Alaves11 – 0Villarreal0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Villarreal's superior first-half scoring and halftime lead rate give them a slight edge, but Alaves' home resilience keeps confidence low.

• Villarreal led at halftime in 47% of matches; Alaves in 33%
• Villarreal first half goals per match: 1.4 vs Alaves 0.7
• Villarreal trailed at halftime only 7% of matches
• H2H last 5: Villarreal led at halftime in 2 matches, Alaves in 1, 2 draws

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostVillarrealEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A halftime draw followed by an Alaves win is plausible given Alaves' second-half strength at home, but specific sequence is rare.

• Alaves drew at halftime in 40% of matches (6 of 15)
• Alaves won 7 of 15 matches overall
• Villarreal drew at halftime in 33% of matches (5 of 15)
• H2H last 5: 2 draws at halftime, with Alaves winning one of those matches

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / AlavesEstimated chance20%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high-scoring trends and H2H often produces goals, supporting Over 2.5.

• Alaves average total goals per match (last 15): 3.1
• Villarreal average total goals per match (last 15): 3.3
• H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
• Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently find the net and H2H history shows frequent BTTS, making Yes likely.

• Alaves scored in 13 of last 15 matches
• Villarreal scored in 13 of last 15 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings
• Alaves conceded in 10 of last 15; Villarreal conceded in 10 of last 15

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Second-half scoring trends are mixed, but combined averages hover around the line, making this a coin flip.

• Alaves average second half goals per match: 1.1 (total 1.8 - first half 0.7)
• Villarreal average second half goals per match: 0.6 (total 2.0 - first half 1.4)
• Combined average second half goals: 1.7
• H2H last 5: 3 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Corner averages are near the line, making Over 9.5 a near coin flip with slight lean based on recent totals.

• Alaves average corners per match: 5.4, opponent corners: 5.9 (total 11.3)
• Villarreal average corners per match: 5.7, opponent corners: 5.9 (total 11.6)
• H2H last 5: average total corners 9.8
• Both teams tend to produce around 10-12 corners combined

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate solid shots on target, and combined averages slightly exceed the line, supporting Over 8.5.

• Alaves average shots on target per match: 4.8, opponent: 4.3 (total 9.1)
• Villarreal average shots on target per match: 4.9, opponent: 4.5 (total 9.4)
• Combined average shots on target: 9.25
• H2H last 5: average total shots on target 8.6