 away league games, scoring 3 and conceding 10.
- Zalaegerszeg are 12th on 6 points; Nyiregyhaza are 10th on 8.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZalaegerszegEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg start games well at home, where their first-half scoring rate is above one per game.
- Zalaegerszeg average 1.33 first-half goals in home league games.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.89 first-half goals for and 0.67 against.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostZalaegerszegEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg's home games have been controlled after the break, with no second-half goals conceded there.
- Zalaegerszeg have not conceded a second-half goal in three home league games.
- Zalaegerszeg average 0.3 second-half goals for and 1.3 against overall.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonZalaegerszegEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg have taken every point at home this season while Nyiregyhaza have taken none on the road. Nyiregyhaza keep finding the net and have had the better of this fixture recently, including a win here in February.
- Zalaegerszeg have won 2 of 3 home league games, scoring 6 and conceding 3.
- Nyiregyhaza have lost all 4 away league games, scoring 3 and conceding 10.
- Nyiregyhaza won the last three meetings by an aggregate 6-2.
- Nyiregyhaza have scored in each of their last six competitive matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonZalaegerszeg or NyiregyhazaEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg start games well at home, where their first-half scoring rate is above one per game. Both teams' first-half goal totals are modest, which keeps the level-at-the-break result in play.
- Zalaegerszeg average 1.33 first-half goals in home league games.
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.89 first-half goals for and 0.67 against.
- Nyiregyhaza's first halves average 1.56 goals in total, 0.89 for and 0.67 against.
- Zalaegerszeg average 0.9 first-half goals for and 0.8 against.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostZalaegerszeg or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The home and away splits of both teams point to goals at both ends.
- Nyiregyhaza's four away league games produced 13 goals.
- Zalaegerszeg's three home league games produced 9 goals.
- Nyiregyhaza have both scored and conceded in each of their last six competitive matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Nyiregyhaza score regularly and concede even more, while Zalaegerszeg find the net at home.
- Nyiregyhaza have both scored and conceded in each of their last six competitive matches.
- Zalaegerszeg scored 6 goals in 3 home league games.
- Nyiregyhaza have kept no clean sheet in nine tracked competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zalaegerszeg's home scoring rate and Nyiregyhaza's away defending both support two or more home goals.
- Zalaegerszeg average 2.0 goals per home league game, with 6 in 3.
- Nyiregyhaza concede 2.5 goals per away league game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonZalaegerszeg over 1.5Estimated chance51%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza's away league scoring is below one goal per game.
- Nyiregyhaza have scored 3 goals in 4 away league games.
- Zalaegerszeg have conceded 3 goals in 3 home league games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonNyiregyhaza under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza have scored in every recent match and Zalaegerszeg rarely shut opponents out.
- Nyiregyhaza have scored in each of their last six competitive matches.
- Zalaegerszeg have kept one clean sheet in ten tracked competitive matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonNyiregyhaza to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza have conceded in every competitive match tracked this season.
- Nyiregyhaza have kept no clean sheet in nine tracked competitive matches.
- Zalaegerszeg scored 6 goals in 3 home league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonZalaegerszeg to scoreEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first halves average well over one goal, so a goalless opening half is unlikely.
- Zalaegerszeg's matches average 1.7 first-half goals, 0.9 for and 0.8 against.
- Nyiregyhaza's matches average 1.56 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring rates for both sides are low enough that one team usually stays quiet.
- Both teams average under one first-half goal per match.
- Nyiregyhaza concede 0.67 first-half goals per match.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance67%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The two teams' combined corner averages fall just below the 8.5 line.
- Zalaegerszeg's matches average 7.6 corners.
- Nyiregyhaza's matches average 8.0 corners across five tracked games.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined shots on target sit slightly above the line in both teams' matches.
- Zalaegerszeg's matches average 9.4 shots on target, 4.0 for and 5.4 against.
- Nyiregyhaza's matches average 9.4, 3.2 for and 6.2 against.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%