Enkopings SK1Gefle IF0

HT 0–0Sat 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–750%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Oct 2026, 16:58 · Europe/Bucharest

Enköping's home record against a Gefle side that has lost seven of twelve away is the pull, and the home team has won all three recent meetings — but Gefle won the May meeting 2-1.

Enköping to win at 2.5, a goalless first half at 3.1 and Enköping to win or draw at 1.5 carry a small edge; Over 2.5 at 1.7 and both teams to score at 1.6 ask for more than the case supports.

Context

Pelle Olsson is back at Gefle IF more than a decade after his previous spell, and the club is battling relegation in Ettan Norra as the season enters its closing rounds. A coach's identity shapes how a relegation-threatened side sets up away from home, so his presence frames how Gefle approach this trip to Enköping. The evidence establishes the return and the club's league situation rather than any specific tactical or selection change, so the effect on this fixture is plausible but not yet quantifiable.
- Pelle Olsson returned to Gefle IF after 13 years away from the club.
- Gefle IF are in a relegation fight in Ettan Norra.
ReportedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 16:56 · Europe/Bucharest
Enköping's case rests on a strong twelve-game home league record, but their most recent meeting with Gefle went the other way.
Gefle have already beaten Enköping this season, so the home side's advantage comes from their broader home record rather than any recent hold over this opponent.
- Gefle IF 2-1 Enköping, Ettan Norra, 2 May 2026.
Enköping's home results have been strong, but their home games have not been tight.
Forty goals in twelve home league games means Enköping's home matches have swung both ways, so a controlled home win is not the only sensible reading of their record.
- Enköping 2026 Ettan Norra home record: 12 matches, 7 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 19 goals for, 21 against (standings retrieved 1 October 2026).
Each club won its home fixture in the 2025 Ettan Norra meetings, and Enköping host again at Enavallen, the ground where they took the June 2025 edition 2-0. That home-side pattern is the main shared history available for this pairing. The two games are now more than a year old and both squads have changed since, so it frames the fixture as background rather than a reliable guide to selection or form.
- Enköpings SK beat Gefle IF 2-0 at Enavallen on 7 June 2025, with goals from Linus Zetterström and Emil Özkan.
- Gefle IF beat Enköpings SK 5-1 on 16 August 2025, with Theodor Hansemon scoring twice.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 16:56 · Europe/BucharestTransfermarkt match reportwww.transfermarkt.com · 7 Jun 2025Forza Football match pageforzafootball.com · 16 Aug 2025

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Enköping's home record and Gefle's seven away defeats in twelve point to a home edge, and the fixture has gone to the home side in each of the last three meetings.
- Enköping home league record 7W 2D 3L in 12 (19 goals for, 21 against)
- Gefle away league record 4W 1D 7L in 12 (13 for, 23 against)
- The home side won all three recent meetings between the clubs
- Enköping sit 7th on 39 points, Gefle 9th on 30
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEnkopings SKEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With both teams averaging around one first-half goal between them, the interval is most often reached level.
- Combined first-half goal expectation is about 1.1 goals
- Gefle were level at half-time in three of their last six matches
- Enköping's first-half goal difference at home is plus three over seven games
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gefle's away second halves are their better phase relative to the first, and Enköping have been vulnerable after the break at home.
- Gefle away second halves: 0.86 goals for, 1.0 against per game
- Gefle scored twice after the break at Järfälla in their most recent home win
- Enköping conceded two second-half goals in their most recent home defeat
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostGefle IFEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping's home record and Gefle's seven away defeats in twelve point to a home edge, and the fixture has gone to the home side in each of the last three meetings. Gefle have won a third of their away league games and have beaten Enköping twice in the last three meetings, so they are not merely making up the numbers.
- Enköping home league record 7W 2D 3L in 12 (19 goals for, 21 against)
- Gefle away league record 4W 1D 7L in 12 (13 for, 23 against)
- Gefle away league record 4W 1D 7L, with 13 scored and 23 conceded in 12
- Gefle won 2-1 at home against Enköping on 2 May 2026
BetBugs · Double ChancewonEnkopings SK or Gefle IFEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping score more and concede less before the break at home, while Gefle's away first halves are almost anonymous. With both teams averaging around one first-half goal between them, the interval is most often reached level.
- Enköping home first halves: 0.86 goals for, 0.43 against per game
- Gefle away first halves: 0.29 goals for, 0.57 against per game
- Combined first-half goal expectation is about 1.1 goals
- Gefle were level at half-time in three of their last six matches
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonEnkopings SK or DrawEstimated chance82%

Goals3 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Enköping's home games have consistently produced goals at both ends, and their recent matches have been the highest-scoring part of the sample.
- Enköping home league games average 3.3 total goals (19 for, 21 against in 12)
- Enköping's last six matches produced 22 goals
- Five of Enköping's last six matches finished with three or more goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Enköping have been unable to keep home clean sheets while Gefle usually find at least one away goal, which makes both teams scoring the more likely side.
- Enköping conceded in all seven home matches in the tracked window
- Enköping have two clean sheets in 15 tracked matches
- Gefle average about 1.1 goals per away league game
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping score at a steady rate at home and have managed two goals in consecutive home games.
- Enköping home league games: 19 goals in 12, about 1.6 per game
- Enköping's home-split average is 1.57 goals per game
- Enköping scored twice in each of their last two home league matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostEnkopings SK over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gefle's away output has been minimal all season, so holding them to one goal or fewer is the stronger side of this line.
- Gefle average 1.1 goals per away league game
- Four of Gefle's last six matches produced one goal or none for them
- Gefle's away wins this season have been low-scoring
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonGefle IF under 1.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping have conceded in every home game in the sample, making a shutout the less likely outcome.
- Enköping conceded in all seven home matches in the tracked window
- Enköping home league record shows 21 goals conceded in 12 games
- Gefle scored in at least one of their last two away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGefle IF to scoreEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Enköping's home scoring record is steady and Gefle concede regularly away, so the no side is clearly favoured.
- Enköping scored in all seven home matches in the tracked window
- Enköping were shut out in two of their last six matches overall
- Gefle conceded 23 goals in 12 away league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonEnkopings SK to scoreEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
A first-half goal is the more likely single outcome given the combined first-half scoring rates.
- Combined first-half expectation is about 1.1 goals
- Enköping home first halves average 1.29 goals combined
- Ten of the last twelve matches involving these clubs had a first-half goal
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gefle's first-half output is very low, so at least one side is likely to be held scoreless before the break.
- Gefle scored four first-half goals across 15 tracked matches
- Gefle away first-half average 0.29 goals per game
- Only three of the twelve recent matches involving these clubs had both teams scoring before half-time
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences concede more after the break than before it, which pushes the second half towards two or more goals.
- Combined second-half expectation is about 1.85 goals
- Four of Enköping's last six matches had two or more second-half goals
- Three of Gefle's last six matches had two or more second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance53%

Prediction history

Enkopings SK: 1/5 recent goals projections matched

1 of 5 comparable goals projections involving Enkopings SK matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Enkopings SK5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

27 Jun·Ettan - Norra