Sheffield Wednesday0Stockport County0

HT 0–0Sat 19 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–910%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 47%–53%ShotsShots 6–18On targetOn target 2–2CornersCorners 4–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Sep 2026, 17:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 1.65—our model gives it a 70% probability versus the implied 61%, a solid 9-point edge.

Avoid Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score, as the odds overprice those outcomes relative to our estimates.

Context

Sheffield Wednesday are first in League One with 13 points from six matches, while Stockport County are eighth with 9 points.
The home side's strong start gives them a four-point cushion over Stockport County. Their recent league form includes wins over Peterborough, Wycombe, and Bromley, though they drew 0-0 with Wigan in their last match. Stockport have been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses in their last five league games.
- Sheffield Wednesday have 13 points from 6 matches, ranking 1st.
- Stockport County have 9 points from 6 matches, ranking 8th.
- Sheffield Wednesday's last league match was a 0-0 draw at home to Wigan on 2026-09-12.
- Stockport County lost 3-4 at home to Leicester on 2026-09-12.
Sheffield Wednesday manager Henrik Pedersen has identified a need for quicker attacks after the 0-0 home draw with Wigan on 12 September.
Pedersen wants more runs beyond the defensive line and more players arriving in the box, which could lead to a more direct attacking approach against Stockport. The change is reported rather than confirmed, and its effectiveness will depend on execution.
- Wednesday were held 0-0 by Wigan at Hillsborough on 12 September.
- The report says Pedersen identified insufficient speed in the game, too few runs beyond Wigan’s defensive line and too few players arriving in the box.
- Wigan used a man-marking role on Barry Bannan to disrupt Wednesday’s rhythm.
ReportedSources checked 15 Sep 2026, 17:15 · Europe/BucharestWAWAW News: Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Wigan Athleticwawaw.news · 13 Sep 2026
Stockport County have scored 16 goals and conceded 10 in six League One matches.
Their attack is potent, with 2.3 goals per game on average, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 1.3 goals per game. In their last match, they lost 3-4 to Leicester despite scoring three times. Sheffield Wednesday have conceded only six goals in six games, so Stockport's attacking threat will be tested.
- Stockport County have scored 16 goals in 6 league matches, the highest in League One.
- Stockport County have conceded 10 goals in 6 league matches.
- Stockport County lost 3-4 at home to Leicester on 2026-09-12.
- Sheffield Wednesday have conceded 6 goals in 6 league matches.
Sheffield Wednesday have a perfect away record in League One with three wins from three matches.
At home, they have been less dominant, with one win, one draw, and one loss in three games. Their home results include a 7-2 win over Bromley, a 0-0 draw with Wigan, and a 0-1 loss to Bradford. Stockport County have won two of three away games, so this match could be competitive.
- Sheffield Wednesday's away record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses.
- Sheffield Wednesday's home record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss.
- Sheffield Wednesday beat Bromley 7-2 at home on 2026-08-29.
- Sheffield Wednesday lost 0-1 at home to Bradford on 2026-08-20.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.55fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have attacking intent, but the odds imply a higher probability than our model supports.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.55fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have shown they can score and concede, but the odds are slightly below our estimate.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.22fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Stockport's strong first-half scoring record suggests a goal, but the odds are heavily skewed.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sheffield Wednesday's stronger league position and home advantage give them a slight edge, but their inconsistent home form tempers confidence.
- Sheffield Wednesday rank 1st with 13 points from 6 matches (4W 1D 1L).
- Stockport County rank 8th with 9 points from 6 matches (3W 0D 3L).
- Sheffield Wednesday home record: 1W 1D 1L in 3 home matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSheffield WednesdayEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sheffield Wednesday's strong overall form and home advantage make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance.
- Sheffield Wednesday have lost only 1 of 6 league matches this season.
- Stockport County have lost 3 of 6 league matches, all away from home.
- Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSheffield Wednesday or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport's superior first-half scoring record gives them a slight edge to lead at the break, though the margin is narrow.
- Stockport County have led at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday have trailed at half-time in 27% of matches.
- Stockport County average 1.1 first-half goals vs Sheffield Wednesday's 0.7.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostStockport CountyEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Sheffield Wednesday win is a plausible scenario given their second-half strength.
- Sheffield Wednesday have drawn at half-time in 40% of matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday have won 4 of 6 matches overall.
- Stockport County have lost 3 of 6 matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Sheffield WednesdayEstimated chance20%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown attacking intent, with Stockport's high scoring rate and Sheffield Wednesday's defensive vulnerabilities suggesting goals.
- Stockport County average 2.3 goals scored per match this season.
- Stockport County average 1.3 goals conceded per match.
- Sheffield Wednesday average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown they can score and concede, making a both-teams-score outcome likely.
- Stockport County have scored in 5 of 6 league matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday have conceded in 4 of 6 league matches.
- Stockport County have conceded in 4 of 6 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stockport's strong first-half scoring record and Sheffield Wednesday's tendency to concede early suggest a first-half goal is likely.
- Stockport County average 1.1 first-half goals per match.
- Sheffield Wednesday average 0.7 first-half goals per match.
- Stockport County have led at half-time in 47% of matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is less predictable, but both teams have the attacking quality to produce goals after the break.
- Stockport County average 1.2 second-half goals per match (calculated from total and first-half).
- Sheffield Wednesday average 0.6 second-half goals per match.
- Both teams have shown ability to score late in matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a high number of corners, making over 9.5 corners a reasonable expectation.
- Sheffield Wednesday average 5.9 corners per match.
- Stockport County average 7.3 corners per match.
- Combined average corners: 13.2 per match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are capable of testing the goalkeeper, suggesting a moderate chance of exceeding 8.5 shots on target.
- Sheffield Wednesday average 5.2 shots on target per match.
- Stockport County average 5.5 shots on target per match.
- Combined average shots on target: 10.7 per match.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%