Shrewsbury0Stockport County2

HT 0–0Tue 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–660%

Edges0–40%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 3–15On targetOn target 0–6CornersCorners 2–8

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Oct 2026, 23:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Stockport County are a division above Shrewsbury and have won the last three meetings without conceding, but they have lost twice in six away matches while Shrewsbury have lost only once in four at home.

Stockport to win is the likeliest single result. Four quoted prices carry value: over 2.5 goals at 7, Shrewsbury to win or draw at 6.5, both teams to score at 4.75 and Shrewsbury to win at 41.

Context

Three wins and four goals scored without reply across October 2022, October 2024 and January 2025 is a small sample, but it is the only direct evidence of these clubs meeting, and it includes a tie in this same competition. Shrewsbury have not scored against Stockport in those three games, which sets the backdrop to a match where the visitors also sit a division higher. The most recent meeting finished 1-0, so the record points to a Stockport edge rather than a comfortable win.
- 28 January 2025: Stockport County 1-0 Shrewsbury (League One)
- 1 October 2024: Shrewsbury 0-2 Stockport County (League One)
- 18 October 2022: Stockport County 1-0 Shrewsbury (EFL Trophy)
The four-match home sample is small, but the gap is wide: Shrewsbury average 1.5 goals a game at home and 0.43 away across 15 August to 3 October 2026, and two of their three competitive wins in 11 matches came at home. Stockport have lost twice in six away matches, so their away record is less imposing than their overall one. Shrewsbury's home form is the main reason this tie may be tighter than the division gap suggests.
- Four home matches 22 August to 26 September 2026: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
- 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match in that sample
- Seven away matches 15 August to 3 October 2026: 1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses, 0.43 scored and 2.0 conceded per game
It is Shrewsbury's only 2026-27 EFL Trophy match in the brief, and it shows a side that created more than its opponent but lost. The goal came in the second half after a goalless first half, so the tie was decided late rather than early. One match cannot be stretched into a general cup tendency, but it is the closest guide to how Shrewsbury have approached this competition.
- 22 September 2026: Tranmere 1-0 Shrewsbury (EFL Trophy)
- Shrewsbury 11 shots, 3 on target; Tranmere 4 shots, 1 on target
- Shrewsbury 3 corners to Tranmere's 2, and three Shrewsbury yellow cards
This is the high point of Stockport's recent league run and shows the scoring threat behind their 2.25 goals per game across 12 competitive matches from 9 May 2026. It came away from home, where their average drops to 1.5 goals per game across six matches, so it is as much an outlier as a warning. Shrewsbury kept two clean sheets in 11 competitive matches between 15 August and 3 October 2026, so a repeat of this scoreline is not the expected outcome.
- 5 September 2026: Wigan 0-4 Stockport County (League One)
- Stockport led 3-0 at half-time
- Stockport 16 shots, 8 on target; Wigan 9 shots, 1 on target

BetBugs edges

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BetBugs probabilities

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Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport are the higher-division side with a strong recent record against Shrewsbury and better scoring numbers.
- Stockport have 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in 12 competitive matches.
- Stockport have won all three recent head-to-head meetings, scoring 4 and conceding 0.
- Stockport average 2.25 goals per game while Shrewsbury concede 1.73.
- Stockport's away record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 6 matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonStockport CountyEstimated chance51%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport score more first-half goals and concede fewer, so an away half-time lead is the most likely single outcome.
- Stockport average 1.17 first-half goals for and 0.5 against.
- Shrewsbury average 0.55 first-half goals for and 0.91 against.
- Stockport led at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches.
- Shrewsbury trailed at half-time in 1 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostStockport CountyEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport score more after half-time and Shrewsbury have not won a second half recently, so an away second-half win is the most likely result.
- Stockport average 1.08 second-half goals for and 0.92 against.
- Shrewsbury average 0.27 second-half goals for and 0.82 against.
- Stockport won the second half in 3 of their last 6 matches.
- Shrewsbury have not won a second half in their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonStockport CountyEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
A tight cup tie is possible given the low-scoring history between these teams and Shrewsbury's tendency to draw. Stockport are the higher-division side with a strong recent record against Shrewsbury and better scoring numbers.
- Shrewsbury have drawn 2 of 11 competitive matches; Stockport have drawn 1 of 12.
- The last three head-to-head meetings produced only four goals in total.
- Stockport have 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in 12 competitive matches.
- Stockport have won all three recent head-to-head meetings, scoring 4 and conceding 0.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Stockport CountyEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have often been level at the break recently, making a drawn first half a strong possibility. Stockport score more first-half goals and concede fewer, so an away half-time lead is the most likely single outcome.
- Stockport were level at half-time in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Shrewsbury were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches.
- Stockport average 1.17 first-half goals for and 0.5 against.
- Shrewsbury average 0.55 first-half goals for and 0.91 against.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Stockport CountyEstimated chance78%

Goals2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 7.00
The read
Stockport's high-scoring recent form and Shrewsbury's high concession rate point to a game with at least three goals.
- Stockport's recent matches include 5-1, 4-0 and 3-4 scorelines.
- Stockport average 2.25 goals per game; Shrewsbury concede 1.73.
- Shrewsbury's recent matches include a 2-2 and a 2-1.
- The last three head-to-head meetings produced only four goals in total.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Shrewsbury's low scoring rate and Stockport's clean-sheet record make a one-sided scoring pattern more likely.
- Stockport have 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches.
- Shrewsbury average 0.82 goals per game.
- The last three head-to-head meetings all ended without both teams scoring.
- Shrewsbury failed to score in 2 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have regularly scored in the first half recently, so a goal before half-time is likely.
- Shrewsbury's first-half matches average 1.45 total goals; Stockport's average 1.67.
- At least one first-half goal was scored in 9 of the last 12 combined matches.
- Shrewsbury scored in the first half in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Stockport scored in the first half in 3 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Shrewsbury's low second-half scoring and several blank halves point to fewer than two goals after the break.
- Shrewsbury's second-half matches average 1.09 total goals.
- Under 1.5 second-half goals occurred in 7 of the last 12 combined matches.
- Shrewsbury had a 0-0 second half in 2 of their last 6 matches.
- Stockport had a 0-0 second half in 1 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport's strong scoring rate and Shrewsbury's high concession rate make two or more away goals more likely than not.
- Stockport average 2.25 goals per game.
- Shrewsbury concede 1.73 goals per game.
- Stockport scored 2 or more in 3 of their last 6 matches.
- Stockport's away average is 1.5 goals per game.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonStockport County over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Shrewsbury have found the net regularly at home recently, so Stockport keeping a clean sheet is less likely than not.
- Shrewsbury scored in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Stockport have 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches.
- Shrewsbury average 0.82 goals per game.
- Stockport's away clean-sheet rate is 3 in 6 matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostShrewsbury to scoreEstimated chance62%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combined recent corner counts fall below 13, making under 12.5 the stronger side of this line.
- Shrewsbury average 9.55 total corners per match; Stockport average 10.92.
- Shrewsbury's last six matches averaged 9.8 total corners.
- Stockport's last six matches averaged 10.0 total corners.
- Only 2 of Shrewsbury's last 6 matches reached 13 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 12.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The recent shot counts for both teams are consistently below the line, making under 27.5 more likely.
- Shrewsbury average 23.1 total shots per match; Stockport average 24.4.
- Shrewsbury's last six matches averaged 23.8 total shots.
- Stockport's last six matches averaged 23.7 total shots.
- 5 of the last 6 Shrewsbury matches stayed below 28 total shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 27.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport's higher shot-on-target rate and recent matches often reaching 9 make over 8.5 slightly more likely.
- Stockport average 9.6 total shots on target per match; Shrewsbury average 7.0.
- Stockport's last six matches averaged 8.5 total shots on target.
- Shrewsbury's last six matches averaged 7.7 total shots on target.
- 8 of the last 12 combined matches had 9 or more total shots on target.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport's low card counts and several Shrewsbury matches below 5 make under 4.5 slightly more likely.
- Stockport average 2.82 total cards per match.
- Stockport's last six matches averaged about 3.2 total cards.
- Shrewsbury average 4.18 total cards per match.
- Shrewsbury stayed below 5 total cards in 3 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 4.5Estimated chance52%