League OneFull time

Predictions graded

Stockport County5Wycombe Wanderers1

HT 2–1Sat 29 Aug 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–280%

Edges5–0100%

PossPossession 65%–35%ShotsShots 17–7On targetOn target 7–5CornersCorners 6–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 04:51 · Europe/Bucharest

Stockport's recent H2H dominance makes them likely to avoid defeat, but the odds on double chance (1.25) and match winner (1.95) offer no value.

Avoid Over 9.5 corners and first-half Over 1.5 goals due to significant negative edges. No actionable betting edge exists pre-match.

Context

Stockport County and Wycombe Wanderers have met four times in League One since November 2024.
In the most recent meeting on 3 April 2026, Stockport won 3-0 at home. That result is the only home win for either side in this head-to-head sample, and it is the most recent data point. However, the earlier three meetings were all won by the away team, so the pattern is not consistent.
- On 3 April 2026, Stockport County beat Wycombe 3-0 at home in League One.
- In the previous three meetings, the away team won each time, including Wycombe's 5-0 win at Stockport on 5 November 2024.
Stockport attacker Malik Mothersille completed a season-long loan to Wycombe two days before this match.
His departure removes him from Stockport's attacking selection for this game. The immediate effect is a reduction in available forward options, though the claim does not specify how Stockport will replace him or how significant his role was.
- Stockport County confirmed on 27 August that Mothersille had joined Wycombe on a season-long loan.
- Wycombe Wanderers announced the same season-long loan on 27 August.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 09:50 · Europe/Bucharest
Stockport County have played two League One matches this season, one at home and one away.
Their only home league match ended in a 1-2 defeat to Blackpool on 22 August 2026. In that game Stockport had 78% possession and 28 shots but conceded twice in the first half. This suggests they can create chances at home but have been vulnerable early.
- On 22 August 2026, Stockport lost 1-2 at home to Blackpool in League One.
- Stockport had 78% possession and 28 shots in that match but trailed 0-2 at half-time.
Wycombe Wanderers have played two League One matches this season, one at home and one away.
They drew 1-1 at home to Plymouth on 22 August 2026 and 1-1 away to Blackpool on 15 August 2026. Both matches were level at some point, and Wycombe have not yet won this season. This suggests they are competitive but have not found a winning edge.
- On 22 August 2026, Wycombe drew 1-1 at home to Plymouth in League One.
- On 15 August 2026, Wycombe drew 1-1 away to Blackpool in League One.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Stockport County or Draw

1.25fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Stockport's H2H dominance and Wycombe's draw tendency make avoiding defeat highly likely, but the odds are too short to offer value.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.75fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 57.1%

0.0ppshort

Combined goal averages and H2H history support Over 2.5, but odds are slightly below our estimate.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.30fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Combined first-half goal average is 1.7, but odds heavily favor Over 0.5 leaving no value.

Corners Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 9.5

1.57fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%

0.0ppshort

Combined corners profile over the last 8 matches projects sustained wing pressure above the 9.5 baseline.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stockport's recent H2H dominance and superior goal difference give them the edge, though Wycombe's resilience in draws tempers confidence.
- Stockport have won the last three H2H meetings, scoring 8 and conceding 2.
- Stockport average 2.0 goals per match in recent form, Wycombe concede 1.8.
- Wycombe have drawn both league matches this season, failing to win.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonStockport CountyEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Stockport's H2H edge and Wycombe's draw tendency, the home side avoiding defeat is highly likely.
- Stockport have won 3 of last 4 H2H meetings, with Wycombe's only win being a 5-0 anomaly.
- Wycombe have drawn both league matches this season, showing difficulty winning.
- Stockport's home loss this season was against Blackpool, but they have strong overall form.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonStockport County or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first half is likely to be evenly matched, with a draw being a common outcome.
- Stockport led at halftime in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%, drew in 47%.
- Wycombe led at halftime in 40%, trailed in 27%, drew in 33%.
- Both teams have similar first-half profiles.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A halftime draw followed by a Stockport win is plausible given their second-half strength, but specific HT/FT combos are inherently low probability.
- Stockport have drawn at halftime in 47% of matches.
- Stockport have won 60% of matches overall.
- Wycombe have drawn at halftime in 33% and lost 40% overall.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Stockport CountyEstimated chance20%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high combined goal averages and recent H2H matches have been high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Stockport average 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against, total 3.2 goals per match.
- Wycombe average 1.7 goals for and 1.8 against, total 3.5 goals per match.
- Last three H2H meetings produced 3, 3, and 4 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly find the net, and Wycombe's defensive vulnerabilities make BTTS likely.
- Stockport have scored in 13 of last 15 matches.
- Wycombe have scored in 12 of last 15 matches.
- Wycombe have conceded in 13 of last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, making over 0.5 first-half goals probable.
- Stockport average 0.9 first-half goals, Wycombe average 0.8.
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.7 per match.
- Stockport led at halftime in 40% of matches, Wycombe in 40%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is slightly lower but still supports over 1.5 goals, though confidence is low due to variability.
- Stockport average 1.1 second-half goals (2.0 total - 0.9 first half).
- Wycombe average 0.9 second-half goals (1.7 total - 0.8 first half).
- Combined second-half average is 2.0 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a high number of corners, making over 9.5 corners likely.
- Stockport average 6.9 corners per match, Wycombe average 7.1.
- Combined average corners per match is 14.0.
- Recent H2H matches have had high corner counts (e.g., 14, 7, 3).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce a solid number of shots on target, supporting over 8.5 total.
- Stockport average 6.3 shots on target per match.
- Wycombe average 5.0 shots on target per match.
- Combined average shots on target is 11.3.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 51% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 1W

W3-0Stockport CountyvWycombeApr 3, 2026LEA

W1-2WycombevStockport CountyAug 9, 2025LEA

W1-3WycombevStockport CountyMay 3, 2025LEA

L0-5Stockport CountyvWycombeNov 5, 2024LEA

3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Stockport County	2	1	0	1	4-3	3	LW
16	Wycombe Wanderers	2	0	2	0	2-2	2	DD

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form