Teplice0Slavia Prague2

HT 0–1Sun 13 Sept 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–379%

Edges7–278%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 12–13On targetOn target 2–7CornersCorners 0–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 01:01 · Europe/Bucharest

Slavia Prague are strong favourites and should win, but the best betting value is on Slavia to keep a clean sheet at 2.70 (model edge +8 points).

Avoid the heavily juiced first-half and double chance markets, and note the short turnaround from Thursday's Champions League match as the main risk factor.

Context

Slavia Prague are the current league leaders with 17 points from seven matches.
Their away record is strong: two wins and one draw in three games, with eight goals scored and only one conceded. This suggests they can control matches on the road, but Teplice have also been solid at home, so the visitors may face a tougher test than their average away performance indicates.
- Slavia Prague have 17 points from 7 matches, with 5 wins and 2 draws.
- They have scored 21 goals and conceded only 5, a goal difference of +16.
- Away record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 8 goals for, 1 against.
Teplice are fifth in the Czech Liga with 13 points from seven matches.
At home, they have scored 10 goals in four games, an average of 2.5 per match, but they have also conceded 8, showing defensive vulnerability. Against a high-scoring Slavia side, their ability to outscore opponents at home will be tested.
- Teplice home record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 10 goals for, 8 against.
- Overall, they have 13 points from 7 matches, with 15 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Slavia Prague play RC Lens on Thursday night before travelling to Teplice on Sunday.
The roughly 69-hour gap limits recovery and preparation time. Slavia may need to manage training load and could adjust selection for the league match.
- Slavia confirmed its League Phase match against RC Lens for Thursday 10 September at 21:00.
- Teplice confirmed the league match at Na Stínadlech for Sunday 13 September at 18:00.
ConfirmedSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 00:59 · Europe/BucharestSK Slavia Praha: Lens pre-match informationwww.slavia.cz · 9 Sep 2026FK Teplice: Slavia match informationfkteplice.cz · 8 Sep 2026
The teams have met five times since March 2024.
The last meeting at Teplice on 5 December 2025 saw Slavia win 2-1, but Teplice won the previous home fixture 1-0 in December 2024. This suggests neither side has a clear psychological edge, and the outcome may depend on current form and home advantage.
- 2025-12-05: Teplice 1-2 Slavia Prague (away win)
- 2024-12-15: Teplice 1-0 Slavia Prague (home win)
- 2024-08-17: Slavia Prague 2-1 Teplice (home win)

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 7 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slavia's superior league form and strong H2H record give them a clear edge, supported by their higher squad quality and motivation to stay top.
- Slavia Prague are unbeaten in the league this season (5W 2D 0L) and top the table with 17 points.
- Slavia have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Teplice in December 2025.
- Teplice have lost 2 of their last 5 league matches and have a negative points gap to the leader (-4).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSlavia PragueEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slavia's unbeaten league run and strong away form make a Teplice win unlikely, so backing Slavia or draw is very safe.
- Slavia have not lost in 7 league matches this season.
- Teplice have only won 2 of their last 5 league games.
- Slavia's away record this season is 2W 1D 0L with 8 goals scored and 1 conceded.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Slavia PragueEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slavia's tendency to start strongly and Teplice's occasional slow starts give Slavia an edge in the first half.
- Slavia lead at half-time in 53% of their matches.
- Teplice trail at half-time in 20% of their matches.
- Slavia have won the first half in 3 of their last 5 league games.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonSlavia PragueEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slavia's quality and fitness should help them dominate the second half, especially if Teplice tire.
- Slavia have a strong second-half record, outscoring opponents in recent matches.
- Teplice have lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 league games.
- Slavia's superior squad depth often shows in the later stages.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSlavia PragueEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slavia's ability to control matches from the start and maintain leads supports a HT/FT double.
- Slavia have led at half-time and won the match in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- Teplice have not won a match after trailing at half-time this season.
- Slavia's overall dominance makes a wire-to-wire win plausible.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonSlavia Prague/Slavia PragueEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While possible, winning both halves requires consistent dominance, which is less certain against a mid-table Teplice side.
- Slavia have won both halves in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Teplice have lost both halves in 1 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slavia's attacking depth can sustain pressure throughout the match.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonYesEstimated chance25%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Slavia's strong first-half record and Teplice's occasional vulnerability, backing Slavia or draw in the first half is safe.
- Slavia have not trailed at half-time in their last 5 league matches.
- Teplice have trailed at half-time in only 1 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slavia lead at half-time in 53% of matches, while Teplice lead in 47%.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Slavia PragueEstimated chance80%

Goals4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have attacking output and recent meetings have been high-scoring, making over 2.5 goals a reasonable expectation.
- Slavia average 2.3 goals per game and have scored 21 goals in 7 league matches.
- Teplice's recent matches have seen 3+ goals in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- H2H last 5 meetings produced 3+ goals in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Teplice's home scoring ability and Slavia's occasional defensive lapses suggest both teams can find the net.
- Teplice have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slavia have conceded in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Teplice average 2.1 goals per game at home this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, and Slavia's attacking intent from the start increases the likelihood of a first-half goal.
- Slavia average 1.1 first-half goals per game.
- Teplice average 0.8 first-half goals per game.
- In 4 of Slavia's last 5 league matches, there was at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is less predictable, but Slavia's depth and Teplice's potential fatigue could lead to more goals after the break.
- Slavia score an average of 1.2 goals in the second half (calculated from total and first-half averages).
- Teplice concede an average of 0.4 goals in the second half (calculated).
- Recent H2H matches have seen second-half goals in 4 of 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Slavia's strong first-half defense and Teplice's modest first-half scoring make it unlikely both teams score before the break.
- Slavia concede only 0.5 first-half goals per game.
- Teplice score only 0.8 first-half goals per game.
- In 4 of Slavia's last 5 league matches, the opponent did not score in the first half.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slavia's solid defense and Teplice's inconsistent scoring make a Slavia clean sheet a plausible outcome.
- Slavia have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Teplice have failed to score in 1 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slavia's away defense has conceded only 1 goal in 3 away league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonTeplice not to scoreEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slavia's consistent scoring and Teplice's defensive vulnerabilities make it very likely Slavia will score.
- Slavia have scored in every league match this season.
- Teplice have conceded in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slavia average 2.3 goals per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSlavia Prague to scoreEstimated chance75%