San Jose Earthquakes11 – 3St Louis City3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high-scoring trends, especially San Jose's overall form and the consistent over 2.5 goals in recent H2H meetings, driven by motivation to secure playoff positioning.

• San Jose's last 15 matches average 4.0 total goals (2.1 scored, 1.9 conceded).
• St. Louis' last 15 matches average 2.9 total goals (1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded).
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 5, 4, 3, 3, 3 goals, all over 2.5.
• San Jose home matches this season average 3.1 goals (17 scored, 11 conceded in 9 games).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently find the net and have defensive vulnerabilities, with H2H history showing frequent BTTS outcomes, reinforced by San Jose's home pattern.

• San Jose scored in 13 of last 15 matches, conceded in 13 of last 15.
• St. Louis scored in 13 of last 15 matches, conceded in 10 of last 15.
• Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.
• San Jose home: both teams scored in 7 of 9 matches this season.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

While St. Louis is defensively solid in first halves, San Jose's home matches often see early action, and the H2H trend shows occasional high-scoring first halves, making over 1.5 a plausible but low-confidence pick.

• San Jose first-half goals average: 0.9 scored, 0.9 conceded per game (last 15).
• St. Louis first-half goals average: 0.6 scored, 0.3 conceded per game (last 15).
• Last 5 H2H: first-half goals: 2, 1, 1, 1, 1 (average 1.2).
• San Jose home first-half: 7 of 9 matches had at least 1 goal, 4 had 2+.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score more in second halves, and H2H history shows consistently high second-half goal totals, driven by tactical adjustments and fatigue.

• San Jose second-half goals: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded on average (last 15).
• St. Louis second-half goals: 1.1 scored, 0.9 conceded on average (last 15).
• Last 5 H2H: second-half goals: 3, 3, 2, 2, 2 (average 2.4).
• San Jose home second-half: 6 of 9 matches had 2+ goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate high corner counts, and H2H matches consistently exceed 9.5 corners, driven by attacking styles and frequent wide play.

• San Jose average corners: 6.3 per game, opponent corners: 5.4 (last 15).
• St. Louis average corners: 6.4 per game, opponent corners: 4.9 (last 15).
• Combined average corners in San Jose matches: 11.7, St. Louis matches: 11.3.
• Last 5 H2H with corner data: 12, 12, 10, 9, 11 (all over 9.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have above-average disciplinary records, and H2H encounters tend to be physical, with card counts consistently exceeding 4.5.

• San Jose average yellow cards: 3.1 per game, opponent: 2.1 (last 15).
• St. Louis average yellow cards: 2.5 per game, opponent: 2.3 (last 15).
• Combined average cards in San Jose matches: 5.2, St. Louis matches: 4.8.
• Last 5 H2H with card data: 5, 6, 4, 5, 5 (all over 4.5 except one).