Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rayo's recent home form and head-to-head edge give them a slight advantage, but the displaced venue and managerial transition reduce confidence.
- Rayo Vallecano won 2-1 at Alaves in the most recent league meeting (May 2026).
- Rayo's last 5 home league matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
- Alaves away record last season: 4 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses in 19 away games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRayo VallecanoEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rayo's solid home form and Alaves' poor away record make a home win or draw likely, though the neutral venue tempers the edge.
- Rayo lost only 1 of their last 5 home league matches.
- Alaves won only 4 of 19 away league matches last season.
- Rayo's home matches averaged 1.3 goals for and 1.3 goals against.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonRayo Vallecano or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often start cautiously, and the head-to-head shows frequent first-half stalemates.
- Rayo led at halftime in only 27% of their last 15 matches.
- Alaves led at halftime in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 3 were level at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rayo's ability to push on in the second half at home, combined with Alaves' away fragility, makes this a plausible but low-probability outcome.
- Rayo won 2 of their last 5 home matches after drawing at halftime.
- Alaves lost 3 of their last 5 away matches after drawing at halftime.
- Rayo's second-half goal difference at home was +0.4 per match.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Rayo VallecanoEstimated chance18%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been consistent scorers recently, and the head-to-head often features goals from both sides.
- Rayo scored in 12 of their last 15 matches across all competitions.
- Alaves scored in 13 of their last 15 matches across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Recent scoring trends and head-to-head suggest a moderate chance of a higher-scoring game, but both teams' defensive solidity keeps it close to a coin flip.
- Rayo's last 5 home league matches averaged 2.4 total goals.
- Alaves' last 5 away league matches averaged 2.8 total goals.
- 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to find the net early, making a first-half goal likely.
- Rayo scored in the first half in 6 of their last 10 matches.
- Alaves scored in the first half in 7 of their last 10 matches.
- Both teams averaged over 0.5 first-half goals in their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been moderately productive for both teams, but the neutral venue may reduce attacking intensity.
- Rayo's last 5 home matches averaged 1.2 second-half goals.
- Alaves' last 5 away matches averaged 1.6 second-half goals.
- Second-half goals occurred in 70% of Rayo's recent matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the neutral venue may lead to more open play.
- Rayo averaged 3.9 corners per match, Alaves averaged 5.0.
- Combined average corners in Rayo's matches: 8.9.
- Combined average corners in Alaves' matches: 9.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are prone to bookings, and the competitive nature of the fixture should push the card count over the line.
- Rayo averaged 3.3 yellow cards per match, Alaves averaged 3.0.
- Combined average cards in Rayo's matches: 6.3.
- Combined average cards in Alaves' matches: 5.7.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
14	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0-0	0

Rayo Vallecano1Alaves1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Alaves

Draw or Alaves

Yes

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

Over 4.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano

Alaves

Squad & Injuries

Rayo Vallecano

Alaves