Draw or Houston Dynamo
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 75%
Houston have lost only 2 of their last 10 MLS matches while San Jose have won only 1 of their last 8, making a Houston win or draw highly likely.
Major League SoccerFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on form and league position, and the model sees clear value in Double Chance Draw or Houston Dynamo at 1.57 (75% vs 63.7% implied).
The match is also likely to be low-scoring, with Under 2.5 goals offering a 14.5-point edge at 2.20.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 75%
Houston have lost only 2 of their last 10 MLS matches while San Jose have won only 1 of their last 8, making a Houston win or draw highly likely.
Houston DynamoMarket 38.5% · BetBugs 45%
Houston's superior recent form and higher league position give them a clear edge, supported by San Jose's poor run of results.
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams often go into the break level, and the recent H2H supports a drawn first half.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 43% vs our estimate 30% leaves no value; San Jose's poor form and home struggles make them a trap.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 40-34 | 35 |
| 2 | Houston DynamoPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 30-26 | 40 |

