San Jose Earthquakes22 – 3FC Dallas3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H history is heavily tilted toward high-scoring affairs, and both teams have sufficient attacking output to push the total over 2.5.

• San Jose average 2.3 goals scored per game overall, and 2.3 at home.
• Dallas average 1.7 goals scored per game, but concede 1.4 on average.
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 produced over 2.5 goals (2-2, 4-2, 3-2, 2-1, 1-1).
• San Jose's last 5 league matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides consistently find the net, and the H2H pattern strongly supports both teams scoring, despite San Jose's solid home defense.

• San Jose have scored in 12 of 13 league matches this season.
• Dallas have scored in 10 of 13 league matches.
• Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
• San Jose home clean sheets: 3 in 6, but Dallas have failed to score in only 3 of 13 overall.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H trend and both teams' first-half scoring averages suggest a decent chance of at least 2 goals before the break, though San Jose's defensive solidity tempers confidence.

• San Jose average 1.0 first-half goals per game; Dallas average 0.9.
• San Jose concede 0.3 first-half goals on average; Dallas concede 0.9.
• Last 5 H2H: first-half goals counts were 2, 2, 1, 1, 0 (3 of 5 had over 1.5).
• San Jose led at halftime in 53% of matches; Dallas trailed in 36%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H pattern and the combined second-half scoring rates suggest a reasonable chance of at least 2 goals after halftime, though the low confidence acknowledges the unpredictability of second-half dynamics.

• San Jose score 1.3 second-half goals on average (2.3 total minus 1.0 first-half); Dallas score 0.8 second-half (1.7 total minus 0.9 first-half).
• San Jose concede 0.6 second-half goals (0.9 total minus 0.3 first-half); Dallas concede 0.5 second-half (1.4 total minus 0.9 first-half).
• Last 5 H2H: second-half goals counts were 2, 3, 2, 1, 1 (3 of 5 had over 1.5).
• Both teams tend to push for goals late in matches when the game is open.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

San Jose's high corner rate and the H2H trend toward double-digit totals support over 9.5 corners, though Dallas's lower corner numbers and the small sample size keep confidence low.

• San Jose average 7.1 corners per game; Dallas average 4.5.
• San Jose concede 5.1 corners per game on average (opponentCorners from recent matches); Dallas concede 5.3.
• Combined average corners in San Jose matches: 12.2; in Dallas matches: 9.8.
• Last 5 H2H corner counts: 15, 7, 11, 9, 8 (3 of 5 had over 9.5).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined disciplinary averages and the referee's typical card rate suggest a borderline over 4.5 cards, but the low confidence reflects the inconsistency of card outcomes.

• San Jose average 2.2 yellow cards per game; Dallas average 2.3.
• Combined average yellow cards: 4.5, but with variance.
• Referee Chris Penso has a history of averaging around 4.5 cards per match in MLS.
• H2H last 5: card counts were 2, 5, 4, 3, 2 (2 of 5 had over 4.5).