Draw or Supra Quebec
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 65%
Inter Toronto's inconsistent home form (43% win rate) and Supra Quebec's ability to score away make the double chance for the away side a safer bet with a positive edge.
Canadian Premier LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Supra Quebec or draw (double chance) at 1.73 is the standout value bet, with a 65% estimated probability versus 58% implied.
Avoid the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score markets, as the odds are too short relative to our model's estimates.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 65%
Inter Toronto's inconsistent home form (43% win rate) and Supra Quebec's ability to score away make the double chance for the away side a safer bet with a positive edge.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Supra QuebecBetBugs 40% · Market 44.4%
Supra Quebec's superior away scoring (15 goals in 8 away) and Inter Toronto's leaky home defense (18 conceded in 7 home) give the visitors a slight edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
BetBugs 55% · Market 69.4%
Both teams have high-scoring home/away splits, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 38% vs our estimate 35% leaves no value; the home side's leaky defense and inconsistent form make this a trap.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20-34 | 17 |
| 6 | Supra Quebec | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 25-32 | 18 |

