Teplice1Sigma Olomouc1

HT 0–1Sun 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–936%

Edges3–443%

PossPossession 48%–52%ShotsShots 25–20On targetOn target 7–6CornersCorners 7–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Oct 2026, 18:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Both clubs arrive on 16 points: Teplice, fifth, host fourth-placed Sigma Olomouc at Stínadla.

Teplice's home form is level with two wins and two defeats, while Sigma have won three of five on the road, so an open, tight game looks most likely. Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 and at least one first-half goal at 1.30 offer something; Teplice to win at 2.50 does not.

Context

The two clubs sit alongside each other near the top of the table, so the three points move whichever side wins ahead of the other immediately. Teplice have dressed the occasion up with a fanzone opening two hours before the 15:00 local kick-off and reduced presale tickets, which points to a fuller Stínadla than a routine league Sunday would draw. The pair also meet again later in the season, so this is the first instalment of a fixture likely to shape which of them holds the upper hand in the upper-table group. The framing is a stake rather than an edge: one round this early can reorder the pair, and the gap between fourth and fifth is narrow.
- Chance Liga round 10 is scheduled for Sunday 11 October at AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech in Teplice, with Dalibor Černý appointed as referee.
- Teplice and Sigma Olomouc go into the round occupying fourth and fifth place in the table.
- Teplice's matchday build-up adds a fanzone from 13:00 and presale tickets at 150 CZK for a 15:00 local kick-off.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:42 · Europe/BucharestChance Liga round-10 fixture listingwww.livesport.cz · 8 Oct 2026
Teplice's availability list for this fixture carries three names, and P. Svatek is the only forward among them. The list was drawn up at the end of the international break, so it reflects the squad's state as the club returned to league preparation rather than a setback picked up in a recent match. Losing an attacker trims the rotation available to the hosts for a home fixture against a direct rival in the top five. Because no injury type, severity or return date accompanies the listing, it cannot be told whether this is a one-match absence or something longer, and Teplice have issued no squad for the game.
- P. Svatek is listed as unavailable for Teplice through injury ahead of the Sigma Olomouc fixture.
- P. Svatek is the only forward among three Teplice squad members on the same availability list.
- P. Svatek started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:42 · Europe/BucharestTeplice and Sigma Olomouc availability listwww.fotmob.com · 8 Oct 2026
Two of the three Teplice players on the fixture's availability list are defenders, which concentrates the absences in one part of the team rather than spreading them. Cover at the back is usually the easiest area to patch, so the practical cost may be smaller than the headline count, but defensive depth matters across a congested autumn run of league and cup games. The listing carries no diagnosis or recovery window, and Teplice have published no squad for the match, so the exact reshuffle is unsettled. The safer reading is a real but modest dent rather than a decisive one.
- Daniel Danihel is listed as unavailable for Teplice through injury for this fixture.
- Two of the three Teplice names on the availability list are defenders.
- Daniel Danihel started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- D. Večerka started in the same position in 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when Daniel Danihel did not start.
ReportedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:42 · Europe/BucharestTeplice and Sigma Olomouc availability listwww.fotmob.com · 8 Oct 2026
Teplice's defensive options take a second hit alongside Daniel Danihel, so the two absences land in the same unit rather than being spread across the pitch. In a fixture where the hosts expect to hold a controlled shape against a side level with them in the table, losing cover in one area concentrates the risk in a single line of the team. The listing gives no injury detail, so an immediate return cannot be ruled in or out. It also rests on a match availability list rather than team news issued for this specific game, which is why it carries less weight than a club-confirmed absence.
- N. Audinis is listed as unavailable for Teplice through injury for this fixture.
- The Teplice absences all sit on the same availability listing for the match.
- N. Audinis started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- D. Večerka started in the same position in 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when N. Audinis did not start.
ReportedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 18:42 · Europe/BucharestTeplice and Sigma Olomouc availability listwww.fotmob.com · 8 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams Score First HalfwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.22fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 82%

−7.0ppshort

The first-half numbers suggest at least one team is likely to be kept off the scoresheet before the break.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Home advantage and Teplice's strong overall form give them a slight edge, but the teams are closely matched.
- Teplice home record: 2W 1D 2L, 10 goals for and 10 against in 5 league home matches.
- Sigma Olomouc away record: 3W 0D 2L, 8 goals for and 7 against in 5 league away matches.
- Both clubs have 16 points from 9 league games; Teplice are 5th and Sigma 4th.
- H2H: Teplice won two of the last three home meetings, but Sigma won 3-1 at Teplice in Feb 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTepliceEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.15
The read
First halves are often tight, and neither team's first-half scoring rate is high enough to expect a clear lead.
- Teplice home first halves average 2.0 total goals; Sigma away first halves average 1.4.
- Both teams average around one first-half goal at most.
- Teplice's last six first halves included a 0-0.
- Sigma's last six first halves all had at least one goal but not always a lead.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Teplice's stronger second-half home record makes them more likely to finish ahead after the break.
- Teplice home second-half averages: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded.
- Sigma away second-half averages: 0.6 scored, 1.0 conceded.
- Teplice overall second-half goal difference is +0.63; Sigma -0.22.
- Teplice have scored in the second half in most recent home games.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostTepliceEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Home advantage and Teplice's strong overall form give them a slight edge, but the teams are closely matched. Sigma's away record and recent win at Teplice make them a live threat, though the match is close.
- Teplice home record: 2W 1D 2L, 10 goals for and 10 against in 5 league home matches.
- Sigma Olomouc away record: 3W 0D 2L, 8 goals for and 7 against in 5 league away matches.
- Sigma have won 3 of 5 away league games, scoring 8 and conceding 7.
- Sigma beat Teplice 3-1 at this venue in Feb 2026.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostTeplice or Sigma OlomoucEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves are often tight, and neither team's first-half scoring rate is high enough to expect a clear lead. Sigma's stronger first-half away numbers give them the best chance to lead at the break.
- Teplice home first halves average 2.0 total goals; Sigma away first halves average 1.4.
- Both teams average around one first-half goal at most.
- Sigma away first-half averages: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded.
- Teplice home first-half averages: 0.8 scored, 1.2 conceded.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Sigma OlomoucEstimated chance73%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.78
The read
Both teams concede regularly and their combined goal averages point to around three goals.
- Teplice home league matches average 4.0 total goals (2.0 for, 2.0 against).
- Sigma away league matches average 3.0 total goals (1.6 for, 1.4 against).
- Overall, Teplice average 3.64 total goals and Sigma 3.22.
- Five of Sigma's last six league matches produced at least three goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Sigma's away matches usually feature both teams scoring, and Teplice are capable of finding the net at home.
- Sigma away: both teams scored in 4 of 5 league away games; no clean sheets away.
- Teplice home: both teams scored in 2 of 5, with 1 clean sheet.
- Overall BTTS: Teplice 5 of 11, Sigma 6 of 9.
- Sigma scored in 4 of 5 away matches; Teplice conceded in 4 of 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Both teams show enough first-half goal activity to make at least one goal likely.
- Teplice home first halves average 2.0 total goals; Sigma away first halves average 1.4.
- Overall first-half totals: Teplice 1.73, Sigma 1.44.
- Teplice's last six first halves had a goal in five.
- Sigma's last six first halves all had at least one goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
The first-half numbers suggest at least one team is likely to be kept off the scoresheet before the break.
- Sigma away first-half conceded average is 0.4.
- Teplice home first-half scored average is 0.8.
- Teplice home first-half conceded average is 1.2; Sigma away first-half scored average is 1.0.
- Overall first-half both-scoring has been uncommon in recent samples.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half profiles point to a reasonable chance of two or more goals after the break.
- Teplice home second halves average 2.0 total goals; Sigma away second halves average 1.6.
- Overall second-half totals: Teplice 1.91, Sigma 1.78.
- Four of Teplice's last six second halves had over 1.5 goals.
- Four of Sigma's last six second halves had over 1.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages are close to the line, with Sigma's away games tending to produce corners.
- Teplice overall corners total average 9.88 (5.63 for, 4.25 against) in 8 tracked matches.
- Sigma overall corners total average 9.56 (4.0 for, 5.56 against) in 9 tracked matches.
- Teplice home total corners average 8.0; Sigma away total corners average 8.8.
- Recent available Teplice matches had over 9.5 corners in two of three; Sigma in three of six.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sigma's away and recent matches are below the line, making under slightly more likely.
- Teplice overall total shots average 29.13 in 8 tracked matches.
- Sigma overall total shots average 23.11 in 9 tracked matches.
- Teplice home total shots average 26.6; Sigma away total shots average 21.0.
- Sigma's recent total shots average is 22.3.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostUnder 25.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The away split for Sigma is slightly below the line, making under marginally more likely.
- Teplice overall shots on target total average 8.33 in 9 tracked matches.
- Sigma overall shots on target total average 8.44 in 9 tracked matches.
- Teplice home total 8.4; Sigma away total 7.8.
- Recent totals varied from 5 to 10.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent card counts are mostly below the line, pointing to under.
- Teplice overall yellow cards average 2.0; opponent yellow 2.0; red cards tracked low.
- Sigma overall yellow cards average 1.56; opponent yellow 1.0; red cards tracked low.
- Recent Teplice matches had over 3.5 cards in two of four with data.
- Recent Sigma matches had over 3.5 cards in two of six.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance55%