Inter Toronto vs Cavalry FC: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's superior defensive record (only 4 conceded in 9 league games) and strong away form give them an edge, though Inter's home threat and recent H2H draw keep it from being a high-confidence call.
- Cavalry FC away record this season: 3W-1D-1L, goals 5-2, conceding only 0.4 per away game.
- Inter Toronto home record: 2W-1D-1L, goals 8-7, conceding 1.75 per home game.
- Last 5 H2H: Cavalry 3 wins, Inter 1 win, 1 draw; Cavalry outscored Inter 10-5.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCavalry FCEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's consistency and Inter's tendency to draw, combined with the high-stakes context, make a Cavalry win or draw highly probable.
- Cavalry FC have lost only 1 of 9 league matches this season.
- Inter Toronto have drawn 3 of 8 league matches, including 1-1 at Cavalry in April.
- Cavalry's away losses: only 1 in 5, and they've kept 3 clean sheets on the road.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Cavalry FCEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams rarely leading at the break and Cavalry never trailing, a halftime draw is the most likely outcome, reinforced by recent H2H patterns.
- Cavalry FC led at halftime in only 27% of matches; Inter Toronto led in 27%.
- Cavalry trailed at halftime in 0% of matches; Inter trailed in 40%.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 draws at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's tendency to finish stronger and Inter's second-half defensive vulnerabilities suggest Cavalry could edge the second period, though the evidence is not overwhelming.
- Cavalry FC have scored 67% of their goals in the second half (10 of 15 in available data).
- Inter Toronto have conceded 60% of their goals in the second half (9 of 15 in available data).
- Cavalry's away second-half record: outscored opponents 4-1 in 5 games.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableCavalry FCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of Cavalry being level at the break before pulling away is plausible given their second-half strength, but the low frequency of such exact sequences keeps confidence low.
- Cavalry FC have drawn at halftime in 73% of matches and won 67% overall.
- Inter Toronto have drawn at halftime in 33% of matches and lost 25% overall.
- Last H2H: 1-1 draw at halftime, Cavalry won 4-1 in the 2025 playoff.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Cavalry FCEstimated chance30%

Goals0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's stingy defense (0.44 goals conceded per game overall) should suppress scoring, especially away from their fortress, despite Inter's higher home goal numbers.
- Cavalry FC league matches average 2.0 total goals (18 in 9 games).
- Inter Toronto home matches average 3.75 total goals, but Cavalry away matches average only 1.4 total goals.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals, including the most recent 1-1 draw.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's elite defensive record makes a clean sheet likely, and Inter's attack has been inconsistent at home, supporting a 'No' on both teams scoring.
- Cavalry FC have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 league games.
- Inter Toronto failed to score in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
- In 5 away games, Cavalry conceded only 2 goals total.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with Cavalry's strong first-half defense and Inter's low first-half scoring output pointing to a goalless opening period.
- Cavalry FC first-half goals: 0.6 per game; first-half goals conceded: 0.3 per game.
- Inter Toronto first-half goals at home: 0.5 per game; first-half goals conceded at home: 0.8 per game.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 matches were 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data and the likelihood of a tighter, lower-event match than the last H2H suggest a total under 9.5, though the evidence is sparse.
- Inter Toronto average 4.8 corners per game; Cavalry FC average 5.6.
- Combined average corners in their matches: 10.4, but only 4 of 15 Inter matches had corner data.
- Last H2H with corner data: 17 corners (13-4), but that was an outlier in Cavalry's home dominance.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive nature of this top-four clash and Inter's higher card count at home push the total cards slightly over 4.5, though card data is limited.
- Inter Toronto average 3.0 yellow cards per game; Cavalry FC average 2.2.
- Combined average cards: 5.2, with Inter's home matches seeing 3.5 yellows on average.
- Cavalry's away matches average 2.4 yellows, and the high-stakes context may increase discipline issues.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Inter Toronto Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	8	3	3	2	12-12	12
2	Cavalry FC Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	9	6	2	1	14-4	20

Inter Toronto1Cavalry FC5

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Draw or Cavalry FC

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Inter Toronto

Cavalry FC

Squad & Injuries

Inter Toronto

Cavalry FC