La Liga 2Full time

Predictions graded

FC Andorra0Eibar1

HT 0–0Sun 30 Aug 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–192%

Edges6–0100%

PossPossession 79%–21%ShotsShots 27–4On targetOn target 5–1CornersCorners 5–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 16:58 · Europe/Bucharest

Eibar's three-match winning streak over Andorra without conceding makes the away win at 3.40 and Draw or Eibar at 1.73 the standout value plays.

The match is likely to be low-scoring, but the Under 2.5 market is efficiently priced; instead, consider Eibar to keep a clean sheet at 2.50 for a smaller edge.

Context

FC Andorra sit 8th with 3 points after a 5-1 home win over AD Ceuta FC and a 4-2 away loss to Celta de Vigo II.
Their high possession and shot volume show they control games, but the 4-2 defeat at Celta de Vigo II on 2026-08-24 exposed defensive problems when opponents counter. Eibar have scored in both league matches and could test that weakness, though Andorra's home win over AD Ceuta FC suggests they are stronger at their own ground.
- Andorra average 64% possession and 17.3 shots per game.
- They lost 4-2 away to Celta de Vigo II on 2026-08-24.
- They won 5-1 at home against AD Ceuta FC on 2026-08-15.
FC Andorra head coach Manso has reviewed the closing phases of the opening two league matches after losing solidity.
He confirmed the team will keep its advanced defensive line against Eibar. That leaves space behind the back line when Eibar break pressure or deliver early into the box, making transition defence a direct test of Andorra's structure.
- Manso said Andorra had analysed the closing phases of their first two league matches after losing solidity.
- Manso said the team will not alter its advanced defensive line.
- Manso described Eibar as aggressive in the press and capable of hurting opponents in transition.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 11:07 · Europe/BucharestEl Periòdic d'Andorraelperiodic.ad · 28 Aug 2026ASas.com · 28 Aug 2026
Eibar are 14th with 3 points, having played two home matches.
Their only away data comes from friendlies, where they drew 1-1 with Real Unión and beat Real Sociedad II 1-0. The lack of competitive away minutes makes it hard to judge how they will handle Andorra's possession game, but their home loss to Tenerife showed defensive vulnerabilities that could carry over.
- Eibar won 1-0 at home against Valladolid on 2026-08-23.
- Eibar lost 3-1 at home to Tenerife on 2026-08-16.
- Eibar have not played a league away match this season.
FC Andorra attacker E. Sali can operate on either flank or in more central attacking positions, but he started only 1 of the last 5 available team fixtures.
Manso confirmed Sali still lacks federal registration while the club awaits documents from Canada. Andorra therefore cannot select this versatile attacking option for changes across the forward line.
- Manso said Sali still does not have federal registration because the club is awaiting documents from Canada.
- Andorra’s announcement describes Sali as able to operate on either flank or in more central attacking positions.
- E. Sali started 1 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 11:07 · Europe/BucharestASas.com · 28 Aug 2026FC Andorrawww.fcandorra.com · 8 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology strongly favors Eibar, who have dominated recent meetings and kept clean sheets, while Andorra's home win came against a weak opponent.
- Eibar have won the last three H2H meetings without conceding (2-0, 1-0, 2-0).
- FC Andorra have scored zero goals in the last three H2H matches.
- Eibar's away record this season: 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses (no away games played yet).
- FC Andorra's home record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses (5-1 vs AD Ceuta FC).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEibarEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Eibar's H2H dominance and Andorra's struggles against them, the double chance of Draw or Eibar covers the most likely outcomes.
- Eibar have won the last three H2H meetings without conceding.
- FC Andorra have scored zero goals in the last three H2H matches.
- Eibar's away record this season: 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses (no away games played yet).
- FC Andorra's home record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses (5-1 vs AD Ceuta FC).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or EibarEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring first halves, making a draw at half-time the most likely outcome.
- FC Andorra average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.3 first-half goals conceded.
- Eibar average 1.1 first-half goals scored and 0.4 first-half goals conceded.
- Last H2H meeting (21 Mar 2026) was 0-0 at half-time.
- Eibar's last away match (vs Valladolid) was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Eibar's H2H dominance suggests they could win after a level first half, but the probability is low due to uncertainty.
- Eibar have won the last three H2H meetings.
- FC Andorra have scored zero goals in the last three H2H matches.
- Eibar's away record this season: 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses (no away games played yet).
- FC Andorra's home record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses (5-1 vs AD Ceuta FC).
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/EibarEstimated chance25%

Goals5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
H2H matches have been low-scoring, and both teams' recent averages suggest a tight game, supporting Under 2.5 goals.
- Last three H2H meetings: 0-1, 2-0, 0-2 (all under 2.5 goals).
- FC Andorra average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match in last 15.
- Eibar average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per match in last 15.
- Eibar's last away match (vs Valladolid) ended 0-0.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Eibar's defensive record against Andorra and Andorra's scoring drought in this fixture make both teams scoring unlikely.
- Eibar kept clean sheets in the last three H2H meetings.
- FC Andorra failed to score in the last three H2H meetings.
- Eibar average 1.1 goals conceded per match in last 15.
- FC Andorra average 1.3 goals conceded per match in last 15.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Eibar's recent defensive dominance over Andorra suggests a good chance of another clean sheet.
- Eibar have kept clean sheets in the last three H2H meetings.
- FC Andorra have scored zero goals in the last three H2H matches.
- Eibar average 1.1 goals conceded per match in last 15.
- FC Andorra average 1.5 goals scored per match in last 15.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFC Andorra not to scoreEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, and recent H2H first halves have been goalless, making Under 0.5 first-half goals plausible.
- FC Andorra average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.3 first-half goals conceded in last 15.
- Eibar average 1.1 first-half goals scored and 0.4 first-half goals conceded in last 15.
- Last H2H meeting (21 Mar 2026) was 0-0 at half-time.
- Eibar's last away match (vs Valladolid) was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given both teams' scoring averages, at least one goal in the second half is likely.
- FC Andorra average 1.5 goals scored per match, with many goals coming in second halves.
- Eibar average 1.6 goals scored per match.
- Last H2H meeting (21 Mar 2026) had 1 goal in second half.
- Both teams have shown ability to score after the break.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average relatively low corner counts, and recent H2H total corners were under 9.5.
- FC Andorra average 2.9 corners per match in last 15.
- Eibar average 3.8 corners per match in last 15.
- Combined average corners per match: 6.7.
- Last H2H meeting (21 Mar 2026) had 4 corners for Andorra and 4 for Eibar (total 8).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While combined average is slightly above 8.5, Eibar's low shots on target away from home could keep the total under.
- FC Andorra average 5.9 shots on target per match in last 15.
- Eibar average 3.0 shots on target per match in last 15.
- Combined average shots on target: 8.9.
- Last H2H meeting (21 Mar 2026) had 5 shots on target for Andorra and 7 for Eibar (total 12).
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, and recent H2H saw over 4.5 cards, but the probability is borderline.
- FC Andorra average 3.3 yellow cards per match in last 15.
- Eibar average 2.4 yellow cards per match in last 15.
- Combined average yellow cards: 5.7.
- Last H2H meeting (21 Mar 2026) had 3 yellow cards for Andorra and 4 for Eibar (total 7).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 38% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 3W

L0-1FC AndorravEibarMar 21, 2026SEG

L2-0EibarvFC AndorraSep 8, 2025SEG

L0-2FC AndorravEibarApr 14, 2024SEG

D2-2EibarvFC AndorraDec 10, 2023SEG

D0-0EibarvFC AndorraMar 26, 2023SEG

Eibar unbeaten in 5 meetingsEibar: 4 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Segunda División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	FC Andorra	2	1	0	1	7-5	3	LW
14	Eibar	2	1	0	1	2-3	3	WL

Recent Form

FC Andorra

L2-4Celta de Vigo IIAug 24SEG

W5-1AD Ceuta FCAug 15SEG

L0-4HuescaAug 7FRI

W1-0ZaragozaAug 6FRI

D0-0SabadellAug 1FRI

D0-0Europa FcJul 30FRI

W2-0GimnasticJul 25FRI

W5-2Inter Club d'EscaldesJul 24FRI

D0-0StevenageJul 18FRI

W2-1MillwallJul 14FRI

L0-1BurgosMay 31SEG

L0-2AD Ceuta FCMay 24SEG

L1-2Deportivo La CorunaMay 17SEG

W5-1Las PalmasMay 10SEG

L0-1AlbaceteMay 1SEG

Eibar

W1-0ValladolidAug 23SEG

L1-3TenerifeAug 16SEG

D1-1Real UniónAug 8FRI

W5-0Arenas GetxoAug 1FRI

W1-0Real Sociedad IIJul 29FRI

D2-2Athletic ClubJul 25FRI

D1-1AlavesJul 18FRI

L1-2CastellónMay 31SEG

W2-0CordobaMay 24SEG

L1-2Cultural LeonesaMay 16SEG

W1-0MirandesMay 10SEG

L2-4MalagaMay 2SEG

W3-0AlbaceteApr 24SEG

W2-1HuescaApr 19SEG

D0-0ValladolidApr 13SEG

Squad & Injuries

FC Andorra

30 available

Attackers10

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Eibar

30 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

FC Andorra0Eibar1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Eibar

Draw or Eibar

No

FC Andorra not to score

Under 2.5

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals5 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 2.5

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

FC Andorra

Eibar

Squad & Injuries

FC Andorra

Eibar