La Liga 2Full time

Predictions graded

Real Valladolid1FC Andorra0

HT 1–0Sat 5 Sept 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions2–722%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 36%–64%ShotsShots 9–13On targetOn target 3–4CornersCorners 2–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Sep 2026, 01:16 · Europe/Bucharest

FC Andorra to win at 2.70 is the top value bet, with a +8-point edge over the market.

The double chance (Draw or Andorra) at 1.50 is a safer alternative. Avoid the first-half over 0.5 goals market, which is heavily overpriced.

Context

Valladolid are 19th in La Liga 2 with one point from three matches, all played away from home.
They have drawn once and lost twice, scoring only one goal while conceding four. This is their first home game of the season, and they need points to move out of the relegation places. The lack of wins and goals suggests they may struggle to break down Andorra, but playing at home could give them a lift.
- Valladolid have 1 point from 3 league games (DLL).
- They are 19th in the table, in the relegation zone.
- They have scored 1 goal and conceded 4 in those matches.
Andorra average 64.1% possession in the league, the highest among the teams in this match.
In their away match against Celta de Vigo II on 24 August, they had 64% possession but lost 2-4. This shows that possession does not always lead to good results for them, especially away from home. Valladolid may be comfortable letting Andorra have the ball and trying to hit them on the break.
- Andorra lost their only away league game 2-4 at Celta de Vigo II on 24 August 2026.
- They had 64% possession in that match.
- Their average possession this season is 64.1%.
Real Valladolid defender David Torres started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
Torres trained separately before the FC Andorra match and completed specific work, with no diagnosis or timeframe given. His availability is a late defensive-selection watch, and any limitation would create uncertainty around Valladolid's defensive organisation.
- Real Valladolid said the squad began preparing for FC Andorra in its 1 September session.
- The club stated that David Torres did not take part on the grass and completed specific work.
- David Torres started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
To watchSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 01:14 · Europe/BucharestReal Valladolid CF training updatewww.realvalladolid.es · 1 Sep 2026
The teams have met four times in the last three seasons.
The most recent match was on 19 April 2026, when Andorra beat Valladolid 1-0 at home. In all four meetings, the home team won. This pattern suggests that playing at home is a big advantage in this fixture, which could help Valladolid despite their poor form.
- 19 April 2026: FC Andorra 1-0 Valladolid (home win).
- 13 December 2025: Valladolid 0-1 FC Andorra (away win).
- 3 March 2024: FC Andorra 2-1 Valladolid (home win).
- 22 October 2023: Valladolid 2-0 FC Andorra (home win).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
FC Andorra's superior possession and attacking output, combined with Valladolid's poor start, give the visitors a slight edge.
- FC Andorra average 1.5 goals per game in last 15, while Real Valladolid average 1.1.
- FC Andorra have 64.1% average possession vs Valladolid's 49.6%.
- Valladolid are 19th with 1 point from 3 games; Andorra are 13th with 3 points.
- H2H last 5: Andorra won 2, Valladolid won 2, 1 draw.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFC AndorraEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Valladolid's poor form and Andorra's stronger overall stats make the away side or draw the safer double chance.
- Valladolid have not won at home this season (0 played, but overall 0 wins in 3).
- FC Andorra have lost only 1 of their last 3 league games.
- Valladolid's form is DLL; Andorra's is LLW.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or FC AndorraEstimated chance70%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Andorra's high-scoring recent matches and Valladolid's defensive struggles support over 2.5 goals.
- FC Andorra's last 3 league games: 7 goals for, 6 against (avg 4.33 total).
- Valladolid's last 3 league games: 1 goal for, 4 against (avg 1.67 total).
- Combined recent form suggests potential for multiple goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown ability to score and vulnerability in defense, making BTTS likely.
- FC Andorra have scored in 2 of their last 3 league games.
- Valladolid have scored in 1 of their last 3 league games.
- Both teams have conceded in recent matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a moderate first half scoring rate, making over 0.5 first half goals likely.
- Valladolid average 0.5 first half goals per game.
- FC Andorra average 0.4 first half goals per game.
- Combined first half goal average is 0.9.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Andorra's second half scoring tendency could push the total over 1.5 in the second half.
- FC Andorra tend to score more in second half (5 of 7 goals in last 3 games after halftime).
- Valladolid's second half performance is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corner counts are moderate, but the attacking styles may produce more corners than average.
- Valladolid average 4.4 corners per game.
- FC Andorra average 2.9 corners per game.
- Combined average is 7.3, but recent matches show higher variance.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Andorra's high shot volume could push total shots on target over the line.
- FC Andorra average 5.6 shots on target per game.
- Valladolid average 2.5 shots on target per game.
- Combined average is 8.1.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high card averages, suggesting a physical match with multiple bookings.
- Valladolid average 3.2 yellow cards per game.
- FC Andorra average 2.7 yellow cards per game.
- Combined average is 5.9.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 42% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 35%; the price already reflects the home side's chances despite their poor form.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 3W

L1-0FC AndorravValladolidApr 19, 2026SEG

W0-1ValladolidvFC AndorraDec 13, 2025SEG

L2-1FC AndorravValladolidMar 3, 2024SEG

L2-0ValladolidvFC AndorraOct 22, 2023SEG

FC Andorra: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Segunda División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
19	Real Valladolid Relegation	3	0	1	2	1-4	1	DLL
13	FC Andorra	3	1	0	2	7-6	3	LLW

2pt gap between teamsReal Valladolid in relegation zone

Recent Form

Real Valladolid

D1-1CadizAug 30SEG

L0-1EibarAug 23SEG

L0-2MallorcaAug 15SEG

W4-2Sporting GijonAug 8FRI

W3-0Gimnástica SegovianaAug 5FRI

L0-1GroningenAug 1FRI

W4-1CD CoriaJul 29FRI

D0-0GetafeJul 25FRI

L0-1AlmeriaMay 31SEG

L0-2Deportivo La CorunaMay 24SEG

L1-4Racing SantanderMay 16SEG

W2-0ZaragozaMay 9SEG

L1-2Las PalmasMay 3SEG

W1-0Real Sociedad IIApr 25SEG

L0-1FC AndorraApr 19SEG

FC Andorra

L0-1EibarAug 30SEG

L2-4Celta de Vigo IIAug 24SEG

W5-1AD Ceuta FCAug 15SEG

L0-4HuescaAug 7FRI

W1-0ZaragozaAug 6FRI

D0-0SabadellAug 1FRI

D0-0Europa FcJul 30FRI

W2-0GimnasticJul 25FRI

W5-2Inter Club d'EscaldesJul 24FRI

D0-0StevenageJul 18FRI

W2-1MillwallJul 14FRI

L0-1BurgosMay 31SEG

L0-2AD Ceuta FCMay 24SEG

L1-2Deportivo La CorunaMay 17SEG

W5-1Las PalmasMay 10SEG

Squad & Injuries

Real Valladolid

34 available

Attackers11

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

FC Andorra

30 available

Attackers10

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

FC Andorra

Draw or FC Andorra

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result0 of 2 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Real Valladolid

FC Andorra

Squad & Injuries

Real Valladolid

FC Andorra