Granada2FC Andorra3

HT 0–2Sat 26 Sept 2026, 14:15 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 62%–38%ShotsShots 23–6On targetOn target 5–5CornersCorners 14–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Sep 2026, 07:32 · Europe/Bucharest

Granada are unbeaten at home in the league but have scored more than once in only two of six games, while Andorra arrive on five straight defeats and without their first-choice goalkeeper.

Granada are the more likely winners. Four quoted prices carry value: Granada to win at 2.25, Granada to avoid defeat at 1.33, over 2.5 goals at 1.95 and both teams not to score in the first half at 1.18.

Context

Granada must absorb the September international window without two players used in recent weeks: Owen Emeka, called up by Spain's Under-18s, misses this matchday and the next, while Baïla Diallo left for Mauritania after Granada coach Pacheta said he was not fit to play. Local coverage framed Granada's wide options for Saturday as 'just enough', so the absences narrow the attacking plan rather than reshape it. Neither is a guaranteed starter, and one specialist outlet noted Diallo travelled for tests that could in theory send him back before kick-off - Pacheta's own fitness assessment is what makes the absence the likelier outcome.
- CategoriaPlata, 21 September: Granada have two absences this international window - Owen Emeka (Spain Under-18) misses matchday 7 against Andorra and matchday 8 against Real Sociedad B, while Baïla Diallo travels with Mauritania for tests.
- COPE Granada, 23 September: 'Dos bajas seguras en el Granada CF para recibir al Andorra'.
- El Gol Digital, 24 September: Pacheta on Diallo before he left with his national team - 'No está para jugar'.
- Granada Hoy, 23 September: Granada go into the match against Andorra 'con los extremos justos'.
ConfirmedSources checked 24 Sep 2026, 07:30 · Europe/Bucharest
Andorra's goalkeeping plan was already in motion before this trip: Jesús Owono took the starting jersey from Pau López in the 1-3 home defeat by Sporting Gijón on 19 September, and the club then confirmed he would be away on AFCON qualifying duty while Andorra travel to Los Cármenes. His absence removes the keeper who had just won the job and returns the decision to a squad whose other senior options, Pau López and Nicolás Ratti, are both first-team goalkeepers. What is certain is the absence, not the replacement: no source has named who starts on Saturday, which is the uncertainty worth tracking before kick-off.
- FC Andorra, 21 September: Jesús Owono called up by Equatorial Guinea for 2027 AFCON qualifiers against Congo (24 September) and Sierra Leone (28 September).
- RTVA, 20 September: the club confirmed Owono and Randy Schneider will not be available for the match against Granada.
- Canal Rojiblanco (Ideal Granada), 22 September: Owono took the starting place in goal from Pau López on the previous matchday and now leaves with Equatorial Guinea, so Andorra lose their first-choice goalkeeper for Los Cármenes.
- CategoriaPlata, 21 September: Andorra's only absentee in principle is Owono, who misses matchday 7 against Granada.
ConfirmedSources checked 24 Sep 2026, 07:30 · Europe/Bucharest
Andorra arrive with five straight league defeats and three points from six games, and by mid-September local media in Andorra were writing about alarm and asking whether the coach's position was in question. Public broadcaster RTVA carried the club's answer: sporting director Jaume Nogués said Carles Manso 'will never be at risk', and Manso asked for calm while the team adapted. The public backing removes the immediate expectation of a change in the dugout and implies continuity of approach at Los Cármenes, although that is a statement of intent from a club that has not yet seen results turn.
- CategoriaPlata match report, 19 September: the 1-3 home defeat by Sporting Gijón is Andorra's fifth consecutive defeat, leaving three points from 18.
- RTVA, 14 September: sporting director Jaume Nogués says Carles Manso 'will never be at risk' and the club trusts the team's evolution while keeping its sporting model intact.
- RTVA, 13 September: Andorra sound the alarm after four consecutive defeats and evident defensive fragility, with Manso asking for calm and adaptation rather than seeing his position in danger.
- FC Andorra official account, 23 September: 'Estem al principi, la lliga és molt llarga i aquesta situació se li pot donar la volta'.
ConfirmedSources checked 24 Sep 2026, 07:30 · Europe/Bucharest
Reports on Andorra's losing run keep landing on the same weakness: balls into their box, from crosses and set plays, with Valladolid's winner arriving from a lateral free-kick and Real Sociedad B's pressing structure forcing them into hopeful deliveries of their own. Granada's most recent goal came from exactly that source, a Sergio Rodelas cross headed in by Alejandro Marqués at Leganés. The reading comes from one specialist Segunda outlet's match analysis rather than a club statement, so it is a plausible route to a goal here rather than a settled fact about how the game will unfold.
- CategoriaPlata match report, 5 September: Valladolid's 1-0 win came from a lateral free-kick that Diego Alende turned into his own net, and Andorra suffer badly from set pieces and crosses.
- CategoriaPlata match report, 12 September: Real Sociedad B kept two tight lines to force Andorra wide and the home side conceded three goals in three badly defended actions.
- CategoriaPlata match report, 19 September: Andorra lacked creativity in the opponent's half and the centimetres to reach the crosses they put in late on against Sporting Gijón.
- Granada CF official account, 23 September: Granada's goal at Leganés came from a Rodelas cross finished by Alejandro Marqués.
ReportedSources checked 24 Sep 2026, 07:30 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 6

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.25
The read
Granada are unbeaten at home in the league with three goals scored and one conceded, while Andorra arrive on five straight defeats with no away points and a replacement goalkeeper.
- Granada league record 2W-2D-2L, 8 goals for and 8 against; home 1W-1D-0L with 3 scored and 1 conceded
- Andorra are 20th with 3 points from 6 (1W-0D-5L), on a five-match losing run and 0W-0D-2L away with 2 scored and 5 conceded
- Andorra are without first-choice goalkeeper Jesús Owono and midfielder Randy Schneider; Granada are without Owen Emeka and Baïla Diallo
- Andorra have no clean sheet in seven competitive matches and have conceded in all six league games
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGranadaEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.15
The read
Andorra have one first-half goal in six games and Granada average under half a first-half goal at home.
- Andorra have one first-half goal in their last six matches
- Granada average 0.44 first-half goals for and 0.89 against per competitive match
- Granada's home first-half split is 0.5 goals for and 0.25 against
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Granada score and concede equally after the break and Andorra's late goals often arrive without settling the result.
- Granada have scored and conceded 0.67 second-half goals per competitive match
- Andorra have scored 1.14 and conceded 1.14 second-half goals per competitive match
- Granada's last six second halves produced nine goals in total
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Granada are unbeaten at home in the league with three goals scored and one conceded, while Andorra arrive on five straight defeats with no away points and a replacement goalkeeper. Granada rarely open games up at home and the two most recent meetings both ended level, though Andorra's draw-free run makes this the least likely of the three results.
- Granada league record 2W-2D-2L, 8 goals for and 8 against; home 1W-1D-0L with 3 scored and 1 conceded
- Andorra are 20th with 3 points from 6 (1W-0D-5L), on a five-match losing run and 0W-0D-2L away with 2 scored and 5 conceded
- Granada have scored more than once in only two of six league games, averaging 1.11 goals per match
- The two 2025/26 meetings ended level: 1-1 at Granada in March 2026 and 0-0 at Andorra in October 2025
BetBugs · Double ChancelostGranada or DrawEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Andorra have scored one first-half goal in their last six and trailed at the break in four of them. Andorra have one first-half goal in six games and Granada average under half a first-half goal at home.
- Andorra have scored one first-half goal in their last six matches
- Andorra trailed at half-time in four of their last six matches
- Andorra have one first-half goal in their last six matches
- Granada average 0.44 first-half goals for and 0.89 against per competitive match
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostGranada or DrawEstimated chance80%

Goals7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Andorra concede twice a game and four of their last six matches passed 2.5 goals, with Granada also scoring in four of their last six.
- Andorra's six league games have produced 22 goals (9 for, 13 against), an average of 3.7 per match
- Andorra concede twice per game and four of their last six matches went over 2.5 goals
- Granada have conceded in four of their last six, including a 2-3 defeat at Leganés on 20 September
- Granada's own six league games average 2.7 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both sides have scored in four of their last six matches and Andorra have conceded in every league game this season.
- Andorra have scored in four of their last six and conceded in all six league games
- Granada have scored in four of their last six and conceded in four
- Both teams scored in four of Andorra's last six matches
- Andorra have kept no clean sheet in seven competitive matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Granada have scored more than one goal in only two of six league games and their home split shows about one goal per match.
- Granada have scored more than once in only two of six league games
- Granada's home split shows one goal per match across four tracked home matches
- Granada scored 8 goals in 6 league games (1.33 per match)
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostGranada under 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Andorra have one goal across three tracked away matches and were shut out in two of their last six.
- Andorra's away split: 3 matches, 0W-0D-3L, 0.67 goals per game
- Andorra failed to score in two of their last six matches
- Granada kept two clean sheets in their last six competitive matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostFC Andorra under 1.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Andorra take 19 shots and more than five on target per game and Granada concede five shots on target per match.
- Andorra take 19 shots and 5.6 on target per game
- Granada concede 5.1 shots on target per competitive match and 1.56 goals per game
- Andorra scored in four of their last six matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFC Andorra to scoreEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Andorra have conceded in every league game this season and Granada score in most of their matches.
- Andorra have conceded in all six league games and have no clean sheet in seven competitive matches
- Granada have scored in four of their last six matches
- Andorra concede 2.0 goals per league game
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGranada to scoreEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.35
The read
Both sides have been involved in first-half goals in four of their last six games, with Granada particularly open before the break.
- Four of Granada's six league games and four of Andorra's six featured at least one first-half goal
- Granada concede 0.89 first-half goals per game; Andorra concede 0.86
- Andorra score 0.14 first-half goals per game
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Granada have two first-half goals in six league games and Andorra one, making a both-sides-scoring first half unlikely.
- Granada have scored two first-half goals in six league games
- Andorra have scored one first-half goal in their last six matches
- Andorra's first-half goals-for average is 0.14 per competitive match
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Seven of the last twelve combined second halves involving these sides produced two goals or more, and Andorra's recent second halves were high-scoring.
- Seven of the last twelve combined second halves involving these sides produced two goals or more
- Andorra's last six second halves yielded 16 goals
- Granada's last six second halves averaged 1.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Granada's matches average about 26 shots and Andorra's away games about 24, with Andorra's opponents rarely reaching double figures.
- Granada's matches average 25.9 total shots (13.2 for, 12.7 against)
- Andorra's away matches average 24.3 shots, and their opponents manage only 8.7 per game
- Granada's last six match shot totals averaged 28.5
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 32.5Estimated chance57%