IF Boljan1Hestrafors IF3

HT 1–2Fri 11 Sept 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions10–191%

Edges3–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 16:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Hestrafors are slight favourites in a match with strong goal-scoring trends, but the best value lies in Over 3.5 goals at 1.80 (edge +6.4pts).

Avoid Over 2.5 at 1.29 and first-half Over 1.5 at 1.80, as they offer no value.

Context

Hestrafors IF are second in Division 2 - Västra Götaland with 37 points from 20 matches, seven points behind leaders Landvetter IS.
Their recent form is strong: they beat Lindome 2-0 on 6 September, Torslanda 3-1 on 29 August, and drew 2-2 with Dalstorps on 22 August. This run shows they are scoring consistently and winning at home, but their away record is more mixed with two losses in ten games. Against a mid-table IF Boljan side, Hestrafors IF will likely control possession and create chances, though their defence has conceded 19 goals away from home.
- Hestrafors IF are 2nd in the table with 37 points from 20 matches.
- They won 2-0 at home to Lindome on 6 September 2026.
- They won 3-1 at home to Torslanda on 29 August 2026.
- They drew 2-2 away to Dalstorps on 22 August 2026.
IF Boljan are 7th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland with 32 points from 20 matches.
They have won their last three league matches: 5-2 away to Torslanda on 5 September, 5-0 at home to Qviding FIF on 28 August, and 1-0 away to Astrio on 22 August. This run has lifted them into mid-table and shows they are capable of scoring multiple goals, especially away from home. However, their home form has been less consistent with three losses in nine games, so they may not be as dominant at home as their recent away results suggest.
- IF Boljan won 5-2 away to Torslanda on 5 September 2026.
- They won 5-0 at home to Qviding FIF on 28 August 2026.
- They won 1-0 away to Astrio on 22 August 2026.
The teams have met three times in the last two seasons, with Hestrafors IF winning two and drawing one.
In the most recent meeting on 29 May 2026, Hestrafors IF won 3-1 at home, with a 2-0 lead at half-time. This result shows they can break down IF Boljan's defence, but the previous meeting in October 2025 saw IF Boljan win 3-0 at home. The head-to-head record is mixed, but Hestrafors IF's recent win may give them confidence, though IF Boljan will be motivated to avenge that defeat.
- Hestrafors IF won 3-1 at home to IF Boljan on 29 May 2026.
- IF Boljan won 3-0 at home to Hestrafors IF on 19 October 2025.
- The teams drew 2-2 on 11 April 2025.
Hestrafors sit second on 38 points after 20 matches, six behind leaders Landvetter, with five league fixtures after this match before hosting the leaders on 18 October.
The points from this away match matter for Hestrafors' promotion pursuit because the gap to Landvetter remains six points and a direct meeting is still to come. The fixture list confirms this is the first of six remaining league matches, so a slip here would increase the pressure before that head-to-head. The claim does not establish how the team will respond tactically, only that the incentive is present.
- Hestrafors' club table lists the team second on 38 points after 20 matches, behind Landvetter on 44.
- The club fixture list shows this Böljan away match followed by five further league fixtures, ending with Landvetter at home on 18 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 16:14 · Europe/BucharestHestrafors senior table and fixtureswww.laget.se · 9 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.29fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have high-scoring recent form and their direct meetings consistently exceed 2.5 goals, but the odds are too short to justify a bet.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 1.5

1.80fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 55.6%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to score early, with Hestrafors especially prolific in first halves, but the odds are fair and offer no value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors' higher league position and strong away form give them a slight edge, but IF Boljan's solid home record makes this a close contest.
- Hestrafors IF are 2nd with 37 points, IF Boljan 7th with 32 points.
- Hestrafors IF away record: 5W 3D 2L, 21 goals scored, 19 conceded.
- IF Boljan home record: 5W 1D 3L, 19 goals scored, 11 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHestrafors IFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors' away resilience and recent H2H dominance make them unlikely to lose, while IF Boljan's home strength could force a draw.
- Hestrafors IF have lost only 2 of 10 away matches.
- IF Boljan have won 5 of 9 home matches.
- H2H: Hestrafors won 2 of last 3 meetings, with one draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Hestrafors IFEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors' strong first-half scoring and high half-time lead rate give them an edge, though IF Boljan's home start could level it.
- Hestrafors IF led at half-time in 67% of recent matches.
- IF Boljan led at half-time in only 33% of recent matches.
- Hestrafors IF average 1.5 first-half goals vs IF Boljan's 0.9.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonHestrafors IFEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors' tendency to lead early and their superior league position support a straight win, but IF Boljan's home form lowers confidence.
- Hestrafors IF led at half-time in 67% of matches and won 11 of 20 overall.
- IF Boljan trailed at half-time in 40% of matches.
- Hestrafors won 2 of last 3 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonHestrafors IF / Hestrafors IFEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors' consistent scoring across halves makes winning both halves possible, but it requires a dominant performance against a solid home side.
- Hestrafors IF scored in both halves in 10 of last 15 matches.
- IF Boljan conceded in both halves in 5 of last 15 matches.
- Hestrafors IF average 1.5 first-half and 1.0 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostHestrafors IFEstimated chance18%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hestrafors' first-half dominance makes them unlikely to trail at the break, while a draw remains possible given IF Boljan's home start.
- Hestrafors IF led at half-time in 67% of matches.
- IF Boljan led at half-time in only 33% of matches.
- Hestrafors IF average 1.5 first-half goals vs IF Boljan's 0.9.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Hestrafors IFEstimated chance62%

Goals5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring recent form and their direct meetings consistently exceed 2.5 goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Hestrafors IF average 2.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over last 15 matches.
- IF Boljan average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over last 15 matches.
- Last 5 H2H meetings produced 3, 3, 4, 4, and 3 total goals (all over 2.5).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides regularly find the net, and Hestrafors' defensive record suggests IF Boljan can score while Hestrafors' attack remains potent.
- IF Boljan scored in 11 of last 15 matches.
- Hestrafors IF scored in 14 of last 15 matches.
- Hestrafors IF conceded in 12 of last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score early, with Hestrafors especially prolific in first halves, making over 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- IF Boljan average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Hestrafors IF average 1.5 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average across both teams is 2.4 per match.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks remain active after the break, and the overall high-scoring trend supports continued goals in the second half.
- IF Boljan average 0.8 second-half goals scored (1.7 total - 0.9 first half).
- Hestrafors IF average 1.0 second-half goals scored (2.5 total - 1.5 first half).
- Combined second-half goal average is 1.8 per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are capable of early goals, but the probability is tempered by the need for both to score within the first 45 minutes.
- IF Boljan scored in first half in 9 of last 15 matches.
- Hestrafors IF scored in first half in 13 of last 15 matches.
- Both teams conceded first-half goals in over half their matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonYesEstimated chance40%