Stockport County
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 62%
Stockport's superior league position, scoring output, and Wigan's winless start make an away win the most likely outcome.
League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Stockport County are strong favourites away to bottom-placed Wigan, with a 62% estimated win probability versus 49% implied by odds of 2.05 — a clear value edge.
The double chance (Draw or Stockport) also offers value at 1.33. Avoid Both Teams to Score and First Half Over 0.5 goals, as the market overprices those outcomes relative to our model.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Stockport CountyMarket 48.8% · BetBugs 62%
Stockport's superior league position, scoring output, and Wigan's winless start make an away win the most likely outcome.
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 82%
Wigan's poor form and Stockport's stronger recent results make a Stockport win or draw highly probable.
Stockport CountyMarket 40% · BetBugs 45%
Stockport's superior first-half performance makes them the most likely leader at the break.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 25% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of a narrow away win; the handicap is too aggressive given Stockport's away margin.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wigan AthleticRelegation - League Two | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 0 |
| 3 | Stockport CountyPromotion - League One (Play Offs) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9-4 | 6 |

