Stockport County22 – 0Stevenage0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Stockport County hold a 1-0 aggregate lead and have a strong home record, while Stevenage have struggled away, making a home win the most likely single outcome.

• Stockport County won the first leg 1-0 away at Stevenage on 9 May 2026, giving them an aggregate lead.
• Stockport County's home record this season: 13 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses in 23 matches, with 38 goals scored and 26 conceded.
• Stevenage's away record: 7 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses in 23 matches, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded.
• Stockport County have won 3 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonStockport CountyEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With a first-leg lead and solid home form, Stockport County are unlikely to lose in regulation; a draw or win covers their progression scenario.

• Stockport County have only lost 6 of 23 home matches this season.
• Stevenage have lost 11 of 23 away matches this season.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Stockport County have won 2 and lost 3, but the most recent was a Stockport win.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonStockport County or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Stockport's ability to manage games and Stevenage's need to push forward could lead to a home second-half edge, but evidence is thin.

• Stockport County have won the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Stevenage have lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Stockport County scored the only goal in the second half of the first leg.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableStockport CountyEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A repeat of the first-leg pattern is possible, but the specific HT/FT combination is rare, so confidence is low.

• Stockport County have drawn at half-time and won the match in 2 of their last 15 matches.
• Stevenage have drawn at half-time and lost the match in 1 of their last 15 matches.
• The first leg was 0-0 at half-time and ended 1-0 to Stockport.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Stockport CountyEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have trended toward low-scoring games recently, and the first leg was tight; with Stockport protecting a lead, a cautious match is likely.

• Stockport County's last 5 matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals.
• Stevenage's last 5 matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals.
• The first leg ended 1-0, with few clear chances.
• Stevenage average only 0.9 goals per game over their last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Stevenage's away scoring record is poor, and Stockport's defensive setup with a lead suggests at least one team may fail to score.

• Stockport County kept a clean sheet in the first leg.
• Stevenage have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Stockport County have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 home matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

If the match opens up later, second-half goals are more likely, but the low overall scoring trend keeps confidence low.

• Stockport County score 60% of their goals in the second half over the last 15 matches.
• Stevenage concede 67% of their goals in the second half over the last 15 matches.
• The first leg's only goal came in stoppage time.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Stockport's high corner count and the first-leg total suggest a repeat of double-digit corners is likely.

• Stockport County average 6.3 corners per match over their last 15 matches.
• Stevenage average 3.6 corners per match over their last 15 matches, but their opponents average 5.5 corners.
• The first leg had 14 corners (10 for Stockport, 4 for Stevenage).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Stockport's attacking style generates corners, and Stevenage's defensive record on the road points to a high home corner count.

• Stockport County average 6.3 corners per match overall, and at home they often exceed 5.5.
• In the first leg, Stockport earned 10 corners away.
• Stevenage concede an average of 5.5 corners per away match.

BetBugs · Home CornerswonStockport County over 5.5Estimated chance60%